cs.AISep 3, 2026

FLY-EVAL++: An Evidence-Driven Evaluation Protocol for Safety-Constrained Flight Prediction with Large Language Models

Authors: Yalun Wu, Junfeng Fang, Jiawei Wang, Haotian Liu, Qijun Yang, Minghan Yang, Hongcheng Guo, Zhoujun Li, +1 more

Organizations: NExT++ Lab, School of Computing, National University of Singapore · 3Xiamen University · University of Manchester · 5Yunnan University · 6Fudan University · 7CCSE, Beihang University · 2Xingchen AGI Lab, China Telecom Artificial Intelligence Technology (Beijing) Co., Ltd., Beijing, China

Abstract

Evaluating large language models (LLMs) in safety-critical, physics-governed environments requires more than accuracy-based metrics, because predictions that are numerically close to the ground truth can still violate operational constraints, combine fields in physically inconsistent ways, or fail to produce usable structured outputs. Existing evaluation protocols do not measure these failure modes reliably. We propose FLY-EVAL++, an evidence-driven evaluation protocol that combines deterministic verification of protocol compliance, physical feasibility, and safety constraints with fixed rubric-guided aggregation into interpretable multi-dimensional scores. We instantiate FLY-EVAL++ for Flight Trajectory and Attitude Prediction (FTAP) by extending the PilotBench setting with history-conditioned and multi-step prediction tasks. Across 66 LLMs, safety compliance is the most discriminative dimension of model behavior: models with comparable predictive performance differ by more than 28 points in safety score, and we observe recurrent failures including safety violations under physically plausible predictions and instability in multi-step rollouts. These results show that evaluation in safety-critical domains should measure constraint satisfaction and structured validity explicitly rather than rely on accuracy-centric reporting alone.

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