Model Merging by Output-Space Projection

Modern deep learning usually treats models as separate artifacts: trained independently, specialized for particular purposes, and replaced when improved versions appear. This thesis studies model merging as an alternative paradigm: combining independently trained neural networks directly in weight space, with little or no optimization and without requiring access to the original training data. The thesis considers two main regimes. In the single-task setting, where models share an objective but differ in initialization, we introduce C$^2$M$^3$, a cycle-consistent merging algorithm based on Frank-Wolfe optimization. C$^2$M$^3$ aligns multiple networks into a shared, reference-free parameter space, making weight averaging meaningful without privileging any individual model. In the multi-task setting, where models are fine-tuned for different downstream tasks from a common pretrained initialization, we first develop a theoretical account of task vectors as approximate gradients. This explains both the effectiveness and the limitations of task arithmetic. Building on this view, we show that task vectors inherit the low-rank structure of gradients and introduce Task Singular Vectors (TSV), a decomposition that enables compression and interference reduction through TSV-Merge. We then present MASS, an input-adaptive routing method that uses TSV geometry to select task-relevant subspaces at inference time. Finally, we introduce MERGE$^3$, an evolutionary merging framework that uses Item Response Theory to reduce evaluation costs by up to 50$\times$ while preserving solution quality. Together, these contributions provide theoretical and algorithmic foundations for model merging, supporting a paradigm in which learned capabilities can be composed, reused, and extended across models.

Model merging combines task experts into one model and avoids joint training, retraining, or deploying many expert models, but the merged model often still underperforms task experts. We study this performance gap through feature drift, the difference between features produced by the merged model and by the expert on the same input. Our theory decomposes this drift into upstream propagation and local mismatch, tracks how it propagates and combines through later layers in forward order, and links final feature drift to output drift. This view motivates FeatCal, which uses a small calibration set to calibrate the merged model weights layer by layer in forward order, reducing feature drift while staying close to merged weights and preserving the benefits of model merging. FeatCal uses an efficient closed-form solution to update model weights, with no gradient descent, iterative optimization, or extra modules. On the main CLIP and GLUE benchmarks, FeatCal beats Surgery and ProbSurgery, the closest post-merging calibration baselines: 85.5% vs. 77.0%/78.8% on CLIP-ViT-B/32 Task Arithmetic (TA) and 85.2% vs. 83.7%/82.2% on FLAN-T5-base GLUE. On CLIP-ViT-B/32, 8 examples per task reach 82.9%, and 256 examples per task take 53 seconds, about 4x faster than both baselines, showing better sample efficiency and lower calibration cost.

Model merging aims to combine existing single-task solutions into a multi-task solution without additional data-driven fine-tuning.~Most existing approaches achieve this using geometric properties of local solution spaces. However, such geometric views provide limited guidance for scoring how statistically useful each task-specific update direction is across tasks during merging. To address this, we formulate model merging from a new perspective of probabilistic inference under a product-of-experts (PoE) scenario where each single-task solution defines an energy-based expert model (EBM) over the merged parameters. We show that several existing model merging methods arise as special cases of our framework under energy designs that impose implicit Gaussian assumptions on directional residuals between merged and task-specific models. Empirically, we find that these residuals are often heavy-tailed which exposes a mismatch with the imposed light-tailed Gaussian structures. We address this with a heavy-tailed PoE design based on Cauchy experts, which better captures the observed residual behavior while admitting a provably convergent inference procedure. Experiments across multiple tasks and architectures show significant improvements over state-of-the-arts baselines. Our code is available at https://github.com/MinhLong210/PoE-EBM-Merging.git.