In this paper, we study quantile-based distributional reinforcement learning from the perspective of statistical efficiency. We focus on distributional policy evaluation, whose goal is to characterize the return distribution, namely the distribution of discounted cumulative rewards under a given policy. To obtain a finite-dimensional representation of the return distribution, we consider the quantile fixed point ηm induced by the quantile-projected distributional Bellman equation. Assuming access to a generative model, we construct an estimator ηm(n) based on an empirical Markov decision process. For a fixed number of quantiles m, we establish a non-asymptotic error bound for ηm(n) and ηm under the supremum W∞ metric, showing that the estimation error scales as O(m/n) with respect to m and n. This implies that the quantile-based distributional policy evaluation problem can be solved with sample efficiency, achieving the optimal parametric n convergence rate. We derive the asymptotic distribution of the quantile parameters n(θm(n)−θm) and characterize the semiparametric efficiency bound, which is attained by our estimator. Beyond the fixed-dimensional setting, we investigate the asymptotic regime in which the number of quantiles diverges. We characterize the limit covariance structure and show that it matches the semiparametric efficiency bound of the nonparametric model for distributional policy evaluation, showing that quantile-based estimators remain asymptotically efficient in the infinite-dimensional limit. Finally, we establish a Berry--Esseen theorem for smooth functionals n(ηm(n)(s)−ηm(s))f, thereby providing a foundation for statistically valid inference on functionals of the quantile-projected return distribution.
In this paper, we study how to perform statistical inference for quantile temporal difference learning (QTD) in distributional reinforcement learning. Assuming access to a generative model, we first establish functional central limit theorems for both synchronous and asynchronous QTD, which show that the averaged iterates of QTD converge weakly to a rescaled Brownian motion. We next provide online inference methods. Based on random scaling, the inference procedure constructs an asymptotically pivotal statistic for inference by using the information along the whole QTD path. Meanwhile, the proposed statistic can be computed online without storing the entire trajectory of QTD iterates. This substantially reduces the memory requirement and enables efficient statistical inference in distributional reinforcement learning.
Quantile-based distributional reinforcement learning methods learn return distributions through sampled quantile regression, but their bootstrapped target quantiles may induce distorted or degenerate distribution estimates. We propose Robust Quantile-based Implicit Quantile Networks (RQIQN), a lightweight Wasserstein distributionally robust enhancement boosted from a quantile estimation perspective. We first reinterpret a snapshot of IQN loss as a collection of local empirical quantile estimation problems over sampled current fractions. We then robustify each local slot with a Wasserstein distributionally robust quantile estimation formulation, yielding a closed-form, fraction-dependent correction to the Bellman target. This correction directly addresses distributional degeneration: its median antisymmetry preserves the risk-neutral quantile average, while its monotonicity enlarges upper-lower quantile gaps and counteracts collapsed distributional spread. RQIQN thus regularizes quantile geometry without changing the underlying value objective or requiring additional sample set reconstruction. Finally, we empirically show that the proposed RQIQN outperforms other existing quantile-based distributional reinforcement learning algorithms in risk-sensitive navigation and Atari games.
This paper investigates the off-policy evaluation (OPE) problem from a distributional perspective. Rather than focusing solely on the expectation of the total return, as in most existing OPE methods, we aim to estimate the entire return distribution. To this end, we introduce a quantile-based approach for OPE using deep quantile process regression, presenting a novel algorithm called Deep Quantile Process regression-based Off-Policy Evaluation (DQPOPE). We provide new theoretical insights into the deep quantile process regression technique, extending existing approaches that estimate discrete quantiles to estimate a continuous quantile function. A key contribution of our work is the rigorous sample complexity analysis for distributional OPE with deep neural networks, bridging theoretical analysis with practical algorithmic implementations. We show that DQPOPE achieves statistical advantages by estimating the full return distribution using the same sample size required to estimate a single policy value using conventional methods. Empirical studies further show that DQPOPE provides significantly more precise and robust policy value estimates than standard methods, thereby enhancing the practical applicability and effectiveness of distributional reinforcement learning approaches.