Early Warning

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3 papers in the last four weeks, against 1 the four weeks before. 0.0% of all new papers.

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  1. Forecasting the Growth of Social Media Information Cascades: Towards Human-in-the-Loop Misinformation Triage

    Oct 5, 2026Ansh Gupta, Abhiram Gorle, Aayush Rajesh +1TriageEarly Warning

    The Overlake School · Stanford University

  2. Fairness Theatre: Evaluating Post-Hoc Fairness Interventions in Vendor-Controlled Early Warning Systems

    Sep 29, 2026Kelly McConvey, Angelina Zhai, Rebecca Li +1Algorithmic FairnessInstitutions

    University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada · Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, Georgia, USA

  3. PISCES: Physics-Informed Solar-wind Convolutional autoEncoder for Space-weather Anomaly Detection and Early Warning

    Sep 23, 2026Kevin Lee, Alison J. MarchGeomagnetic StormsEarly Warning

    NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, La Cañada Flintridge, CA, USA · Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, UCLA, Los Angeles, CA, USA · College of Engineering & Applied Science, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA

  4. Design of a Deep Learning Credit Risk Early Warning System Integrating Multi-source Heterogeneous Data

    Sep 14, 2026LiYang Wang, Zhen Zhong, Zhen Tian +2Credit Risk PredictionEarly Warning

    Washington University in St. Louis · Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, MO, USA · Georgetown University +5

  5. Real-Time Climate Risk Assessment for Supply Chain Resilience: A Data-Driven Nowcasting Framework for Colombian Agriculture

    Aug 10, 2026Hernan J. Silva-SosaSupply Chain OptimizationEarly Warning

    School of Engineering Corporación Universitaria de Ciencia y Desarrollo - UNICIENCIA Bogotá, Colombia

  6. Real-time probabilistic tsunami forecasting via generative AI

    Aug 5, 2026Yusuke Oishi, Takashi Furumura, Fumihiko ImamuraAccurate Flood PredictionProbabilistic Forecasting

    Fujitsu Research, Fujitsu Limited, Kawasaki, Japan. · Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan. · International Research Institute of Disaster Science, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan.

  7. Critical slowing down for predicting controller induced loss of control in quadrotors

    Jul 28, 2026Jasper J. van Beers, Prashant Solanki, Erik-Jan van Kampen +1QuadrotorAerial Navigation

    PhD Candidate, Faculty of Aerospace Engineering, Delft University of Technology, 2629 HS Delft, The Netherlands · PostDoc, Faculty of Aerospace Engineering, Delft University of Technology, 2629 HS Delft, The Netherlands · Associate professor, Faculty of Aerospace Engineering, Delft University of Technology, 2629 HS Delft, The Netherlands

  8. SIREN: Towards End-to-End Extreme-Weather Early Warning with Experience-Grounded LLM Agents

    Jul 27, 2026Hang Ni, Weijia Zhang, Fan Liu +2Weather PredictionEarly Warning

  9. Extreme Volatility Warning under Label Scarcity via Multi-Source Anomaly Fusion

    Jul 26, 2026Jin Qian, Zhangzhi Xiong, Mingrui Li +1VolatilityTime-Series Anomaly Detection

    ShanghaiTech University, Shanghai, China

  10. Regime-Aware Physics-Guided Early Warning of Lithium-Ion Battery Thermal Runaway Using Thermo-Mechanical Signals

    Jul 21, 2026Syed Sajid Ullah, Muhammad Zunair Zamir, Salman KhanLithium-Ion BatteriesEarly Warning

  11. An Early Warning of Emerging Biosecurity Risks in Frontier LLMs

    Jul 20, 2026Zhida He, Xia Hu, Baichen Le +20Large Language Model SafetyLife Sciences Research

    Shanghai Artificial Intelligence Laboratory

  12. Echoes of Unrest: A Multimodal NLP Framework for Early Warning of Fake News and Violence-Driven Mob Activity

    Jul 2, 2026Md. Maruf Bangabashi, Tahmid Hasan, Golam Mahmud +3Fake News DetectionFake News

  13. Distributed Hierarchical Temporal Memory with Shared Associative Memory for Cross-Entity Preemptive Warning

    Jun 30, 2026Pavia Bera, Jennifer Adorno, Sanjukta BhanjaTime-Series Anomaly DetectionGraph Anomaly Detection

    University of South Florida, Tampa, FL, USA

  14. Early Warning Signals for OpenVLA Failure under Visual Distribution Shift

    Jun 29, 2026Dipesh Tharu Mahato, Rachel RenEarly WarningDistribution Shifts

    New York University

  15. Mechanism-Driven Monitors for Preemptive Detection of LLM Training Instability

    Jun 26, 2026Ruixuan Huang, Yipei Wang, Wenyi Fang +7Large Language Model TrainingLarge Language Models Fail

    1HKUST · 2Huawei · 3Independent Researcher

  16. Learning Burst-Aware Early Warning Models for Capacity Stress under AI Workload Surges in Hyperscale Data Centers

    Jun 19, 2026Zihan Yu, Xianling Zeng, Zhiming Xue +2Artificial Intelligence InfrastructureWorkload

    College of Professional Studies Northeastern University Boston, USA · College of Engineering Northeastern University Boston, USA · Khoury College of Computer Sciences Northeastern University Boston, USA

  17. SpatioTemporal Causal Network Diagnostics for Geographic Tipping Point Early Warning

    Jun 16, 2026Zhaoyuan Yu, Zhangyong LiangEarly WarningCausal Graph

    Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application, Nanjing 210023, China · National Center for Applied Mathematics, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China

  18. Topical Phase Transitions in Artificial Intelligence Research: Large-Scale Evidence and an Early-Warning Signature for Emerging Topics

    Jun 11, 2026Rasul Khanbayov, Hasan KurbanArtificial Intelligence ResearchArtificial Intelligence Systems

    College of Science and Engineering, Hamad Bin Khalifa University, Doha, Qatar.

