A Reinforcement-Learning-Augmented Liquid-Fueled Reactor Network Model for Predicting Lean Blowout in Gas Turbine Combustors
Authors: Philip John, Eloghosa Ikponmwoba, Pinaki Pal, Opeoluwa Owoyele
Organizations: Department of Mechanical and Industrial Engineering Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA 70803, USA · 2Transportation and Power Systems Division Argonne National Laboratory, 9700 S. Cass Ave, Lemont, IL 60439, USA
Abstract
This study introduces a reinforcement learning (RL) framework for generating optimal liquid-fueled reactors to improve lean blowout (LBO) predictions in gas turbine combustors. Existing approaches for determining cluster boundaries rely on manual heuristics or distance-based metrics in the input space. In contrast, the proposed method is goal-oriented, explicitly accounting for the target metric (e.g., LBO prediction accuracy) during cluster formation. The framework employs a multi-stage clustering--classification strategy: an initial clustering step (e.g., k-means clustering) generates a large set of homogeneous micro-clusters, followed by an actor-critic RL agent that merges them into optimal reactor zones. The validation study, performed using a Jet-A mechanism (119 species, 841 reactions), shows the RL framework offers improved predictive fidelity compared to k-means and captures the correct LBO trends, while achieving substantial speedups relative to the high-fidelity computational model. Overall, the RL-driven approach demonstrates strong potential as a computationally efficient reduced-order modeling technique that can complement high-fidelity simulations for rapid design-space exploration.
Turbulent combustion simulations are crucial for many scientific and engineering systems. However, the high cost to fully resolve the complex multiscale and multiphysics behavior makes direct simulation typically infeasible. The equivalent reactor network (ERN) approach attempts to improve computational efficiency by replacing a multidimensional turbulent simulation with a series of much cheaper 0-D and 1-D chemical reactors, providing a surrogate model that retains detailed chemistry at the cost of simplified flow physics. However, their development remains a challenge, often requiring either expert analysis, or automated approaches that sacrifice accuracy. In this work, we develop an automated machine-learning-assisted framework for constructing ERNs of the Sandia-D turbulent methane/air flame. Principal component analysis is first used to reduce high-dimensional thermochemical computational fluid dynamics (CFD) data to a low-dimensional latent space, where k-means clustering identifies physically interpretable flame regions used to initialize a reactor-network graph. This initialization is then refined using finite-difference gradient descent wrapped around non-differentiable Cantera reactor simulations. Across 30 RANS simulations spanning a range of pilot temperatures and inlet methane compositions, the optimized 7-reactor ERN achieves a maximum-temperature R2 score of 0.7945 while preserving a ∼6000× speedup over the CFD solver. Outlet CO prediction remains more challenging, with a final R2 score of −0.4183, but improves substantially from the unoptimized clustering initialization. These results show that unsupervised thermochemical feature extraction can provide effective physics-informed initializations for ERN construction, while gradient-based refinement can significantly improve predictive accuracy without manual reactor-network design.
Multi-fuel compression-ignition engines offer fuel flexibility but introduce uncertain, time-varying fuel reactivity, represented by cetane number (CN), which complicates cycle-to-cycle combustion-phasing control. This work formulates CA50 regulation under latent CN variation as a partially observable sequential decision problem and systematically evaluates controllers with increasing temporal and representational capacity, including LinUCB, history-augmented contextual bandits, observation-only DDPG, recurrent DDPG, and a proposed GRU-guided RL framework. A Gaussian-process surrogate trained on experimental multi-fuel engine data provides a controlled and reproducible evaluation environment. Results show that myopic and fixed-history bandit methods degrade under CN variation, observation-only RL suffers from latent-state aliasing, and generic recurrence is insufficient when CN evolves rapidly. The proposed framework learns a compact GRU-based representation of fuel reactivity from combustion history and conditions both actor and critic on this estimated signal rather than oracle CN. By training the policy on the same imperfect fuel-reactivity information available at deployment, the controller avoids train-deploy inconsistency in conventional online estimate-then-control pipelines. Across unseen CN trajectories, the policy achieves stable CA50 regulation with mean absolute tracking error below 0.25° CA at the training setpoint, while producing smooth, physically consistent SOI and glow-plug-power actuation. These results show that combustion control under latent, continuously evolving fuel dynamics requires more than standalone estimation or generic recurrence. By aligning fuel-reactivity inference with control policy learning, the proposed framework enables reactivity-aware decision-making using the same estimated state available during deployment.
Remaining Useful Life (RUL) estimation is a critical component of Prognostics and Health Management (PHM), enabling proactive maintenance scheduling and reducing unplanned failures in industrial equipment. This paper presents a comparative study of machine learning approaches for RUL estimation on the NASA C-MAPSS turbofan engine dataset: classical baselines (Ridge Regression, Polynomial Ridge, and XGBoost), a 1D Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), and a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network. All models are evaluated on the FD001 and FD003 subsets under an identical preprocessing pipeline to ensure a fair comparison. Among raw-sequence models, the LSTM achieves RMSE of 14.93 and 14.20 on FD001 and FD003 respectively, outperforming the deep LSTM reported by Zheng et al.~\cite{paper} (RMSE 16.14 and 16.18) despite using a simpler single-layer architecture. The 1D CNN achieves RMSE of 16.97 on FD001 and 15.68 on FD003, demonstrating competitive performance on FD003 while producing more conservative RUL predictions on FD001. Ridge Regression is evaluated on raw and engineered features, while other classical models use only engineered inputs. XGBoost achieves an RMSE of 13.36 on FD003, highlighting the competitiveness of nonlinear modeling.