Reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR) has become a dominant paradigm for improving reasoning in large language models (LLMs), yet the underlying geometry of the resulting parameter trajectories remains underexplored. In this work, we demonstrate that RLVR weight trajectories are extremely low-rank and highly predictable. Specifically, we find that the majority of downstream performance gains are captured by a rank-1 approximation of the parameter deltas, where the magnitude of this projection evolves near-linearly with training steps. Motivated by this, we propose a simple and compute-efficient method RELEX (REinforcement Learning EXtrapolation), which estimates the rank-1 subspace from a short observation window and extrapolates future checkpoints via linear regression, with no learned model required. Across three models (i.e., Qwen2.5-Math-1.5B, Qwen3-4B-Base, and Qwen3-8B-Base), RELEX produces checkpoints that match or exceed RLVR performance on both in-domain and out-of-domain benchmarks, requiring as few as 15% steps of full RLVR training. Remarkably, RELEX is able to extrapolate far beyond the observation window at no training cost, predicting checkpoints up to 10-20× beyond the observed prefix with continued improvement (e.g., observe only the first 50 steps and extrapolate to 1000 steps). Our ablation analysis confirms the minimalist sufficiency of RELEX: neither increasing the subspace rank nor employing non-linear modeling yields further gains in extrapolation. Finally, we show that RELEX's success stems from a "denoising" effect: by projecting updates onto the rank-1 subspace, the model discards stochastic optimization noise that would otherwise degrade performance during extrapolation. Our code is available at https://github.com/weizhepei/RELEX.
Recent extensive research has demonstrated that the enhanced reasoning capabilities acquired by models through Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) are primarily concentrated within the rank-1 components. Predicated on this observation, we employed Periodic Rank-1 Substitution and identified a counterintuitive phenomenon: RLVR may exhibit implicit reward overfitting to the training dataset. Specifically, the model can achieve satisfactory performance on the test set even when its rewards remain relatively low during the training process. Furthermore, we characterize three distinct properties of RL training: (1) The effective rank-1 component in RLVR don't maintain other model knowledge except mathematical reasoning capability. (2) RLVR fundamentally functions by optimizing a specific singular spectrum. The distribution of singular values of almost all linear layers in RLVR-trained model behaves like heavy-tailed distribution. (3) the left singular vectors associated with rank-1 components demonstrate a stronger alignment tendency during training, which echoes the discovery that RLVR is optimizing sampling efficiency in essence. Taken together, our findings and analysis further reveal how RLVR shapes model parameters and offer potential insights for improving existing RL paradigms or other training paradigms to implement continual learning.
Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) has become a widely adopted technique for enhancing the reasoning ability of Large Language Models (LLMs). However, the effectiveness of RLVR strongly depends on the capability of base models. This issue arises because it requires the model to have sufficient capability to perform high-quality exploration, which involves both effectiveness and diversity. Unfortunately, existing methods address this issue by imitating expert trajectories, which improve effectiveness but neglect diversity. To address this, we argue that the expert only needs to provide guidance only at critical decision points rather than the entire reasoning path. Based on this insight, we propose MENTOR: Mixed-policy Expert Navigation for Token-level Optimization of Reasoning, a framework that provides expert guidance only at critical decision points to perform effective and diverse exploration in RLVR. Extensive experiments show that MENTOR enables models capture the essence of expert strategies rather than surface imitation, thereby performing high-quality exploration and achieving superior overall performance. Our code is available online.
While reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR) is widely used to improve the reasoning capabilities of large language models (LLMs), the generalizability of the resulting models remains poorly understood. In this work, we establish the first non-vacuous generalization bounds for parameter-efficient RLVR fine-tuning at the billion-parameter scale. Our approach adapts PAC-Bayes compression bounds to this setting, and addresses the inherent stochasticity of token generation by applying the Gumbel-max reparameterization trick. To operationalize these bounds, we propose the Progressive RLVR framework, which integrates RLVR with on-policy distillation, TinyLoRA, and model quantization. Progressive RLVR empirically retains 84-97% performance of standard LoRA fine-tuning while producing models that are 14,796x more compressible. We show that this framework yields non-vacuous generalization bounds in four domains: mathematical problem-solving, programming, general-knowledge reasoning, and Text-to-SQL. Our bounds exceed the accuracy of the base model by 9-51% and lie within 6-11% of the accuracy of the fine-tuned models.