Unimodality-Promoting Regularized Learning for Ordinal Regression

Ordinal Regression (OR) aims to predict target values with inherent order, underpinning critical applications across diverse domains, from recommender systems to computer vision. Though having evolved from naive regression to discretization-based classification and generation, existing paradigms remain fundamentally constrained by quantization artifacts and the lack of global ordinal topological perception. These methods typically enforce rigid boundary delineations, failing to capture the non-stationary semantic transitions inherent to ordinal data. In this paper, we propose a novel paradigm where OR is formulated as a Continuous Generative Ordinal Regression task. Under the novel paradigm, we introduce DiffOR, a unified framework that leverages diffusion models to recover continuous ordinal values via iterative denoising, thereby enabling the dynamic learning of soft semantic transitions. To explicitly preserve ordinal topology, we devise a Dual-Decoupling Strategy: Spatially, Multi-scale Increment Aggregation decomposes targets into hierarchical continuous increments; Temporally, Dynamic Denoising Perception synchronizes denoising steps with feature frequencies, ensuring robust coarse-to-fine refinement. Theoretically, we show that the proposed method can significantly enhance both representation capability and mechanistic interpretability. Extensive experiments on 12 benchmarks across four domains validate DiffOR's consistent superiority over state-of-the-art methods, establishing a new standard that demonstrates strong potential as a general-purpose solution for universal ordinal regression.

Ordinal classification (OC) arises in high-stakes domains such as medicine and finance, where uncertainty quantification must account for the severity of ordinal errors. Conformal prediction (CP) provides distribution-free prediction sets with marginal coverage guarantees; however, its practical effectiveness depends critically on the choice of nonconformity function. We introduce a CP method for ordinal classification based on the ranked probability score (RPS), a proper scoring rule defined over cumulative predictive distributions. Although it reflects ordinal risk quite naturally, it has largely been neglected in conformal ordinal prediction (COP). When used as a measure of nonconformity, RPS yields median-centered contiguous prediction sets by construction. The method is model-agnostic, supports both assessed and grouped ordered categorical outcomes, and permits efficient implementation compared to greedy interval selection procedures. Across multiple ordinal image and tabular datasets, RPS-based CP produces contiguous prediction sets and strikes a favorable balance between prediction set width and the magnitude of ordinal miscoverage relative to existing CP methods.

Ordinal Classification (OC) deals with classification tasks where the classes follow a natural order. Despite the progress in OC, many existing approaches fail to fully leverage the ordinal information, treating the problem as nominal classification and thereby losing performance potential. In this work, ADABORD, an AdaBoost framework specifically designed for ordinal classification problems, is introduced. The ordinal nature of the classes is incorporated into two key components of the well-known AdaBoost algorithm: 1) the base estimator, where decision trees with the ordinal Gini splitting criterion are proposed; 2) the error function used to update sample weights at each stage and the weights of the classifier in the final ensemble model, given by the absolute ranked probability score, a measure that accounts for both the ordering and the distance between classes. ADABORD is extensively compared against seven state-of-the-art methods on the TOC-UCO repository, the largest benchmark collection for OC to date. The experimental results, supported by statistical analysis, show that ADABORD significantly outperforms competing methods, particularly on datasets with five or more classes, where the ordinal structure becomes more pronounced. Source code, along with all experimental protocols, is publicly available to ensure reproducibility and facilitate future research in OC.