Principled Analysis of Deep Reinforcement Learning Evaluation and Design Paradigms

Deep reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms often suffer from low run-to-run robustness, manifesting as significant performance variation across independent runs of identically configured agents. Although this issue poses a spectrum of challenges across research and practice, relatively few studies develop methods to evaluate it; RL research instead often reports uncertainty in the estimated mean performance. In this paper, we outline the limitations of conventional uncertainty and variation estimates, particularly their misalignment with purpose and the risk of underreporting. We then propose an alternative percentile-based statistic and visualization method, min-max IPR and run-wise percentile highlighting, respectively. These percentile-based tools are easy to interpret and rely on standard properties of sample percentiles, providing rich information about run-to-run performance variation. We demonstrate this through three case studies. First, we show that LayerNorm and penultimate-layer normalizations narrow performance variation in PPO, whereas the variation is mostly unchanged in SAC. Second, we compare PPO, SAC, TD-MPC, and TD-MPC2, and show TD-MPC exhibits the least variation while being the most data efficient among the four. Finally, in a comparison of DQN and Rainbow on five Atari environments, we show that both algorithms exhibit similar levels of performance variation.

We present a functional form (that we refer to as a Unified Neural Scaling Law (UNSL)) that accurately models and extrapolates the scaling behaviors of deep neural networks as multiple dimensions all vary simultaneously (i.e. how the evaluation metric of interest varies as one simultaneously varies the number of model parameters, training dataset size, number of training steps, number of inference steps, amount of compute, and various hyperparameters) for various architectures and for each of various tasks within a varied set of upstream and downstream tasks. This set includes large-scale vision, language, math, and reinforcement learning. When compared to other functional forms for neural scaling, this functional form yields extrapolations of scaling behavior that are considerably more accurate on this set.

Scaling reinforcement learning (RL) to diverse multitask settings remains a central challenge. While recent advances in model-based RL achieve strong performance, they rely on planning and complex training pipelines, making it unclear which components are essential for scalability. We revisit this question and argue that the primary driver of scalable multitask RL is not model-based control, but \emph{representation learning}. In particular, we show that combining predictive, model-based representations with high-capacity value function approximation is sufficient to achieve strong performance, even without planning. We evaluate a simple model-free algorithm, MR.Q, coupled with auxiliary predictive objectives into a scalable actor-critic architecture. This approach outperforms a recent world-model-based method and a range of deep RL baselines across a diverse suite of multitask continuous control tasks, while significantly reducing computational overhead and improving wall-clock efficiency. We observe consistent improvements with increased model capacity and show through ablations that predictive representation learning is critical for performance.