IDDMBSE: Integrating Data-Driven and Model-Based Systems Engineering for Trusted Autonomous Cyber-Physical Systems

Threat modeling for cyber-physical systems (CPS) remains a largely manual exercise. This project presents SMSI (System Model Security Inference), a hybrid neuro-symbolic pipeline that starts from a SysML architecture model and produces a prioritized list of NIST 800-53 security controls. The prototype has three main stages: a deterministic parser mapping system components to vulnerabilities via the NVD; a family of retrieval and classification models linking vulnerabilities to MITRE ATT&CK techniques; and a control recommender. We explore three approaches for CVE-to-ATT&CK mapping: a supervised classifier using fine-tuned SecureBERT+, retrieval-based dense encoders, and a zero-shot LLM approach using Gemma-4 26B. We validate the pipeline on a healthcare IoT gateway with nine software components. For the ATT&CK-to-NIST stage, pretrained SecureBERT achieves the highest control retrieval scores, demonstrating that dense embeddings provide a strong basis for automated control recommendation.

The deployment of autonomous cyber-physical systems in safety-critical environments requires closed-loop control strategies (i.e., policies) that are not only performant but also provably safe and robust. While learning-based methodologies such as Reinforcement Learning offer flexible and scalable approaches to automatically synthesize such controllers, they typically lack the formal guarantees necessary for safe deployment. To bridge this gap, we propose a novel simulation-based methodology to automatically synthesize policies with formal guarantees regarding performance, safety, and robustness specifications. Specifically, given a set of properties to verify, a confidence parameter $δ$ and an allowable failure probability $\varepsilon$, our method guarantees that the synthesized policy comes with a certificate: with confidence at least $1 - δ$, the probability of encountering a scenario where the given properties are violated is at most $\varepsilon$. We demonstrate the feasibility of our approach by developing SMC-ES, an algorithm that integrates Evolutionary Strategies with Statistical Model Checking-based verification. We evaluate SMC-ES on a suite of continuous control tasks using Gymnasium and Safety Gymnasium testbeds. Results show that, at the price of a sustainable increase in computational cost, our algorithm provides formal guarantees regarding performance, safety, and robustness specifications, while performing competitively against leading model-free Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) and Safe-DRL baselines.

Autonomous agents, whether LLM-driven software agents or robotic physical agents, face a common class of failure modes when operating without continuous human oversight: safety violations from unverified actions, behavioral instability from unconstrained loops, and continuity loss from unhandled error states. We develop \system{}, a discrete-time control system that combines five execution gears (\Gobs{}, \Gsug{}, \Gplan{}, \Gexec{}, \Gint{}) with utility-gated dispatch and event-driven fallback. For the single-agent case, we prove monotonic stability, execution safety, eventual stabilization, fallback completeness, and equivalence to a gear-constrained Markov decision process. For multi-agent cyber-physical systems (CPS), we apply the established \smart{} managed-autonomy lifecycle and map runtime evidence into its four governance states (\Stable{}/\Meta{}/\Assisted{}/\Regulated{}). Consensus gating, swarm-level Lyapunov analysis, per-agent gear authority, and rendezvous control provide distributed safety and stability guarantees, including zero collision under the stated assumptions. We evaluate the resulting runtime on a three-agent UR5 robotic assembly cell using fault magnitudes calibrated from the NIST \emph{Degradation Measurement of Robot Arm Position Accuracy} dataset across 10,000 Monte Carlo episodes. It achieves a 99.6% anomaly detection rate versus 2.1% for the single-agent baseline, reduces detection latency by $3.5\times$, and supplies a formal physical-workspace safety certificate. The execution gears act as micro-level permissions beneath the \smart{} runtime governance states, separating action control from autonomy governance.