Predicting failures before they occur remains a major challenge in predictive maintenance, particularly when failures are rare, when equipment of the same family differ in sensor configurations, and when the goal is anticipation rather than diagnosis of an already observed fault. This paper proposes a common-to-target probabilistic model that learns shared failure-related patterns across a family of heterogeneous equipment and adapts parsimoniously to target equipment. The model explicitly accounts for sensor heterogeneity, operating context, and degradation dynamics to produce calibrated failureprobability estimates suitable for maintenance planning. Its performance is evaluated on a synthetic refrigerator dataset comprising 27 simulated refrigerators with varying sensor configurations, operating conditions, and failure types, providing a controlle
Supervised learning models in the predictive maintenance field are regularly trained on highly imbalanced industrial datasets: machine failures occur rarely but have a disproportionate effect on operations. In addition to the clear class disparity, failure data are typically non-homogeneous, with different failure modes arising from distinct physical processes and exhibiting a multimodal distribution across minorities and classes. Traditional imbalance-management methods, e.g., undersampling, SMOTE-based interpolation, or cost-sensitive learning, typically assume that the minority population is homogeneous. This means their effectiveness is severely limited in the multifaceted conditions encountered in industrial practice. This paper determines the possibility of a failure-type-conscious generative augmentation program to improve the identification of infrequent failures in predictive maintenance systems. An experimental design that is leakage-safe is used to compare five imbalance-handling methods: cost-sensitive learning, random undersampling, SMOTE oversampling, single-generator GAN augmentation, and a specialized multi-generator GAN architecture that has independent generators that are asked to learn individual failure subtypes. Precision/Recall-oriented measures are used to quantify model performance; the main evaluation measure is the PR-AUC. Experiments conducted on the AI4I 2020 predictive maintenance dataset indicate that the proposed multi-generator GAN framework produces more realistic minority samples, yielding higher PR-AUC and recall scores compared to traditional resampling methods and individual-generator GAN augmentation.
Deep learning predictive maintenance models suffer from poor transferability across machines and operating conditions, especially when labelled data are scarce and signals span five orders of magnitude in sampling frequency (1 Hz to ~100 kHz). We propose FreqCondNorm, a Transformer-based architecture that introduces a FiLM-style frequency-conditioned normalization layer to unify heterogeneous time-series within a single model. The architecture is pretrained on five public predictive maintenance datasets (CWRU, MFPT, UOC18, PRONOSTIA, CMAPSS) using masked auto-encoding and contrastive learning with balanced domain sampling. On fault diagnosis, the model achieves 99.2% accuracy on CWRU (+6.4 pp over CNN) and 82.1% zero-shot accuracy on MFPT, demonstrating strong transfer across sampling frequencies. However, the approach does not improve remaining useful life prediction, suggesting a mismatch between pretraining and RUL objectives that warrants future investigation.
Remaining useful life (RUL) prediction and failure-mode classification are central tasks in predictive maintenance. Many data-driven pipelines use fixed-window supervised learning with complete terminal labels; such routes do not naturally encode the temporal recursion linking successive degradation-state predictions when observations are partial or unit identities are unavailable. We formulate prognostics as vector General Value Function (GVF) prediction on an absorbing degradation process, treating RUL and failure-mode probabilities as temporally consistent targets rather than independent window-level labels, and estimate them with a multi-step temporal-difference estimator, TD(n,λ). Supporting theory identifies the Bellman fixed point of the vector GVFs, characterizes the linear projected-TD limit and its relation to complete-return Monte Carlo regression under realizability, and explains when bootstrapped TD targets are less variable than Monte Carlo returns. On an event-triggered multimode simulation and NASA C-MAPSS label-scarce stitch data, TD improves RUL and failure-mode prediction relative to a supervised same-backbone Monte Carlo control, especially under scarce complete labels. Practically, fragmented, identity-free degradation records can contribute local Bellman transitions instead of being discarded until complete run-to-failure labels are available.