Feed-forward 3D reconstruction models output a per-pixel confidence that is used by downstream systems as an uncertainty signal. The confidence is trained to serve as a weight in the training loss of models. Whether the confidence can be used as an uncertainty magnitude has not been measured. We audit seven backbones on 13 datasets and score the confidence on four properties, i.e., ranking of error, ratio of error to uncertainty on average, slope of this ratio across the confidence range, and coverage of the implied error distribution. Although the confidence ranks error quite well, the uncertainty decoded from the confidence is too small compared to the actual error. The uncertainty has the right size only under the exact training conditions. The median case is off by at least 2.4x across all seven models, while the uncertainty is further off the more confident the model is. Our work shows that the overconfidence appears on unseen scenes even when the model reaches its loss's optimum. As a post-hoc repair we fit a power law on the confidence with two constants per backbone--dataset pair. The repair brings all four audited properties to target at the dataset level, while leaving ranking untouched. Fitted with the target dataset held out, the constants bring the median case from 2.4x off to 1.35x. The repair does not hold below the dataset level, where two-thirds of held-out scenes are still more than five points off in coverage. We attribute what the repair cannot reach to the model, which carries neither the scale of the error nor the shape of its distribution across predictions. We release the audit protocol, its results, and the fitted constants per backbone-dataset pair.
Geometric foundation models hold promise for unconstrained dense geometry prediction from uncalibrated images. However, in current feed-forward designs, their predicted confidence scores are heuristic, lack probabilistic interpretation, and often fail to indicate where and how much the predicted geometry can be trusted. To address this gap, we present Trust3R, a lightweight evidential uncertainty framework for feed-forward 3D reconstruction. Trust3R combines gated residual mean refinement with a Normal-Inverse-Wishart evidential head, yielding a closed-form multivariate Student-t distribution for per-point geometric uncertainty. This design provides probabilistically grounded pointmap uncertainty estimates while adding moderate inference overhead. We evaluate on diverse indoor and outdoor benchmarks and compare against MASt3R's built-in confidence map as well as common uncertainty-aware baselines spanning single-pass heteroscedastic regression and sampling-based methods such as MC dropout and deep ensembles. Experimental results show that Trust3R consistently improves risk-coverage and sparsification, and generally improves geometric accuracy. These gains are reflected in stronger uncertainty ranking across benchmarks, with 25% lower AURC and 41% lower AUSE on ScanNet++, providing a practical reliability signal for uncertainty-aware weighting in downstream geometry pipelines. The project page and code are available at https://trust3r-z.github.io/.
Feed-forward 3D reconstruction models enable efficient geometry estimation from sparse images, but their pretrained nature can make them vulnerable to distribution shifts beyond their training data. Identifying these failure modes is important for understanding when such models can be reliably deployed in unconstrained imaging settings. We investigate viewpoint variation as a controlled distribution shift by varying the angular span of sparse image inputs while keeping the input budget fixed. Across multiple feed-forward reconstruction models, we observe substantial degradation as viewpoint span increases, with wide spans producing both incomplete surface coverage and geometry unsupported by the observed imagery. These results reveal that viewpoint variation can induce failure modes beyond conventional reconstruction incompleteness, highlighting the need to evaluate pretrained feed-forward models under distribution shifts that challenge their learned geometric priors.
Streaming 3D reconstruction relies on a compact recurrent scene state to process long image streams in linear time and bounded memory. However, repeated updates can gradually corrupt this state, causing reliable historical information to be overwritten by noisy or ambiguous observations. We introduce ReCal3R, a reliability-calibrated learning rate method for recurrent 3D reconstruction. Instead of directly applying a candidate learning rate, our method estimates state token reliability from the maintained scene state and uses it to calibrate a candidate learning rate derived from token alignment, state reconstruction residual, and recent update pressure. The resulting token-wise learning rate interpolates between a conservative base rate and the candidate rate, suppressing aggressive updates on unreliable tokens while preserving adaptation to informative frames. Applied to CUT3R as a training-free calibration rule, ReCal3R reaches strong performance on long sequences in pose, depth, and reconstruction quality, including a 3.7× reduction in ATE, with comparable runtime and memory. Code is available at: https://github.com/Powertony102/ReCal3R.