A Boundary-Layer Mechanism for One-Third Scaling in Online Softmax Classification

We study the information-theoretic limits of learning a one-hidden-layer teacher network with hierarchical features from noisy queries, in the context of knowledge transfer to a smaller student model. We work in the high-dimensional regime where the teacher width $k$ scales linearly with the input dimension $d$ -- a setting that captures large-but-finite-width networks and has only recently become analytically tractable. Using a heuristic leave-one-out decoupling argument, validated numerically throughout, we derive asymptotically sharp characterizations of the Bayes-optimal generalization error and individual feature overlaps via a system of closed fixed-point equations. These equations reveal that feature learnability is governed by a sequence of sharp phase transitions: as data grows, teacher features become recoverable sequentially, each through a discontinuous jump in overlap. This sequential acquisition underlies a precise notion of \textit{effective width} $k_c$ -- the number of learnable features at a given data budget $n$ -- which unifies two distinct scaling regimes: a feature-learning regime in which the Bayes-optimal generalization error $\varepsilon^{\rm BO}$ scales as $n^{1/(2β)-1}$, and a refinement regime in which it scales as $n^{-1}$, where $β>1/2$ is the exponent of the power-law feature hierarchy. Both laws collapse to the single relation $\varepsilon^{\rm BO}=Θ(k_c d/n)$. We further show empirically that a student trained with \textsc{Adam} near the effective width $k_c$ achieves these optimal scaling laws (up to a small algorithmic gap), and provide an information-theoretic account of the associated scaling in model size.

We study the training dynamics of multiclass logistic regression on high-dimensional Gaussian mixture models with a large number of classes and establish precise scaling laws governing the cross-entropy risk under gradient-based optimization. We show that learning proceeds sequentially across classes, from most to least frequent. When the class priors follow a power law distribution, the risk dynamics decompose into three phases: an initial plateau until the first class is learned, a power-law decay regime during which sequential learning occurs, and a final convergence regime. We then analyze how model capacity interacts with optimization under a fixed compute budget. When the effective dimension is restricted via projection onto leading principal components, the risk decomposes into a capacity term (a power law in the retained dimension) and an optimization term (a power law in training time). Optimizing this tradeoff yields a compute-optimal scaling law for logistic regression, with explicit prescriptions for model size and training time as functions of compute. These results extend theoretical scaling laws from linear regression to multiclass classification, while connecting to empirical scaling laws observed in large-scale neural networks.

We study optimal learning rate (LR) schedules under the functional scaling law (FSL) framework (Li et al., 2025), which decomposes training dynamics into signal learning and noise forgetting. In power-law kernel regression, these two components are governed by a source exponent $s>0$ and a capacity exponent $q>1$, respectively, with smaller $s$ corresponding to harder tasks. For a fixed training horizon $N$, we characterize the schedules that minimize the final-step loss under a stability constraint and reveal a sharp phase transition. In the easy-task regime $s>1-1/q$, the optimal schedule follows power decay from the beginning of training; in the hard-task regime $s<1-1/q$, it becomes warmup-stable-decay (WSD)-like (Hu et al., 2024), staying at the largest admissible LR for most of training before a final decay. In both regimes, the decay exponent is $2q-1$: task difficulty determines when to decay, while model capacity determines how to decay. Beyond the exact optimum, we study fractional schedules, whose shape is defined over relative training progress. We show that precise tuning of the decay shape is often unnecessary: a broad class of profiles attains the optimal convergence rate, while overly slow terminal decay leads to schedule-induced capacity saturation. Finally, for one-pass SGD in kernel regression, FSL-motivated power-decay schedules achieve optimal last-iterate rates. Experiments support the theoretical predictions and the task-dependent transition between early and delayed decay.