Understanding Sample Efficiency in Predictive Coding

Predictive coding (PC) offers a local and biologically grounded alternative to backpropagation in the training of artificial neural networks, yet to date, it remains slower, and performance degrades sharply as network depth increases. We trace both problems to a single simplification: current PC networks fix the precision matrix to the identity, discarding precision-weighted prediction errors that the variational derivation requires to be fast, local, and Bayesian. We close this gap by expressing predictive coding networks as deep hierarchical Gaussian filters (HGFs) and restore precision-weighted message passing, yielding dynamic uncertainty estimates and Hebbian-compatible update rules at every layer. The resulting networks can simultaneously learn activations, weights, and precisions under a single free-energy objective, with no global error signal, and resolve inference without requiring iterations or automatic differentiation. On FashionMNIST, our solution approaches backpropagation in epoch-level wall-clock cost while converging in fewer epochs, and outperforms it on online, data efficiency, and concept-drift tasks. We thus establish that closed-form variational inference with online precision learning provides a tractable foundation for deep predictive coding networks, retaining biological and interpretative advantages, without requiring iterative relaxation or global error signals.

Local learning methods offer an alternative to end-to-end backpropagation, but their unstructured local objectives can produce weak feature learning in deep networks. We study whether the order of hidden-state optimization can address this limitation. We propose a boundary-first inference schedule that partitions a model into chunks, first coordinates hidden states at chunk boundaries, and then refines representations within each chunk. We instantiate this schedule in predictive coding networks (PCNs), a local-learning framework in which hidden activities and prediction errors are explicitly exposed during inference. On CIFAR-10, the resulting boundary-first predictive-coding instantiation improves accuracy over standard predictive coding by $9.77\%$ under a standard parametrization and by $5.51\%$ under a $μ$-parametrization. Diagnostic analyses further show more non-trivial early-layer updates, lower initial-to-final CKA, and more diverse layerwise gradients, consistent with stronger feature learning. These results support boundary-first, chunk-based inference as a practical design principle for predictive-coding training and motivate its study in broader local-learning systems.

Predictive coding (PC) is a local-learning alternative to backpropagation (BP), training deep networks via local energy-minimization dynamics rather than a global backward pass. We introduce Augmented Lagrangian Predictive Coding (PC-ALM), which maintains PC's inference budget but aligns each weight update toward BP by accumulating per-layer constraint errors into a layer-local Lagrange multiplier. In linear PC networks, PC-ALM converges to an equilibrium with exact BP gradients distributed across the network via only layer-local updates. We analyze PC-ALM in nonlinear PC networks up to depth 128 and show that it matches BP performance across all width-depth regimes, notably in deep narrow networks where PC underperforms. PC-ALM introduces recurrent dynamics in each layer's activations. Compared to PC's heat flow on a scalar energy, PC-ALM dynamics are driven by dual ascent on the augmented Lagrangian. We observe "ballistic" credit propagation across very deep networks, with credit signals evenly distributed across layers, compared to PC's slow, diffusive credit propagation. Beyond the algorithm itself, the augmented Lagrangian framework offers a generalization of PC, and may yield insights into how distributed systems could compute and propagate BP-like credit signals through purely local dynamics.