Vision-language models (VLMs) are increasingly evaluated on complex image and video understanding tasks, yet conventional metrics primarily assess final-answer quality and reveal little about how different information sources shape the generation process. We propose a causal and temporal evaluation framework that traces the evolving roles of visual input, question text, and generated prefixes during autoregressive decoding. Grounded in a Structural Causal Model, we use interventions and backdoor adjustment to derive three step-indexed causal-drive metrics---Visual Causal Drive (VCD), Question Causal Drive (QCD), and Prefix Causal Drive (PCD)---for characterizing source-specific generation patterns without requiring reference answers. Experiments on Qwen3-VL-8B-Instruct across MAVIS, LLaVA-Video-178K, and MiraData, together with cross-model validation on InternVL2-8B, reveal a consistent transition from stronger early question and visual guidance toward increasing reliance on generated prefixes. Randomized-intervention validation shows that QCD and PCD reduce recovery error over observational PMI baselines by 34.8% and 47.1%, respectively. On VLMBias, the prefix--visual imbalance score achieves 0.767 AUROC and 0.873 AUPRC for distinguishing prior-driven from visually grounded generations. These results show that causal-drive trajectories provide complementary source-level diagnostics for multimodal generation.
Vision-language models (VLMs) generate fluent causal explanations, but current evaluations cannot distinguish linguistic plausibility from faithful causal reasoning. We introduce a dual-probe methodology that isolates these properties. The Text-Only Probe measures linguistic quality. The Chain-Text Probe requires models to first generate explicit causal chains. The Abstraction Gap (AG) metric quantifies the normalized performance difference. Evaluating eight VLMs on CAGE (Causal Abstraction Gap Evaluation), a benchmark of 49,500 questions across 5,500 images spanning Pearl's causal hierarchy, we find seven models exhibit AG exceeding 0.50 with text scores of 6--8 but chain scores below 2.5. Fine-tuning on 45,000 chain-annotated examples fails to close the gap. However, one model achieves near-zero AG. The capability exists within current VLM architectures and depends on pretraining and architectural choices. CAGE provides a diagnostic tool for assessing faithful causal reasoning in VLMs.
Vision-language models can describe an image with remarkable accuracy, yet a more fundamental question remains unanswered: what visual information actually drives their answers? In this work, we investigate this question through causal tracing, and we observe that highly causal vision tokens often lie outside the target region. Extending the analysis to larger vision-language models reveals a similar pattern across models and corruption settings, suggesting that strong multimodal performance does not necessarily imply spatially localized causal representations. We further investigate: can these models preserve visual structure when appearance cues are removed? and find that visual cues are exploited to understand visual structures. Together, our experiments expose a gap between seeing, using, and reasoning over visual structure, and provide a causal framework for studying how visual information is transformed, preserved, and ultimately used by modern vision-language models.
Despite the impressive performance of vision-language models (VLMs) on downstream tasks, their ability to understand and reason about causal relationships in visual inputs remains unclear. Robust causal reasoning is fundamental to solving complex high-level reasoning tasks, yet existing benchmarks often include a mixture of reasoning questions, and VLMs can frequently exploit object recognition and activity identification as shortcuts to arrive at the correct answers, making it challenging to truly assess their causal reasoning abilities. To bridge this gap, we introduce VQA-Causal and VCR-Causal, two new benchmarks specifically designed to isolate and rigorously evaluate VLMs' causal reasoning abilities. Our findings reveal that while VLMs excel in object and activity recognition, they perform poorly on causal reasoning tasks, often only marginally surpassing random guessing. Further analysis suggests that this limitation stems from a severe lack of causal expressions in widely used training datasets, where causal relationships are rarely explicitly conveyed. We additionally explore fine-tuning strategies with hard negative cases, showing that targeted fine-tuning can improve model's causal reasoning while maintaining generalization and downstream performance. Our study highlights a key gap in current VLMs and lays the groundwork for future work on causal understanding.