  19. TRIAGE: Dialectical LLM Reasoning for Explainable Risk Prediction on Irregularly Sampled Medical Time Series

    Jun 8, 2026Hyeongwon Jang, Gyouk Chu, Changhun Kim +4Clinical Reasoning TrainingRisk Stratification

    KAIST · AITRICS · University of Wisconsin-Madison

  20. AEGIS: A Backup Reflex for Physical AI

    Jun 4, 2026Josef ChenEscalationAgentic Control

    KAIKAKU

  21. When Evidence is Sparse: Weakly Supervised Early Failure Alerting in Dialogs and LLM-Agent Trajectories

    Jun 3, 2026Avinash Baidya, Xinran Liang, Ruocheng Guo +2Early Failure PredictionEarly Warning

    1Intuit AI Research · 2Princeton University

  22. Advanced Mathematics Learning Behavior Prediction and Academic Early Warning Model Based on Multimodal Data Analysis

    May 31, 2026Liu Qiong, Li ZhengboEarly WarningMathematics

    Moutai Institute,, Renhuai, 564507, Guizhou, China

  23. When Can We Trust Early Warnings? Leakage-Excluded Early Outcome Prediction from LMS Interaction Logs

    May 25, 2026Ngoc Luyen Le, Marie-Hélène Abel, Bertrand LaforgeEarly WarningLeakage

    Gamaizer, 93340 Le Raincy, France · Université de technologie de Compiègne, CNRS, Heudiasyc (Heuristics and Diagnosis of Complex Systems), CS 60319 - 60203 Compiègne Cedex, France · Sorbonne Université, CNRS UMR 7585, LPMHE (Laboratoire de Physique Nucléaire et des Hautes Énergies), 75252 Paris cedex 05, France

  24. HaorFloodAlert: A 72-Hour Machine Learning Early Warning System for Flash Floods in Bangladesh's Haor Wetlands

    May 19, 2026Salma Hoque Talukdar Koli, Fahima Haque Talukder Jely, Md. Samiul Alim +1Sen1Floods11Early Warning

    Department of Computer Science and Engineering, RTM Al-Kabir Technical University, Sylhet-3100, Bangladesh · Department of Computer Science and Engineering, North East University Bangladesh, Sylhet, Bangladesh · Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Dhaka University of Engineering & Technology, Gazipur, Bangladesh

  25. Learning Displacement-Robust Representations for Landslide Early Warning under Rainfall Forecast Uncertainty

    May 17, 2026Ren Ozeki, Hamada Rizk, Hirozumi YamaguchiLandslidesRainfall

    Osaka University, Suita, Japan · Japan Meteorological Agency · RIKEN Center for Computational Science, Kobe, Japan +1

  26. In-context learning to predict critical transitions in dynamical systems

    May 12, 2026Yunus Sevinchan, Juan Nathaniel, Kai Ueltzhöffer +8Early WarningDynamical Systems

    kausable Heidelberg, Germany · Columbia University New York, USA · University of Edinburgh Scotland, UK

  27. Event-Based Early Warning of Vineyard Disease Risk from Environmental Time Series

    May 6, 2026Ivica Dimitrovski, Ivan Kitanovski, Danco Davcev +2Early WarningLeaf Disease Classification

    Faculty of Computer Science and Engineering University Ss Cyril and Methodius Skopje 1000, North Macedonia

  28. Koopman Representations for Early Outbreak Warning and Minimal Counterfactual Intervention in Multi-Agent Epidemic Simulations

    May 3, 2026Florin LeonEpidemiological ModelsEarly Warning

    Department of Computers Faculty of Automatic Control and Computer Engineering “Gheorghe Asachi” Technical University of Iași, Romania

  29. Early Detection of Latent Microstructure Regimes in Limit Order Books

    Apr 22, 2026Prakul Sunil Hiremath, Vruksha Arun HiremathLimit Order BookEarly Warning

    Department of Computer Science and Engineering Visvesvaraya Technological University, Belagavi · Department of Business Administration K.L.E. Society’s College of Business Administration

  30. Clinically Interpretable Sepsis Early Warning via LLM-Guided Simulation of Temporal Physiological Dynamics

    Apr 22, 2026Weizhi Nie, Zhen Qu, Weijie Wang +4SepsisEarly Warning

    School of Electrical and Information Engineering, Tianjin University, Tianjin, 300072, Tianjin, China · Department of Information Engineering and Computer Science, University of Trento, Trento, Trentino, Italy · Department of Orthopedics, Affiliated Kunshan Hospital of Jiangsu University, Kunshan, Jiangsu, China +3