SOM: Structured Opponent Modeling for LLM-based Agents via Structural Causal Model

While Large Language Models (LLMs) excel in certain reasoning tasks, they struggle in multi-agent games where the final outcome depends on the joint strategies of all agents. In multi-agent games, the non-stationarity of other agents brings significant challenges on the evaluation of the reasoning process and the credit assignment over multiple reasoning steps. Existing single-agent reinforcement learning (RL) approaches and their multi-agent extensions fail to address these challenges as they do not incorporate other agents in the reasoning process. In this work, we propose Strat-Reasoner, a novel RL-based framework that improves LLMs' strategic reasoning ability in multi-agent games. We introduce a novel recursive reasoning paradigm where an agent's reasoning also integrates other agents' reasoning processes. To provide effective reward signals for the intermediate reasoning sequences, we employ a centralized Chain-of-Thought (CoT) comparison module to evaluate the reasoning quality. Finally, we compute an accurate hybrid advantage and develop a group-relative RL approach to optimize the LLM policy. Experimental results show that Strat-Reasoner substantially improves strategic abilities of underlying LLMs, achieving 22.1% average performance improvements across various multi-agent games. Code is publicly available at https://github.com/ydhe1012/Strat-Reasoner.

With an ever-growing zoo of LLMs and benchmarks, the need to orchestrate multiple models for improved task performance has never been more pressing. While frameworks like Mixture-of-Agents (MoA) attempt to coordinate LLMs, they often fall short in terms of (1) selecting relevant agents, (2) facilitating effective intra-agent communication, and (3) integrating responses efficiently. In this work, we propose Graph-of-Agents (GoA), a new graph-based framework for modeling multi-agent LLM communication. Our approach begins with node sampling, selecting only the most relevant agents by leveraging model cards that summarize each model's domain, task specialization, and other characteristics. Next, we construct edges between the selected agents by evaluating their responses against one another to determine relevance ordering. Directed message passing is then performed from highly relevant agents to less relevant ones to enhance their responses, followed by reverse message passing to refine the original responses of the more relevant agents. Finally, the updated responses are aggregated via graph-based pooling (e.g., max or mean pooling) to produce a single, unified answer. We evaluate GoA on diverse multi-domain benchmarks (MMLU, MMLU-Pro, GPQA) and domain-specific benchmarks (MATH, HumanEval, MedMCQA), with an agent pool of 6 LLMs spanning multiple domains. Surprisingly, GoA achieves superior performance using only 3 selected agents, outperforming recent multi-agent LLM baselines that utilize all 6 agents simultaneously. By adopting a graph structure, GoA offers both scalability and effectiveness through structured message passing-positioning it as a strong candidate for navigating the challenges of the ever-growing LLM zoo. Code is available at: https://github.com/UNITES-Lab/GoA.

Modeling an opponent's intent is critical for effective decision-making in non-cooperative, competitive, and general-sum multi-agent reinforcement learning. Existing opponent modeling methods encode intent using an embedding derived from episode information chosen a priori, such as the opponent's next action or a future environment state, and use this to guide the ego-agent's behavior. These approaches assume that the chosen information is universally representative of intent; however, we show empirically that this is not the case as intentions are often task- and environment-dependent. To address this, we introduce a task-adaptive opponent modeling framework that learns a performance-driven mixture of multiple intent representations. We further introduce a new intention representation that maximizes mutual information with the ego-agent's future returns, thereby capturing opponent information that is most directly relevant to performance. Our approach consistently matches or exceeds the performance of state-of-the-art baselines across diverse tasks and yields insights into when and why different opponent modeling strategies succeed.