Speculative execution accelerates LLM agents by using a smaller, cheaper model to predict and pre-launch the next step while the environment is idle. However, existing speculators are stateless and discard all information between tasks, preventing prediction quality from improving with experience. We equip the speculator with three online memory systems that learn from past agent trajectories: a contrastive transition table tracking action-sequence statistics, an episodic memory retrieving contextually similar segments, and a confusion tracker suppressing recurring errors. We evaluate this approach on six benchmarks spanning three speculation types: action prediction, observation prediction, and chained prediction. Memory-augmented speculation yields a 19--39% relative accuracy improvement on action prediction and up to a 2.5× increase on observation prediction tasks with repetitive action spaces. These gains grow continuously as memory accumulates and generalize across speculator models of varying cost. All speculation is lossless because it runs during idle time at zero added wall-clock cost, and the actor's trajectory is identical to non-speculative execution.
Large language model agents often spend substantial wall-clock time waiting for tool call results. Tool-call speculation can hide this latency by predicting and pre-executing an agent's next tool call if the prediction matches the agent's eventual tool call, but existing speculators are typically separate draft models or cached traces that are poorly aligned with the deployed agent's own behavior. We identify this speculator-agent gap and show that the target agent itself is a strong next-call speculator. This points to a simpler design: unifying the agent and speculator within the same model. In this paper, we introduce the self-speculating agent, a single model that both solves tasks in agent mode and predicts its next tool call from partial trajectories in speculator mode, fully reusing prefix KV cache. To enable this dual-mode agent without degrading performance, we propose a joint agent-speculator reinforcement learning method, which derives speculation targets from the agent's own rollouts and alternates agent and speculator updates. Across agentic search QA and conversational tool-use agentic tasks, our method improves average next tool-call Hit@1 from 44.1 to 61.2 for Qwen3-4B and from 48.9 to 66.3 for Qwen3.5-4B, while preserving agent task success.
Tool-using LLM agents spend wall-clock time not only on model inference but also in serial action--observation turns, where each tool call, environment transition, and observation can delay subsequent decisions. We introduce \textbf{Speculative Macro Commit} (SMC), a runtime mechanism for a two-tier agent system: a large authoritative actor model produces the official trajectory, while a faster speculative drafter model continuously predicts and executes future action chains on an isolated environment snapshot. SMC mines recurring multi-action skeletons from training traces and stores them in a macro library used to match against action chains predicted by the drafter at runtime. When the actor's next tool call matches the first drafted action, SMC commits the remaining pre-executed draft steps, together with their observations, to the official trajectory. Using Qwen3.5-27B INT4 as the authoritative actor model and Qwen3.5-4B as the speculative drafter model, SMC matches the sequential agent's overall accuracy while reducing latency by 10.23% over the Speculative Actions (SA) baseline and 18.59% over sequential execution on the τ2-Bench Telecom subset. On AppWorld, SMC reduces wall time by 7.7% over SA baseline and 44.9% over sequential execution, with a small reduction in task completion. Overall, SMC provides a practical way to reuse multi-step speculative execution and reduce agent latency beyond single-step speculative actions. Our code is publicly available \href{https://github.com/zeyuliu1037/speculative-macro-commit}{\textcolor{magenta}{here}}.
LLM-agent workflows chain model calls and tool invocations, and spend most of their wall-clock time waiting on upstream operations before downstream ones can start. Speculative execution can reclaim that idle time by launching a downstream operation with a predicted upstream input, but here each speculation costs real money (per-token billing) and its success probability is hard to estimate and drifts over time. This paper presents a method organized around five design decisions: (D1) start a downstream operation before its upstream completes; (D2) price each speculation in real dollars at separate input and output rates; (D3) expose a single operator dial for latency versus cost; (D4) decide via an expected-value rule with a failure-weighted cost term and a preference-adjusted threshold; and (D5) estimate the success probability with a Bayesian Beta-Binomial posterior whose prior is keyed to a dependency-type taxonomy. Variants of these ideas appear in recent work; the combination, with every decision logged in dollars, is what is new. The rule fires only on edges passing an admissibility precondition (side-effect-free, idempotent, or stageable behind a commit barrier), since a wrong speculation is rolled back by re-execution, which refunds tokens but cannot un-send an irreversible side effect. We specify the runtime mechanics, a closed-form result that the rule self-limits as the upstream branching factor grows, a five-stage calibration pipeline (offline replay, shadow, canary, online calibration, drift-triggered kill-switch), and a workload-fit rubric over eight production archetypes. Contrast tables against the four closest published systems (DSP, Speculative Actions v2, Sherlock, B-PASTE) show differentiators on every dimension, and a synthetic validation suite confirms the predicted decision boundary, probability threshold, posterior recovery, and streaming-cancellation behavior.