Verifiable Regularity Criterion for Conditional Expectation Operators and Conditional Mean Embeddings with Applications to Nonparametric Regression, Bayesian Inverse Problems, and Koopman Operators

We develop a comprehensive theory for regularized M-estimation in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. Under mild conditions on the loss we establish existence and measurability of the estimator, covering a wide range of convex and non-convex losses, including bounded robust losses. We further prove sharp rates of convergence with an explicit bias-variance decomposition governed by a novel complexity measure. We show that the variance is independent of misspecification, while the bias depends on a source condition parameter known in the learning literature. For tensor product Sobolev spaces we obtain new rates that connect to spaces of functions with dominating mixed smoothness, substantially extending existing results and explaining why these estimators circumvent the curse of dimensionality. Our methodology, combining elements from both functional analysis and empirical process theory, allows for an asymptotic linearisation of the objective function that avoids both closed-form solutions and global Lipschitz assumptions, and may be of independent interest. The estimators are implemented in C++ and theory is supported by numerical experiments.

This paper presents a novel Koopman composition operator representation framework for control systems in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHSs) that is free of explicit dictionary or input parametrizations. By establishing fundamental equivalences between different model representations, we are able to close the gap of control system operator learning and infinite-dimensional regression, enabling various empirical estimators and the connection to the well-understood learning theory in RKHSs under one unified framework. Consequently, our proposed framework allows for arbitrarily accurate finite-rank approximations in infinite-dimensional spaces and leads to finite-dimensional predictors without a priori restrictions to a finite span of functions or inputs. To enable applications to high-dimensional control systems, we improve the scalability of our proposed control Koopman operator estimates by utilizing sketching techniques. Numerical experiments demonstrate superior prediction accuracy compared to bilinear EDMD, especially in high dimensions. Finally, we show that our learned models are readily interfaced with linear-parameter-varying techniques for model predictive control.

Comparing conditional distributions is a fundamental challenge in statistics and machine learning, with applications across a wide range of domains. While proposed methods for measuring discrepancies using kernel embeddings of distributions in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) provide powerful non-parametric techniques, the existing literature remains fragmented and lacks a unified theoretical treatment. This paper addresses this gap by establishing a coherent framework for studying kernel-based methods to measure divergence between conditional distributions through what we refer to as conditional maximum mean discrepancy (CMMD). The CMMD consists of a family of metrics which we call levels, with three special cases each using a different type of RKHS embedding: CMMD$_0$ (conditional mean operators), CMMD$_1$ (conditional mean embeddings), and CMMD$_2$ (joint mean embeddings). We additionally introduce a general level $s$ CMMD, clarifying the required assumptions, and establishing mathematical connections between the levels through the lens of operator-based smoothing. In addition to reviewing previously proposed estimators, we introduce a novel doubly robust estimator for the CMMD that maintains consistency provided at least one of the underlying models is correctly specified. We provide numerical experiments demonstrating that the CMMD effectively captures complex conditional dependencies for statistical testing.