Federated Learning for Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection in Industrial Automation

Distributed IoT systems generate multivariate time-series streams for monitoring physical assets, servers, and embedded sensing platforms. Detecting abnormal temporal behavior is critical for fault diagnosis, predictive maintenance, and security. However, practical IoT anomaly detection is hindered by decentralized and non-IID data, limited bandwidth, and the constrained computation and memory of edge devices. This paper proposes FedKAD, a resource-efficient federated Koopman anomaly detection framework for distributed IoT multivariate time series. Unlike deep-learning-based anomaly detectors that require training and communicating large neural models, FedKAD learns normal temporal dynamics through lightweight sliding-window Koopman representations. Federated training is formulated as a low-rank consensus problem, where raw sensor streams and local reduced dynamics remain on device while only compact subspace variables are exchanged with the server. To optimize the shared representation under orthonormality constraints, we develop a federated Stiefel-ADMM algorithm and provide convergence and stationarity analysis under partial client participation. During inference, each client detects anomalies locally by measuring the prediction residual between observed future trajectories and the learned Koopman dynamics. Experiments on four widely used multivariate time-series anomaly detection benchmarks show that FedKAD maintains or improves detection performance compared with federated deep-learning baselines. More importantly for IoT deployment, FedKAD provides up to $2.1\times10^3$ faster training, $80\times$ lower communication, and $79\times$ lower inference latency than neural baselines, confirming its suitability for resource-constrained edge devices.

Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection (MTSAD) is essential for reliability and safety in domains such as industrial process monitoring and financial risk management, yet conventional approaches rely on application-specific models that are costly to train and hard to scale. Foundation Models (FMs), pre-trained on broad data with strong zero-shot generalization, have recently become available for univariate time series forecasting, raising the question of whether they can address MTSAD without task-specific training. We investigate the zero-shot application of a univariate forecasting FM, TimesFM, to industrial MTSAD on the Secure Water Treatment (SWaT) benchmark, evaluating two strategies: treating the FM as a per-feature forecaster with thresholded prediction errors, and as an embedder whose intermediate representations feed standard outlier detectors. Neither of our proposed setups is competitive with established baselines; embeddings reveal only partial separation between normal and anomalous segments, insufficient for reliable detection. The cause is that the FM is too effective at capturing temporal dynamics, yielding low error even within fully anomalous windows, so persistent anomalies become indistinguishable from normal behavior. However, these observations yield valuable insights: the error peaks at anomaly boundaries, indicating FMs reliably detect distribution changes. We conclude that the proposed naive zero-shot FMs are unsuitable for MTSAD but promising for change-point detection.

We present a unified experiment, analysis, and benchmark study of multivariate time-series (MTS) anomaly detection. Ten family-representative detectors -- spanning statistical, reconstruction, association, frequency, and generic-transformer families -- are evaluated on five datasets (SMD, MSL, SMAP, PSM, and MSDS) under effectiveness, efficiency, robustness, and cross-dataset generalisation. All methods share the same windowing, scoring, hardware, and metric protocols. Effectiveness, ablation, and robustness use three random seeds; cross-dataset transfer uses seed~0 because each extra seed requires $250$ source-target evaluations. The benchmark yields three method-independent findings: no single-bias baseline dominates; absolute perturbation VUS-ROC is more informative than retention ratios; and MSDS behaves as an event-dense deployment workload rather than a sparse point-anomaly benchmark. Under this protocol we also introduce \ours{}, an adaptive detector family combining a NOTEARS-constrained directed channel-graph view with optional patch-attention and temporal-association views. \ours{} achieves the best macro-average VUS-ROC ($0.675$, $+5.1$~pt over the second-best LSTM-AE), ranks first overall, and reaches the top-3 on all five datasets. Its wins on MSL and MSDS are narrow, while its average and robustness gains are larger: under the same three-seed robustness protocol for every method, it obtains the strongest absolute VUS-ROC across noise, channel dropout, and time-shift perturbations. We release the MSDS preprocessing protocol, configurations, scripts, and seed-level metric dumps.