Assessing socio-economic climate impacts from text data
Authors: Mariana Madruga de Brito, Brielen Madureira, Taís Maria Nunes Carvalho, Damien Delforge, Aglaé Jézéquel, Murathan Kurfalı, Ni Li, Gabriele Messori, +10 more
Organizations: Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Germany · Leipzig University, Germany · UCLouvain Brussels, Belgium · Ecole des Ponts, France · Université PSL, École Polytechnique, Institut Polytechnique de Paris, Sorbonne Université, CNRS, France · RISE Research Institutes of Sweden, Sweden · Swedish Centre for Impacts of Climate Extremes (Climes), Sweden · Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Belgium · TUD Dresden University of Technology, Germany · Uppsala University, Sweden · Politecnico di Milano, Italy · Center for Climate Change and Transformation, Eurac Research, Italy · Royal Museum for Central Africa, Belgium · Istituto Universitario di Studi Superiori IUSS Pavia, Italy · Technopolis Group, Germany
Recent advances in natural language processing (NLP) and large language models (LLMs) have enabled the systematic use of large-scale textual data from news, social media, and reports to create datasets with socio-economic impacts of climate hazards such as floods, droughts, storms, and multi-hazard events. As the field of text-as-data for impact assessment expands, so does its methodological complexity. Yet research remains fragmented, with no clear guidelines for defining what constitutes an impact, handling temporal and spatial biases, and selecting appropriate modeling and post-processing strategies. This lack of coherence limits transparency and comparability across studies. Here, we address this gap by synthesising common practices, describing key challenges specific to the use of text-as-data methods for analyzing socio-economic impact data, and proposing recommendations to address them. By providing guidance on best practices, we aim to support the construction of robust text-derived socio-economic impact datasets that can more accurately inform disaster risk management and attribution studies.
News articles are an important source of information on disaster impacts and adaptation. A key methodological challenge in socio-environmental studies is how to select a representative data sample. Two approaches are common: querying news databases top-down with the aid of an existing disaster inventory or using NLP methods to cluster news texts bottom-up based on temporal and spatial features. Using a dataset of German news about landslides worldwide, we compare these approaches and discuss variations in event coverage. Such research design decision can influence the resulting news sample, affecting its use in studies of inequality in media coverage, disaster monitoring and inventory enrichment.
Brielen Madureira, Andreas Niekler, Mariana Madruga de Brito
In recent years, text clustering has become a critical technique for applications including intent discovery, topic mining, and recommendation systems. However, evaluating text clustering algorithms remains challenging since many real-world textual datasets are not suitable for clustering assessment due to ambiguous semantic boundaries, the high dimensionality of embeddings, and inconsistent cluster structure. Current clustering dataset generators are designed for numerical data, providing limited support for text-specific benchmarking. This paper introduces TextClusterLab, a comprehensive framework for text clustering research. TextClusterLab offers a Large Language Model (LLM)-driven text clustering dataset generator to produce synthetic text datasets for evaluating clustering algorithms. This generator supports setting various clustering attributes, such as class imbalance, intra-cluster compactness, and inter-cluster diversity. These generated datasets can serve as practical benchmarks for testing the robustness and versatility of text clustering algorithms in diverse scenarios. Moreover, we introduce a benchmark to verify whether a text dataset is suitable for clustering evaluation. Therefore, TextClusterLab provides an integrated framework for reproducible and comprehensive text-specific clustering research. Our TextClusterLab is publicly available at https://github.com/research-paper-code/TextClusterLab, and some synthetic example datasets with various attributes are publicly available at https://huggingface.co/datasets/DW-irlab/TextClusterLab.
Understanding climate change requires reasoning over complex causal networks. Yet, existing causal discovery datasets predominantly capture explicit, direct causal relations. We introduce ClimateCause, a manually expert-annotated dataset of higher-order causal structures from science-for-policy climate reports, including implicit and nested causality. Cause-effect expressions are normalized and disentangled into individual causal relations to facilitate graph construction, with unique annotations for cause-effect correlation, relation type, and spatiotemporal context. We further demonstrate ClimateCause's value for quantifying readability based on the semantic complexity of causal graphs underlying a statement. Finally, large language model benchmarking on correlation inference and causal chain reasoning highlights the latter as a key challenge.
Liesbeth Allein, Nataly Pineda-Castañeda, Andrea Rocci +1