cs.LGJul 21, 2026

Predicting Activities in Aqueous Electrolyte Solutions with Hybrid Machine Learning

Authors: Zeno RomeroMaximilian KohnsFabian Jirasek

Organizations: Laboratory of Engineering Thermodynamics, RPTU Kaiserslautern, Erwin-Schrödinger-Str. 44, 67663 Kaiserslautern, Germany

Abstract

Activities in aqueous electrolyte solutions, usually described by ionic activity and osmotic coefficients, are important properties for modeling many processes in industry and nature. Established activity models, such as those of Pitzer or Bromley, require fitting to experimental data for each electrolyte of interest and thus cannot predict properties for unstudied systems. While some predictive approaches exist, they are typically limited in scope and rely on additional ion-specific descriptors. In this work, we introduce a new hybrid model that combines the physics-based Bromley model with a matrix completion method (MCM) from machine learning. The MCM is employed to predict the electrolyte-specific parameters of the Bromley model, exploiting the fact that these parameters can be arranged in a matrix with cations and anions as rows and columns, respectively. Due to the lack of experimental data for many electrolytes, the initial parameter matrix is sparsely populated, making the prediction of the Bromley parameters for unstudied electrolytes a matrix completion problem. The hybrid model, Bromley-MCM, was trained end-to-end on experimental data for mean ionic activity coefficients and osmotic coefficients of aqueous solutions of 478 electrolytes at 298 K from the Dortmund Data Bank. As output, we obtain a completed matrix of Bromley parameters for 83 cations and 112 anions, enabling consistent prediction of concentration-dependent activities in aqueous solutions of 9,296 electrolytes at 298~K. This substantially extends the applicability of the Bromley model while maintaining high predictive accuracy, as demonstrated through evaluations on electrolytes excluded from model training.

Explore similar work

Sep 20, 2026cs.LG

Physics-residual machine learning predicts oxygen-evolution catalyst activity beyond the training range from sparse polarization measurements

Screening oxygen-evolution catalysts on combinatorial libraries requires deciding which candidates receive the remaining measurements. The deciding activity lies beyond each candidate's measured potential window and often above every activity recorded during fitting. We predict it by physics-residual machine learning: the Tafel equation extrapolates the candidate's own measured current and slope, a learned residual attenuated with feature-space distance corrects the magnitude, and an applicability-domain score identifies predictions above the training range before measurement. In a separately fabricated 322-candidate library, 282 above the training maximum, two measurements per candidate gave a mean absolute error of 0.203 mA cm2^{-2} against 1.330 for the selected data-driven machine-learning model. Errors inside the training range remained comparable, and 35 labelled catalysts were enough to fit it. In two independent datasets the same construction lowered the overpotential error by 29 to 52%. Campaigns can therefore shorten each measurement and still rank the most active compositions.
Yong-Woon Kim, Jihyeok Lee, Sungtae Park +2
May 10, 2026cs.LG

Teaching Molecular Dynamics to a Non-Autoregressive Ionic Transport Predictor

Unlike most static material properties widely studied in the machine learning literature, ionic transport properties are inherently dynamic, making their fast and accurate prediction from static atomic structures challenging. The current standard approach, molecular dynamics (MD) simulations, suffers from prohibitively high computational cost. Recent autoregressive learning-based MD acceleration methods requiring sequential inference remain slow and prone to error accumulation; in contrast, existing non-autoregressive material property prediction models are less accurate because they fail to exploit dynamics. Moreover, existing methods typically benefit from datasets either with or without atomic trajectories, but not both. To overcome these limitations, we propose a non-autoregressive learning framework based on auxiliary modality learning, which treats atomic trajectories as an auxiliary modality during training but does not require them at inference. This enables the predictor to learn dynamics without sequential inference while benefiting from both types of datasets. As a result, our framework achieves over 200 times speedup compared to autoregressive models on the dataset with atomic trajectories while substantially reducing prediction error relative to non-autoregressive benchmarks across both types of datasets. Our code is available at https://github.com/jykim-git/MD.
Jiyeon Kim, Byungju Lee, Won-Yong Shin
May 28, 2026cs.LG

A Systematic Evaluation of Molecular Mixture Behavior Prediction

Machine learning for molecular property prediction has focused largely on pure compounds, even though many practical applications depend on mixtures with intermolecular interactions. Recent work has expanded the availability of mixture datasets, but evaluation still focuses mainly on absolute accuracy. However, absolute errors in mixtures conflate pure-component contributions with deviations from ideal mixing. We propose an evaluation framework that decomposes mixture-property error into pure-compound and interaction (non-ideal) components. The framework combines leakage-aware split protocols, ideal-mixture baselines, and excess-property metrics. To support reproducible benchmarking, we curate seven matched pure and mixture physicochemical property datasets. Across multiple mixture-property tasks and model families, we find that strong absolute accuracy can mask poor recovery of non-ideal mixture behavior, and that performance drops substantially under strict molecule splits. These results identify transfer to unseen molecules as a central challenge in molecular mixture machine learning and motivate evaluation beyond absolute accuracy alone.
Roel J. Leenhouts, Nathan K. Morgan, William Green +2