Reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards is widely used for post-training reasoning models, but sparse outcome rewards make exploration difficult. A complementary approach is to optimize inference-time objectives such as pass@K and max@K directly, yet existing policy-gradient estimators for these objectives use different signals, baselines, and normalizations, making their relationships unclear. We study this issue through baseline design and advantage centering. Starting from the advantage estimator of a leading method in the field, we show that it is policy-gradient unbiased but yields a non-centered advantage. We then introduce a Leave-Two-Out baseline that preserves policy-gradient unbiasedness while making realized batch advantages exactly centered. The resulting method, MaxPO, has an efficient quadratic-time implementation and integrates naturally into group-based RL for LLM post-training. We further derive the canonical finite-batch advantage for max@K, providing a unified view of existing advantage estimators. Empirically, we verify that the L2O baseline reduces gradient variance and outperforms non-centered alternatives.
Reinforcement learning post-training dramatically improves LLM reasoning, but suffers from training instability and diversity collapse. Advantage functions offer an appealing fix: they reshape the training objective, reweight which rollouts drive learning, and are trivial to implement. Yet a proliferation of methods makes it unclear which advantage to use and when. We cut through the confusion with a unifying framework that decomposes any advantage into its positive and negative gradient mass along two orthogonal axes. On the sign axis, imbalanced updates collapse either entropy or weight geometry. On the difficulty axis, hard-problem focus sharpens signal but costs sample size. Both trade-offs shift during training: exploration favors balance and hard focus; exploitation favors suppression and medium focus. This motivates FADE (Focal Advantage with Dynamic Entropy), a self-adapting advantage that reads training dynamics to schedule the gradient weight automatically. FADE reaches peak pass@1 20k steps earlier than the best static baseline at the 7B scale and 2k steps earlier at the 32B , while achieving the best accuracy-diversity trade-off across all pass@k on LiveCodeBench and AIME.
Reinforcement learning (RL) for LLM post-training faces a fundamental design choice: whether to use a learned critic as a baseline for policy optimization. Classical theory favors critic-based methods such as PPO for variance reduction, yet critic-free alternatives like GRPO have gained widespread adoption due to their simplicity and competitive performance. We show that in sparse-reward settings, a learned critic can inject estimation noise that exceeds the state signal it captures, increasing rather than reducing advantage variance. By casting baseline selection as a Kalman filtering problem, we unify PPO and GRPO as two extremes of the Kalman gain and prove that explained variance (EV), computable from a single training batch, identifies the exact boundary: positive EV indicates the critic reduces variance, while zero or negative EV signals that it inflates variance. Building on this insight, we propose Explained Variance Policy Optimization (EVPO), which monitors batch-level EV at each training step and adaptively switches between critic-based and batch-mean advantage estimation, provably achieving no greater variance than the better of the two at every step. Across four tasks spanning classical control, agentic interaction, and mathematical reasoning, EVPO consistently outperforms both PPO and GRPO regardless of which fixed baseline is stronger on a given task. Further analysis confirms that the adaptive gating tracks critic maturation over training and that the theoretically derived zero threshold is empirically optimal.
Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) is a standard algorithm for reinforcement learning from verifiable rewards, but its group-mean-centered advantage can fail under binary rewards. The failure mode is gradient starvation: when every response in a group is correct or every response is wrong, the centered advantage is exactly zero and the policy receives no learning signal. We prove that the true degeneracy rate always exceeds the i.i.d. Bernoulli prediction by Jensen's inequality, and observe a 0.69 degeneracy rate at group size four in logged Qwen3.5-9B GSM8K training. We then show that the fixed-reference Sign advantage, A=2r−1, performs pass@G failure descent by increasing the probability that at least one sample in the group succeeds. On the full GSM8K test set across seven seeds, Sign reaches 73.8% accuracy versus 28.4% for standard normalized group-mean DrGRPO at group size four, a 45.4 point gain with p<0.0001. The effect is directionally consistent on Llama-3.1-8B and positive but underpowered on a MATH-500 transfer check. Pass@k analysis indicates that the main benefit is search compression rather than large capacity expansion, aligning the empirical gains with recent RLVR ceiling observations.