Biological Reasoning-Informed Regression for Interpretable Regulatory DNA Activity Prediction

High-grade gliomas integrate into neural circuits through functional synapses with neurons, raising the question of which noncoding elements shape synaptogenic gene expression in tumor cells. The regulatory program written across the dark genome, what we call the $\textit{dark regulome}$, is the natural substrate to probe, and sequence foundation models offer a zero-shot route through in-silico mutagenesis (ISM); yet likelihood-based scoring is tautologically coupled to local sequence predictability, leaving the regulatory interpretation underdetermined. Across three architecturally distinct foundation models (Caduceus-Ph, HyenaDNA, Enformer) and 30,448 dark genome elements at 92 glioma-relevant loci, we introduce a residualization-and-permutation diagnostic that separates predictability-driven from regulation-driven RIS variance. A sharp 10kb proximal-regulatory horizon survives every control we apply, but the LM-derived element-class hierarchy does not: a six-feature linear baseline matches Caduceus top-decile membership at AUC $= 0.985$. Cross-architecture decomposition cleanly separates a sequence-predictability layer (the two language models co-rank long well-predicted transposable elements) from a regulatory-output layer (Enformer alone retains residual cCRE-discriminative signal), with literally zero overlap between the two top-100 lists. Conservation, brain cis-eQTL, and STRING-PPI cross-checks then anchor what biology survives: top-100 elements across all three models are $3.3\times$ enriched per model for matching brain eQTLs ($p_\mathrm{emp} < 5\times 10^{-3}$), while a tempting transposable-element regulatory layer and a striking NRXN1+NLGN1 protein-pair convergence both fail proper permutation tests once those tests are constructed. We deliver the diagnostic as a general methodological tool for any ISM-based regulatory study.

Motivation: Interpretability is not optional in biology: understanding gene regulation requires models whose learned structure can be directly interrogated, not merely accurate predictors whose internals resist mapping onto regulatory relationships. We ask whether an architecture mirroring the central dogma yields attention and gradient maps that recover known regulatory elements and networks in inspectable form. Results: Central Dogma Transformer II (CDT-II) mirrors the central dogma in its architecture -- DNA self-attention, RNA self-attention, and DNA-to-RNA cross-attention -- requiring only genomic embeddings and raw per-cell expression. On K562 CRISPR interference (CRISPRi) data with five genes held out entirely, CDT-II predicts perturbation effects (per-gene mean r = 0.84), recovers the GFI1B regulatory network (6.6-fold enrichment, P = 3.5 x 10^-17), and concentrates cross-attention on ENCODE regulatory elements including CTCF sites (mean 7.67x across 28 target genes, P < 0.001). Gradient attribution predicts consequences of perturbing therapeutic targets (mean r = 0.82). For TFRC, target of the anti-TfR1 antibody PPMX-T003, it identifies erythrocyte-structure, iron-dependent DNA-synthesis and oxidative-stress genes, matching anemia and ferroptosis reported clinically and preclinically -- without clinical data as input. CDT-II acts as an AI microscope, surfacing clinically relevant regulatory structure from perturbation experiments alone. Availability: Source code is available at https://github.com/nobusama/CDT2. Pre-computed embeddings, training data, and model weights are available at https://huggingface.co/datasets/nobusama17/CDT2-data.

Nucleotide sequence analysis is central to problems spanning regulatory genomics, evolutionary biology, and phenotype prediction. Classical bioinformatics methods extract interpretable sequence properties such as motifs and k-mer composition, but their flexibility is limited. In contrast, modern deep learning models can learn powerful predictive representations directly from raw sequences, yet their internal representations and decision mechanisms are difficult to inspect. Interpretable machine learning methods (e.g., sparse linear models and decision trees) provide human-understandable representations of predictive relationships but are not designed to operate directly on nucleotide sequences. Here, we introduce SeqMaestro, a machine learning framework that proposes biological hypotheses from nucleotide sequences using interpretable models. Our solution is centered around a two-layer interface that connects nucleotide sequences with the broader ecosystem of interpretable machine learning. SeqMaestro uses this interface to fit diverse combinations of interpretable models, feature representations, and extraction strategies, leveraging variability across transparent models to identify robust biological signals and richer predictive relationships than feature importance alone can provide. The system also supports data transformation and cleaning, model fitting, hyperparameter tuning, reliability analysis, and synthesis of results into a contextualized written report. By providing these capabilities through a no-code workflow, SeqMaestro is designed to make interpretable sequence analysis accessible to researchers without requiring extensive programming or machine learning expertise. SeqMaestro thereby provides an accessible route from nucleotide sequences to biological hypotheses.