Confidence Falls Short: Asymmetric Certainty Gains from Optimization Hinder Multimodal Classification

Multimodal learning often suffers from modality imbalance, where modalities that converge faster dominate optimization while others remain undertrained. Existing approaches typically mitigate this issue by strengthening the weak modality or adjusting optimization gradients. However, such strategies mainly compensate for optimization rate discrepancies, often at the expense of the strong modality's optimization capacity, without analyzing how these discrepancies arise at the modality level. Based on theoretical insights and empirical observations, we argue that the discrepancy of learning pace arises from differences in the mapping difficulty between modality-specific feature space and the shared label space. To address this issue, we propose Balanced Multimodal Label Reshaping (BMLR), the first method that promotes multimodal balance from the label-side design. BMLR reshapes the cross-modal label space to equalize mapping difficulty across modalities, thereby facilitating modality interaction and injecting richer inter-class information into each modality. Extensive experiments across multiple architectures demonstrate that BMLR consistently improves multimodal performance and exhibits strong compatibility with diverse model designs. The source code will be released soon.

In multimodal classification, late-fusion approaches classify concatenated modality-specific features extracted by unimodal neural networks. When modality imbalance is pronounced, various regularization techniques have been proposed to balance the learning process and overcome the inferior performance of late-fusion networks. In contrast, this work demonstrates that multimodal data can be effectively classified without any explicit modality fusion, using deep ensembles of unimodal networks. We systematically compare deep ensembles to late-fusion networks at equal parameter count and show that ensembles consistently outperform state-of-the-art late-fusion methods designed to address modality imbalance. This advantage also holds over intermediate-fusion techniques we evaluated and over hybrid methods that combine unimodal and multimodal predictions. We propose and empirically validate a method for selecting the number of models per modality in an ensemble, avoiding computationally expensive exhaustive search. Under extreme modality imbalance and small ensemble sizes, the heuristic indicates that ensembles of unimodal models trained solely on the stronger modality are preferable; as the ensemble scales up, incorporating models from the weaker modality becomes beneficial. Both predictions align with our empirical findings. To systematically explore the challenges of optimizing multimodal models, we propose a synthetic multimodal framework that allows control over both the number of modalities and their predictive strength; our findings are consistent across synthetic and real-world datasets. Finally, by fitting scaling laws to bimodal datasets, we estimate the asymptotic performance of ensembles.

Multimodal learning has seen remarkable progress, particularly with large-scale pre-training across various modalities. Most current approaches are built on the assumption of a deterministic one-to-one alignment between modalities. However, this oversimplifies real-world multimodal relationships, where their nature is inherently many-to-many. The many-to-many property, or multiplicity, is not a side-effect of noise or annotation error, but an inevitable outcome of intra-modal variability, representational asymmetry, and task-dependent ambiguity in multimodal tasks. We argue that multiplicity is a fundamental bottleneck that affects all stages of the multimodal learning pipeline: from data construction to model training and evaluation benchmarks. By formalizing its causes and consequences, we demonstrate how ignoring multiplicity leads to training uncertainty, unreliable evaluation, and degraded dataset quality. This position paper calls for new research directions on multimodal learning, including multiplicity-aware learning frameworks and dataset construction and evaluation protocols.