Constrained Tabular Diffusion for Finance

Constrained generative models aim to produce samples that satisfy complex feasibility constraints while remaining faithful to the data distribution. Existing constrained generation methods typically enforce constraints either through training-time optimization or sampling-time correction. Training-time optimization approaches optimize on states induced by the training distribution, which can differ substantially from those encountered during sampling. Sampling-time correction methods instead modify the sampling process at inference, introducing distribution shift and requiring expensive tuning, particularly for few-step sampling. We propose a fine-tuning framework that incorporates constraint guidance obtained through online rollout into the training process, which aligns training with sampling by differentiating through the fixed noise schedule used to numerically integrate the denoising process. This exposes the model to violations that arise along the denoising trajectory and aligns diffusion learning with the sampling process. Experiments across multiple tasks show that our method improves constraint satisfaction while maintaining competitive sampling quality compared to prior methods.

In recent years, financial institutions and firms have increasingly adopted synthetic data to address data scarcity and to generate counterfactual market scenarios. However, reproducing all the statistical properties of financial time series, commonly known as stylized facts, remains an open challenge for many existing general-purpose architectures. In this paper, we present a quality-aware generative framework that combines two classes of generative methods, demonstrating how their integration addresses existing limitations while enhancing the realism of synthetic data. Specifically, we first introduce CoMeTS-GAN (Correlated Multivariate Time Series GAN), a Conditional Generative Adversarial Network (C-GAN) designed to jointly generate mid-price and volume time-series for correlated stocks. We then show how our GAN architecture can be incorporated into state-of-the-art diffusion models to enhance the quality of generated correlation structures. Specifically, the GAN's Critic serves as a quality evaluation module that guides the diffusion process, enforcing learned correlation structures in the generated time-series. Our framework offers a lightweight and responsive solution for realistic stock market simulation, explicitly modeling inter-asset correlation structures. We experimentally validate our framework against leading generative architectures, showing that it more effectively captures the stylized facts of stock markets and models inter-asset correlations.

Diffusion-based generators set the current state of the art for synthetic tabular data. These methods approach but rarely exceed real-data utility, and closing this synthetic-real gap has so far been pursued exclusively at training time, via architectural advances, scaling, and retraining of monolithic generators. The inference-time alternative, i.e., refining the outputs of a pre-trained backbone with parameters left untouched, has remained largely unexplored for tabular synthesis. We introduce TARDIS (Tabular generation through Refinement, Distillation, and Inference-time Sampling), an inference-time refinement framework that operates on a frozen pre-trained backbone, configured per dataset by a Tree-structured Parzen Estimator search over score-level guidance during reverse diffusion, with each trial's objective set by an inner grid search over post-hoc sample selectors and an optional soft-label distillation step. The search space encodes a single mathematical pattern we name Bidirectional Chamfer Refinement (BCR): the symmetric Chamfer functional between synthetic and real samples is minimized both continuously, via a score-level gradient, and discretely, via batch-ranking post-generation. The per-dataset search recovers BCR-aligned configurations on most datasets, evidence for BCR as the dominant refinement pattern. Across 15 binary, multiclass, and regression benchmarks TARDIS achieves a median +8.6% downstream-task improvement over models trained on real data (95% CI [+3.3, +16.4], Wilcoxon p=0.016, 11/15 strict wins) and improves over the TabDiff backbone on all 15 datasets (mean +12.9%, p<10^-4), matching the backbone on manifold fidelity, diversity, and sample-level privacy. Inference-time refinement of a pre-trained tabular diffusion backbone reaches and exceeds real-data utility in 1 to 80 minutes on a single consumer-grade GPU.