When Data Is Scarce: Scaling Sparse Language Models with Repeated Training

The scaling laws guiding modern model training were calibrated for a single regime: data-rich, single-epoch pretraining. The dominant such scaling law form, Chinchilla's $L = E + A/N^α+ B/D^β$, has three structural limitations outside that regime: it diverges as unique data shrinks instead of saturating at the uninformed baseline; it cannot represent overfitting when capacity exceeds the data; and it conflates total examples seen with unique examples available. We propose a closed-form extension, $L(N, D, T) = E + (L_0 - E)\,h/(1+h)$ with $h = a/N^α+ b/T^β+ c\,N^γ/D^δ$, that decomposes loss into undercapacity, undertraining, and overfitting terms. It saturates between the irreducible loss $E$ and an uninformed baseline $L_0$ fixed by the loss type, and reduces to Chinchilla in the data-rich, single-epoch limit. We validate it on four multi-epoch experiments spanning four architecture families (MLPs, ResNets, Fourier neural operators, and transformers) across vision, scientific ML, and language domains, and refit it to five published LLM scaling-law grids. Extrapolating to higher compute and larger unique data than seen at fit time, our form achieves state-of-the-art RMSE on every published LLM grid we evaluate and on most cells of our constructed experiments. Once calibrated, the form admits a cost-aware allocation that recovers Chinchilla's optimum when data is free and shifts toward smaller corpora and more epochs as data grows expensive.

Upweighting high-quality data in LLM pretraining often improves performance, but in datalimited regimes, especially under overtraining, stronger upweighting increases repetition and can degrade performance. However, standard scaling laws do not reliably extrapolate across mixture recipes or under repetitions, making the selection for optimal data recipes at scaling underdetermined. To solve this, we introduce InfoLaw (Information Scaling Laws), a data-aware scaling framework that predicts loss from consumed tokens, model size, data mixture weights, and repetition. The key idea is to model pretraining as information accumulation, where quality controls information density and repetition induces scaledependent diminishing returns. We first collect the model performance after training on datasets that vary in scale, quality distribution, and repetition level. Then we build up the modeling for information so that information accurately predicts those model performance. InfoLaw predicts performance on unseen data recipes and larger scale runs (up to 7B, 425B tokens) with 0.15% mean and 0.96% max absolute error in loss, and it extrapolates reliably across overtraining levels, enabling efficient data-recipe selection under varying compute budgets.

Classical scaling laws for language model pretraining balance model size against training dataset size under a fixed compute budget, assuming abundant data and a single pass over the corpus. As training compute grows faster than the supply of natural language data, pretraining is likely to enter a data-constrained, compute-rich regime where models train for multiple epochs over a finite dataset. We study data-constrained pretraining along two axes, regularization and scaling. For regularization, we study masked-input regularization (MIR), an auxiliary next-token prediction loss on randomly masked inputs. MIR tests whether the random masking central to diffusion language models can benefit autoregressive pretraining without architectural changes or inference overhead. Across 72M to 1.4B parameter models, we find that MIR added on top of strong weight decay improves validation loss over autoregressive strong-weight-decay-only models, with downstream gains at 1.4B. For scaling, we propose SoftQ, a scaling law that couples model size and data size to capture their interaction under repeated data. Classical alternatives such as the Chinchilla law use an additive form that decouples these terms, making them misspecified in the data-constrained regime. We find that SoftQ fits data-constrained experiments substantially better than these alternatives, and estimates MIR's gains as equivalent to roughly 1.3 times as much unique training data. We release our code at https://github.com/yixinw-lab/dc_pretrain.