Tuning Agent-Based Predator-Prey Models Toward Lotka-Volterra Dynamics

Agent-based modeling (ABM) has the capability to model millions of individuals and their interactions, which is useful for policy making. However, ABMs have traditionally relied on static prior, which prevents the models from adapting to real-time changes. Our research provides a novel approach to addressing this information gap. Large language models (LLMs) offer new opportunities to predict human decision-making. Here, we introduce a scalable Hybrid Agent-based and Language-driven Epidemic (HALE) modeling framework that leverages LLMs to predict human decision-making in an ABM simulation. As a proof-of-concept, we use HALE to simulate COVID-19 and its effects in Salt Lake County, UT.

Policy-oriented agent-based models are increasingly used to study regulatory interventions in complex adaptive socio-technical systems. Recent adaptive ABM frameworks distinguish between static and adaptive agents, fixed and adaptive policies, and alternative controller designs. However, most diagnostic workflows remain ex post: trajectories are analysed after simulation, but the resulting evidence is not systematically fed back into the policy controller. This paper proposes a lightweight machine-coached policy-revision layer for adaptive agent-based regulation. The layer represents policy decisions as defeasible rules with explicit conflicts and priorities, generates explanations for controller actions, and allows diagnostic failures to be translated into rule additions, removals, or priority changes. The contribution is not a new optimal controller and does not claim formal guarantees for unrestricted machine coaching. Instead, it provides a simulation-compatible operationalization of controller-level contestability: policy decisions can be explained, challenged, revised, and re-evaluated in held-out simulation runs. A stylized emissions-regulation ABM is used as the experimental component. A controlled simulation experiment focuses on an over-conservatism failure in the VPVA regime. The predefined coaching template adds a relaxation rule to the symbolic controller, reducing over-conservatism recurrence under held-out seeds while preserving violation, overshoot, and volatility guardrails. The paper argues that machine coaching is best understood as a controller-level extension of explainable adaptive ABM, complementary to causal, information-theoretic, and trajectory-based diagnostics.

Existing methods for exploring cellular automata and other complex systems mostly operate in open loop: they set initial conditions, execute a full simulation, and observe the outcome, without intervening during execution. We introduce a closed-loop framework based on autotelic reinforcement learning, in which an agent autonomously samples diverse goals and learns a goal-conditioned policy to intervene in a complex system through minimal, local perturbations. We instantiate this framework on Lenia, a continuous cellular automaton known for life-like self-organizing patterns, in an agentic system we call CARL, and demonstrate three capabilities. First, CARL discovers stable solitons across a wide range of Lenia update rules at a higher rate than heuristic baselines. Second, it learns to steer the movement direction of existing solitons with few interventions, showing that CARL can control self-organizing patterns, not only create them. Third, humans can use trained agents to guide solitons through maze environments in real time by specifying high-level directional commands that the agent translates into low-level interventions. Trained across diverse goals, update rules, and random initial states, the agents acquire policies that generalize zero-shot to various out-of-distribution conditions. These results suggest a path toward artificial experimentalist agents that, autonomously or with human guidance, discover and control emergent phenomena in complex systems.