Comparative Evaluation of Machine Learning and Deep Learning Models for Wound-Rotor Synchronous Motor Performance Prediction

Transformer-based surrogate models are increasingly used to replace expensive first-principles simulation in engineering design. But conventional transformer architectures are often over parameterized for the small, low-dimensional datasets typical of engineering design spaces, where large simulation data is expensive to generate. Under these conditions, excess parameter capacity leads to overfitting rather than improved accuracy, while also incurring unnecessary memory and compute overhead. This motivates a shift towards architectures that focus on additional compute rather than additional learnable parameters. This paper presents a hardware-aware evaluation of three recursive transformer paradigms for surrogate thermo-mechanical analysis of advanced packages: a)Tiny Recursive Model, b) our proposed Depth Recursive transformer, c) and a simple recursive transformer. We systematically compare their predictive performance (Recall, Mean Reciprocal Rank), parameter count, computational complexity (FLOPs), providing practical design guidelines for selecting recursive transformer architectures under resource-constrained scenarios. We validate this principle on two low-dimensional engineering prediction tasks: 1) thermo-mechanical reliability analysis of advanced semiconductor packages, where stress and warpage from thermal cycling must be evaluated repeatedly across a design-of-experiments sweep under costly finite element analysis (FEA). 2) Laplace PDE iterative numerical solver for capacitance field. Overall, recursive weight-sharing transformers provide an effective and generalizable trade-off between prediction accuracy, parameter efficiency, and computational cost for small data engineering surrogate modeling.

Incorporating hysteresis and eddy currents into finite element simulations of laminated-core electrical machines is computationally challenging. Resolving the fields inside the laminations at each integration point and at every nonlinear iteration leads to computational costs several orders of magnitude higher than anhysteretic simulations, making such approaches impractical for design applications. Conversely, simplified models accounting only for magnetic saturation are becoming increasingly inadequate as electrical machine topologies and operating conditions grow in complexity. In this context, machine learning surrogate modeling has emerged as a promising alternative, offering efficient and accurate approximations of complex electromagnetic behaviors. In this paper, a recurrent neural network is trained as a surrogate of a laminated-core material model for an isotropic laminated core, and is integrated into realistic two-dimensional magnetodynamic finite element simulations based on a magnetic vector potential formulation. The proposed approach achieves excellent agreement with the reference laminated-core model while limiting the computational cost to about twice that of an anhysteretic simulation. By training the recurrent neural network on a sufficiently diverse set of artificially generated magnetic field sequences designed to mimic those encountered in electrical machine simulations, the proposed approach can be readily applied across a wide range of finite element simulations. Furthermore, the trained surrogate model is provided as a standalone component that can be easily incorporated into existing computational frameworks. It is publicly available at https://gitlab.onelab.info/getdp/lamnet.

This paper presents, for the first time in power systems literature to our knowledge, analytical tools to explain the training performance of machine learning surrogate models for power system dynamics. Power system simulations are increasingly challenged by stiff and multi-timescale dynamics arising from converter-interfaced resources and fast control loops. Machine learning surrogates emerge as promising tools to handle this complexity and accelerate dynamic simulations. However, their performance remains difficult to interpret, which limits their adoption. Building on the small-signal eigenvalue analysis in power systems, this paper uses the Neural Tangent Kernel (NTK) method. NTK delivers a modal interpretation of the learning performance, identifying error modes that decay rapidly versus others that converge slowly. This connection explains how physical stiffness and timescale separation in power system dynamic models appear as optimization stiffness during Neural Network (NN) training. Based on this analysis, we develop adaptive loss-weighting strategies to improve and explain why structure-aware neural architectures, such as ActNet, perform better than vanilla NNs. We assess the proposed approach on physics-informed machine learning surrogate models of \acp{SM} and power electronic converters. The methods introduced in this paper can deliver the necessary analytical tools to interpret and improve the performance of machine learning surrogates, paving the way for the systematic, physics-aware design of NN architectures and training strategies. By moving beyond trial-and-error development, these tools reveal training dynamics and failure modes, support more reliable design decisions, and strengthen confidence in machine-learning surrogates for engineering applications.