Implicit Geographic Inference in LLM Medical Triage: Language-Driven Disparities in Emergency Recommendations

We investigate whether large language models produce different medical triage recommendations for identical neurological symptoms when only the patient's stated gender and age vary. Using three model families--Gemini 3.5 Flash, Claude Sonnet 4.6, and GPT-5.4-mini--we present a standardized symptom profile (persistent headache, blurred vision, morning nausea, visual disturbances) across seven demographic conditions: three age groups (25, 38, 65) x two genders (male, female), plus a gender-unspecified baseline (n = 30 per condition per model, 630 total trials). We find a stark, systemic gender-dependent triage disparity: young women receive significantly lower emergency room (ER) referral rates than age-matched men (Gemini: 0% vs. 23.3%; Claude: 6.7% vs. 96.7%; GPT: 6.7% vs. 66.7%, all p < 0.001). The disparity disappears at age 65 for all models. The primary mechanism is diagnostic substitution: the models anchor on a gender-associated diagnosis, preferentially classifying young women with Idiopathic Intracranial Hypertension (IIH)--a condition epidemiologically linked to women of childbearing age--while diagnosing men with generic increased intracranial pressure with space-occupying lesions in the differential. This diagnostic closure routes female patients to lower-urgency care (outpatient doctor appointments) despite comparable severity ratings (7-9/10). Our findings demonstrate that clinical LLMs replicate documented human clinical biases by using epidemiological priors to suppress triage urgency, suggesting that AI triage engines must decouple urgency assessment from probabilistic diagnostic priors. We release all code, prompts, and raw results.

High-stakes decisions under uncertainty, such as medical emergency triage, require more than accurate predictions. They depend on estimating the likelihood of alternative outcomes while explicitly weighing the consequences of different actions, principles that have long formed the foundation of medical diagnosis and decision making. Yet language models are increasingly used for high-stakes clinical recommendations without explicit specification of the utilities governing these decisions. Here we show that emergency triage with language models can be understood within a probabilistic decision framework, providing a case study of a broader decision-analytic paradigm for steering, evaluating, and deploying language models in high-stakes settings. Using clinical vignettes from a structured evaluation of a consumer triage system, we analyze recommendations for treatment under alternative utility functions that specify the relative costs of missed emergencies and unnecessary escalation. We find that capable language models adjust recommendations in response to stated utilities, revealing that the same underlying predictions can support markedly different decision policies. These findings show that effective deployment depends not only on improving predictions but also on making decision objectives explicit. More broadly, they suggest that language models for high-stakes applications should be understood and evaluated as probabilistic decision systems whose recommendations depend jointly on predictive performance and explicit utilities.

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly explored for clinical decision support, yet most evaluations are conducted in English, leaving their reliability in other languages uncertain. Here we evaluate the impact of prompting language on diagnostic reasoning and final diagnosis accuracy by comparing English and French performance across five LLMs (o3, DeepSeek-R1, GPT-4-Turbo, Llama-3.1-405B-Instruct, and BioMistral-7B). A total of 180 clinical vignettes covering 16 medical specialties were assessed by two physicians using an 18-point scale evaluating both diagnosis accuracy and reasoning quality. Four of the five models performed better in English (mean difference 0.37-0.91, adjusted p < 0.05), with the gap spanning multiple aspects of reasoning, including differential diagnosis, logical structure, and internal validity. o3 was the only model showing no overall language effect. These findings demonstrate that prompting language remains a critical determinant of LLM clinical performance, with implications for equitable linguistico-cultural deployment worldwide.