Simplex-Constrained Sparse Bagging: Transitioning from Uniform Priors to Sparse Posteriors in Ensemble Learning

Tree ensembles such as random forests (RFs) and gradient boosting machines (GBMs) are among the most widely used supervised learners, yet their theoretical properties remain incompletely understood. We adopt a spectral perspective on these algorithms, with two main contributions. First, we derive minimax-optimal convergence for RF regression, showing that, under mild regularity conditions on tree growth, the eigenvalue decay of the induced kernel operator governs the statistical rate. Second, we exploit this spectral viewpoint to develop compression schemes for tree ensembles. For RFs, leading eigenfunctions of the kernel operator capture the dominant predictive directions; for GBMs, leading singular vectors of the smoother matrix play an analogous role. Learning nonlinear maps for these spectral representations yields distilled models that are orders of magnitude smaller than the originals while maintaining competitive predictive performance. Our methods compare favorably to state of the art algorithms for forest pruning and rule extraction, with applications to resource constrained computing.

Ensemble models achieve state-of-the-art performance on prediction tasks, but usually require aggregating a large number of weak learners. This can hinder deployment, interpretability, and downstream tasks such as robustness verification. Remedies to this issue fall into two main camps: pruning, which discards redundant learners, and compression, which generates new ones from scratch. We introduce PACE, a framework that interleaves these paradigms in a two-phase strategy. First, new learners are actively generated via a theoretically grounded procedure to enhance the diversity of the initial ensemble. When no more relevant learners can be found, a second phase of pruning is performed on this enriched ensemble. During both operations, PACE allows fine control on the faithfulness to the original ensemble. Experiments show that our method outperforms prior pruning and compression methods while offering principled control of faithfulness guarantees.

We study feature bagging through the lens of algorithmic stability. Feature bagging is an ensemble strategy that aggregates base learners trained on randomly subsampled feature subsets, possibly in a data-dependent manner. We introduce feature instability (FI), the feature-axis analogue of instance instability (II), which measures sensitivity to removing a single feature. Smaller values of II or FI correspond to stronger stability, and our experiments show that FI captures generalization-relevant information complementary to II. Within this framework, we analyze feature bagging in both a parametric linear model and a model-free setting inspired by recursive feature subsampling in random forests. In both settings, we establish formal guarantees showing that feature bagging improves the relevant stability relative to its non-bagged counterpart, with larger improvements under more aggressive subsampling. We further show that a modest number of bagging rounds is sufficient to approach the infinite-bagging stability level.