Fusion is not one-size-fits-all: Cross-Modal Representation Alignment for Time-to-Event Modeling
Authors: Zhemin Zhang, Weijie Chen, David Le, Amara Tariq, Alex Wallace, Matthew Stib, Juan Maria Farina, Chadi Ayoub, +2 more
Organizations: Arizona State University · Mayo Clinic
Abstract
Accurate time-to-event (TTE) prediction from multimodal clinical data remains challenging due to modality imbalance and distribution shift. We introduce a foundation model-driven framework for cross-modal representation alignment between CT imaging and longitudinal EHR data, designed to generalize across tasks and institutions. CT and EHR modalities are encoded independently using domain-specific foundation models and aligned in a shared latent space through four principled fusion strategies: late fusion, contrastive alignment, cross-attention, and co-attention. We evaluate two clinically distinct TTE tasks: pulmonary embolism (PE) mortality and cardiovascular disease (CVD) outcomes, on large-scale multi-institutional cohorts (PE: N=3,099 train; 1,098 internal; 435 external; CVD: N=2,951 train; 837 internal; 682 external). Fusion consistently improves concordance index by 1.5-5.4% over unimodal baselines when modalities contribute comparably. Overall, contrastive multimodal fusion, particularly with CLMBR representations, provided the most consistent and statistically robust improvements, especially for PE mortality prediction. For MACE, cross-attention (one-hot) achieved the highest internal performance and image-guided co-attention achieved the best external performance. We therefore introduce a generalizable foundation model-based cross-modal alignment framework and provide the first systematic analysis of fusion behavior under modality imbalance in TTE prediction. Our results establish task-aware multimodal alignment as a necessary design principle for robust generalization and scalable clinical deployment.
Multimodal survival analysis aims to improve cancer prognosis using heterogeneous biomedical data, such as histopathology images and genomic profiles. A common strategy is to align representations across modalities so that shared signals can be captured. However, strong cross-modal alignment can also remove modality-specific evidence that is critical for survival prediction. In this paper, we revisit multimodal survival learning from a simple observation: effective models should first discover shared patterns across modalities, and then preserve modality-specific signals. This motivates a representation learning principle that we refer to as Together Then Apart. Based on this idea, we propose TTA, a framework that balances cross-modal alignment and representation distinctiveness. TTA first performs prototype-based alignment to capture shared survival-related structures between modalities. It then encourages modality-specific distinctiveness through an anchor-guided contrastive objective. To further account for modality imbalance and noisy correspondences, we model cross-modal interactions using unbalanced optimal transport. We evaluate the proposed approach on multiple TCGA cancer cohorts with paired histopathology and genomic data. TTA consistently improves survival prediction over recent multimodal survival models. Moreover, the learned prototype structures reveal interpretable cross-modal patterns associated with clinical outcomes.
Autoregressive foundation models trained on tokenized electronic health records (EHRs) can support zero-shot clinical prediction, yet most operate on structured event codes alone, and do not incorporate multiple modalities in a principled way. We present a framework for conditioning such models on auxiliary clinical modalities, including ECG waveforms, chest X-ray images, and clinical notes, using modality-specific latent compression and gated cross-attention with temporal alignment. We investigate two key design choices: (1) how to compress long per-modality sequences (e.g., ECG time series) before they enter the multi-modal cross-attention. This feature may be essential to reduce compute overheads and may be beneficial for generalization; (2) how the choice of pretrained encoder for each modality impacts downstream performance. Through controlled ablations on MIMIC-IV, we show that the best latent-compression configurations outperforms both uncompressed cross-attention and mean pooling. Encoder choice has a clear within-modality effect, with stronger pretrained encoders consistently outperforming weaker alternatives. We further show that merely adding auxiliary modalities does not guarantee improvement on ICU mortality prediction over an EHR-only baseline. This implies that careful design of the fusion architecture and an appropriate evaluation in the clinical context are required.
Multimodal clinical prediction faces three challenges: multiple foundation models (FMs) with complementary strengths per modality, pervasive missing modalities at training and test time, and sample-specific variation in modality contributions. We introduce MedMIX, a multimodal framework that combines intra-modality expert fusion, learned inter-modality fusion, and training-only large--small model collaboration for robust medical prediction under incomplete modalities. Within each modality, MedMIX aggregates complementary embeddings from multiple small expert models; across modalities, it performs learned fusion over available modalities; and during training, it leverages large teacher models to improve deployed representations without additional inference cost. Across three heterogeneous benchmarks (OpenI, MIMIC-IV-MM, and MMIST-ccRCC), MedMIX achieves consistently strong performance while remaining robust under controlled missing-modality perturbations, and further demonstrates sustained robustness under cross-cohort shift on MIMIC-III. These results highlight MedMIX as a practical framework that unifies within-modality expert collaboration, sample-specific cross-modality fusion, and efficient large--small model collaboration while remaining robust to incomplete modalities.