Towards Improving Sequential Decision-Making in LLM Agents via Experience Memory

Large language models (LLMs) have shown remarkable in-context learning (ICL) capabilities, yet their potential for sequential decision-making remains underexplored. In this paper, we study the ICL capabilities of LLMs in sequential decision-making settings, including Markov Decision Processes (MDPs), Partially Observable MDPs (POMDPs), and Ambiguous POMDPs (APOMDPs). We fine-tune pretrained LLMs to perform few-shot decision-making directly from offline, oracle-labeled trajectories. Our framework enables flexible imitation of policies through supervised fine-tuning (SFT). Theoretically, we focus on linear MDPs and interpret a fine-tuned attention layer as implicitly estimating optimal Q-functions from in-context data. Building on this interpretation, we derive an end-to-end suboptimality bound for the induced policy that separates the in-context estimation error from the training-length bias. Empirically, across synthetic MDP, POMDP, and APOMDP settings, we find that fine-tuned LLMs achieve substantially smaller optimality gaps than in-context-only and random baselines, with especially large gains in longer-horizon, partially observed, and model-ambiguous environments. Together, these results show that supervised fine-tuning provides an effective route to endowing pretrained LLMs with sequential decision-making capabilities from offline data, which is an important advantage in domains such as healthcare where offline data are abundant.

Large language model (LLM) agents are increasingly deployed in long-running settings where improving through experience at test time becomes important. A common approach is to update an explicit memory after each interaction to guide future decisions. However, most existing methods rely on hand-designed prompting rules, making it difficult to align memory updates with downstream objectives over multi-step horizons consistently. We propose MemoPilot, a plug-in memory copilot that explicitly trains the memory update process to improve a frozen LLM's performance across sequential interactions. We formulate memory updating as a multi-turn decision problem and optimize it end-to-end with multi-turn GRPO. Our training recipe introduces (i) a turn-wise reward signal and (ii) a context-independent, turn-level advantage estimation across rollouts, enabling finer-grained credit assignment and more stable training in multi-turn settings. We evaluate MemoPilot on two testbeds: multi-round Rock-Paper-Scissors (RPS) and Limit Texas Hold'em (LHE). Across both environments, MemoPilot substantially improves test-time learning of a frozen player over strong baselines, ranking first in Elo ratings on both games (1762 on LHE and 1590 on RPS) and outperforming all baseline memory methods and proprietary models, including DeepSeek-V3.2.

Memory for a long-horizon LLM agent is a contract about what each future decision is allowed to see. The simplest contract appends past observations, tool calls, and reflections to every prompt, which makes prior context easy to access but also turns it into a jumbled mixture in which the effect of any single memory component is hard to isolate. We introduce and instrument an alternative bounded contract: every decision is made from a fresh user message assembled by typed retrieval, with no raw cross-decision transcript appended. The prompt thus stays bounded across runs of any length, and any single layer can be ablated in isolation. We instantiate the contract in Slay the Spire 2, a closed-rule stochastic deck-building game whose runs require hundreds of tactical and strategic decisions. A public online benchmark of frontier LLMs on the same game reports zero wins at the lowest difficulty across five configurations, and the developer-reported human win rate at the same difficulty is 16%; the task is hard but not saturated. Within our harness, a fixed-A0 ablation shows the largest observed difference when triggered strategic skills are enabled: the no-store baseline wins 3/10 games and adding the skill layer 6/10. At this sample size the comparison is directional rather than statistically decisive (Fisher exact p\approx0.37); a cross-backbone probe and public accumulating-context baselines are reported as operational comparisons rather than controlled tests of the contract variable itself. We release a reproducible testbed: 298 completed trajectories with condition tags, frozen memory/skill snapshots, prompt records, and analysis scripts -- an agent design and a validated, reusable methodology for studying how explicit memory layers shape long-horizon LLM-agent decisions.