Retrieval-augmented generation improves knowledge-intensive question answering, but indiscriminate retrieval can introduce irrelevant evidence and unnecessary computation. We investigate whether verbalized confidence from black-box language models can serve as an actionable signal for retrieval routing. Our method, BeyondUncertainty, first elicits a structured provisional answer and confidence estimate, then applies a model-specific threshold selected on held-out validation data and frozen before test evaluation. Low-confidence questions receive top-5 TF-IDF retrieval followed by a second answer call, whereas high-confidence questions return the provisional answer directly. We evaluate 27,000 policy instances across six QA benchmarks, three model families, and three retrieval policies. BeyondUncertainty achieves 0.483 mean token-level F1, compared with 0.467 for always retrieval and 0.401 for no retrieval, while reducing retrieved passages by 20.4% relative to always retrieval. When matched on the number of questions routed to retrieval within each dataset-model cell, it outperforms a post-hoc random allocation in 17 of 18 settings, with an average gain of 0.024 F1. Although poorly calibrated as an absolute probability, probe uncertainty modestly predicts question-level retrieval benefit (AUROC = 0.628). However, the additional probe increases total token usage by 28.2%, revealing a trade-off between more selective evidence acquisition and end-to-end token efficiency.
Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) has become the standard way to ground large language models in external knowledge, yet most systems retrieve a fixed number of passages for every question regardless of its difficulty. This wastes computation on easy questions, starves hard ones, and gives no signal for when a generated answer can be trusted. With a growing share of question answering systems built on top of commercial language model APIs, a method that can decide how much to retrieve, and how far to trust its own answers, without retraining the underlying model, is of clear practical value. This paper presents AB-RAG (Adaptive Budgeted Retrieval-Augmented Generation), a training-free and backbone-agnostic framework that generates an answer, estimates its confidence from a combination of three signals, and then decides whether to stop or to retrieve more evidence, subject to a fixed retrieval budget. The estimator combines the model's own certainty, the agreement between the answer and the evidence, and the variance of the retrieval scores. For models that expose token probabilities the certainty signal is read directly; for closed APIs it is approximated by self-consistency, so the method works without access to model internals. Across three backbones and two datasets, the central result is that the confidence estimate reliably separates correct from incorrect answers on every backbone, reaching a clean split of 57.6% against 0% Exact Match between high- and low-confidence answers on a factoid dataset. The adaptive policy improves accuracy on capable backbones, and the study reports its negative and nuanced findings honestly, including a confidence signal that proved unsuitable for short answers and a retrieval signal whose sign was found and corrected through measurement. The entire study was carried out on a single consumer laptop with only a few dollars of API spend.
Retrieval augmented generation (RAG) depends critically on the quality and granularity of retrieved evidence. Large retrieval units preserve context but often introduce irrelevant content, which can dilute answer bearing evidence and worsen long context utilization. Fine-grained units are more compact, but they may be difficult to retrieve reliably because short chunks can lack semantic, lexical, or bridging cues needed to match the query. We propose Uncertainty-aware Multi-Granularity RAG (UMG-RAG), a training-free hybrid retrieval framework that treats chunk granularity as query-specific reliability estimation. Instead of training a new retriever or modifying the generator, UMG-RAG uses existing dense and sparse retrievers as complementary experts across multiple chunk granularities. For each query, it converts each expert-granularity score list into an evidence distribution, estimates reliability from distribution entropy, and fuses candidates according to query-specific semantic, lexical, and granularity confidence. We further introduce UMGP-RAG, a parent promotion variant that uses fine-grained hits to locate relevant evidence while returning broader non-redundant parent chunks for local coherence. Experiments on question answering benchmarks show that uncertainty-aware fusion and parent promotion improve generation quality while maintaining a lightweight, plug-and-play retrieval pipeline.
Large reasoning models such as DeepSeek-R1 and OpenAI o1 generate extended chains of thought spanning thousands of tokens, yet their integration with retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) remains fundamentally misaligned. Current RAG systems optimize for providing context before reasoning begins, while reasoning models require evidence injection during multi-step inference chains. We introduce ReaLM-Retrieve, a reasoning-aware retrieval framework that addresses this mismatch through three key innovations: (1) a step-level uncertainty detector that identifies knowledge gaps at reasoning-step granularity rather than token or sentence level; (2) a retrieval intervention policy that learns when external evidence maximally benefits ongoing reasoning; and (3) an efficiency-optimized integration mechanism that reduces per-retrieval overhead by 3.2x compared to naive integration. Experiments on MuSiQue, HotpotQA, and 2WikiMultiHopQA demonstrate that ReaLM-Retrieve achieves on average 10.1% absolute improvement in answer F1 over standard RAG (range: 9.0-11.8% across the three benchmarks) while reducing retrieval calls by 47% compared to fixed-interval approaches like IRCoT (all improvements significant at p<0.01, paired bootstrap). On the challenging MuSiQue benchmark requiring 2-4 hop reasoning, our method achieves 71.2% F1 with an average of only 1.8 retrieval calls per question. Analysis shows that ReaLM-Retrieve also improves retrieval quality itself, achieving 81.3% Recall@5 with consistently higher precision and MRR than fixed-interval baselines on supporting evidence, establishing new state-of-the-art efficiency-accuracy trade-offs for reasoning-intensive retrieval tasks.