Bayesian Anytime Pareto Set Identification for Multi-Objective Multi-Armed Bandits

We consider a stochastic multi-objective bandit problem where, at each round, the agent selects a slate of $k$ arms and observes their $d$-dimensional reward vectors under semi-bandit feedback. We do not aim at identifying a single optimal arm; instead, we consider the problem of maintaining a small set of actions that jointly approximate the Pareto frontier. We formalize this objective through the dominated hypervolume induced by the selected subset of arms, and define an $α$-approximate hypervolume regret with respect to the best size-$k$ subset achievable in hindsight, where $α= 1 - 1/e$ reflects the approximation guarantee of greedy maximization for monotone submodular functions. To address this problem, we introduce \textit{THV-UCB}, an optimistic algorithm that selects arms greedily based on optimistic estimates of their marginal hypervolume contributions. We establish a gap-free regret bound $\tilde{O}(d\sqrt{nkT})$ that holds on every instance, together with a gap-dependent bound $\tilde{O}(nk^{2.5}/Δ_{\min})$ that becomes polylogarithmic in $T$ once the arms are sufficiently well separated. Our results provide theoretical support for using small subsets to approximate Pareto fronts in various multi-objective applications.

The Bayesian paradigm offers principled tools for sequential decision-making under uncertainty, but its reliance on a probabilistic model for all parameters can hinder the incorporation of complex structural constraints. We introduce a minimalist Bayesian framework that places a prior only on the location of the optimum, while eliminating nuisance parameters through profile likelihood. This yields a generalized posterior that naturally accommodates structural constraints. As a direct instantiation, we develop MINimalist Thompson Sampling (MINTS). For multi-armed bandits with mean constraints, we establish near-optimal non-asymptotic regret guarantees and sharp almost-sure asymptotic regret characterizations. In particular, MINTS attains the classical Lai--Robbins constant in the unstructured setting and automatically adapts to unimodal structure, achieving the sharp constant determined only by the immediate neighbors of the optimal arm.

Selective ensemble for modern machine learning systems requires choosing promising model candidates under limited evaluation budgets, while downstream tasks often specify only partial preferences over capabilities such as accuracy, robustness, and reasoning. This setting naturally gives rise to a sequential decision problem under partially specified linear preferences. We formalize it as preference-directed multi-objective bandits (PDMOB), where admissible trade-offs are represented by a polyhedral preference cone. Based on this formulation, we introduce Pareto $C$-optimality, which recovers standard Pareto optimality and single-weight scalarization as special cases. We then propose the preference-directed upper confidence bound (PrefUCB) algorithm, which maintains directional confidence intervals to guide exploration. We analyze both indicator-based and gap-weighted regret, and establish instance-dependent logarithmic bounds for both criteria, recovering the optimal logarithmic dependence on the horizon $T$ in classical special cases. Experiments on large pre-trained model selective ensemble tasks and online asset allocation under institutional mandates validate the efficacy of our method.