An Exploration of Agentic Information Fusion for Test Maintenance Prediction

Agentic coding tools are increasingly used to make autonomous repository-level changes to real-world projects. Prior work has largely evaluated these contributions at the pre-merge stage, through outcomes such as pull request acceptance and review effort. Far less is known about what happens to agentic code post-merge. Yet merge success alone does not reveal whether a contribution will remain stable or require bug fixes and other corrective maintenance downstream. We conduct a longitudinal empirical analysis of agentic and human contributions across 182 repositories, tracking their post-merge fate over time, characterizing the intent of subsequent modifications, and analyzing the defects and vulnerabilities they introduce. While the overall maintenance rates are similar, agentic contributions require significantly higher rates of corrective maintenance and introduce more security weaknesses and dependency vulnerabilities. We also find statistically significant evidence that agentic maintenance burden is associated with repository characteristics. In particular, each 10 percentage-point increase in a project's no-review rate is associated with roughly a 6% increase in agentic maintenance burden on average. As coding agents become pervasive in software development, our findings highlight the need to evaluate and design agentic tools not only to produce mergeable changes, but to produce contributions that remain secure and maintainable.

Software practitioners increasingly use AI coding agents that generate test code alongside production code in open source pull requests (PRs). Recent studies report more than 932,000 agent-authored PRs across more than 116,000 repositories, yet whether their test files contain meaningful verification logic remains underexplored. Test files lacking explicit assertions execute code without verifying behavior, so quality gates based on test-file presence overestimate verification strength. The goal of this paper is to help practitioners assess the verification strength of agent-authored patches by characterizing oracle signals and their link to merge outcomes and review effort. We conduct an empirical study of 86,156 test-file patches from 33,596 agent-authored PRs across 2,807 GitHub repositories produced by five coding agents: OpenAI Codex, GitHub Copilot, Devin, Cursor, and Claude Code. A qualitative analysis of 384 stratified patches informs a syntactic taxonomy of eight oracle signal categories. Applied at scale, 80.2% of test patches contain weak or no explicit oracle signals. While raw merge rates are lower for strong-oracle PRs, a regression analysis adjusting for agent, PR size, repository popularity, task type, and language shows strong oracles significantly improve merge likelihood (OR = 1.28, p < 0.001). Our findings suggest that test file counts substantially overestimate verification strength and that practitioners can adopt oracle-aware quality checks to more accurately evaluate agent-authored contributions.

Execution feedback can guide coding agents toward correct repository repairs, but only when the tests capture the behavior requested by the issue. Agent-generated tests can encode incomplete or incorrect behavioral targets; when the same trajectory writes both the patch and the test, their errors can agree and create false confidence. We introduce ExecCritic, combining a test--verify--revise scaffold with a role-specific reinforcement learning recipe for training agents within it. The scaffold separates test construction from source-code repair: a Test agent independently generates repository-native tests, a fail-closed harness qualifies and freezes them, and a Repair agent revises source code from their execution feedback without changing the tests. Both roles use Qwen-3.5-35B-A3B as the backbone and are trained separately. In Learn to Test, the Test agent learns to produce behaviorally valid tests that distinguish correct from incorrect patches. In Test to Improve, the Repair agent learns both direct task resolution and feedback-guided revision. On SWE-bench Verified, test quality determines whether feedback helps: holding the base Repair agent fixed, tests from the base Test agent reduce resolved rate from a no-test baseline of 61.2% to 57.3%, whereas tests from GPT-5.6-sol raise it to 65.3%. Role-specific post-training raises the Qwen Test agent's Base-to-Gold success from 22.2% to 62.2%; composing the two post-trained Qwen agents reaches 72.6%, an 11.4-point gain over the original no-test baseline without stronger-model or Oracle feedback at evaluation time. Code is publicly available at https://github.com/MSR-Orchard/execcritic.