Do World Models Make Better Robots? A Survey of Evaluation Benchmarks for Predictive Embodied Intelligence
Organizations: UC Berkeley, USA · San Jose State University, USA · Meta, USA · Apple, USA ·
Abstract
Robot learning now advances along two tracks that rarely meet. On one side, direct Vision-Language-Action (VLA) policies map observations to actions and are scored by closed-loop task success. On the other, predictive and generative world models forecast future observations and are scored by open-loop prediction or generation quality. A natural question sits between them: does world modelling earn a measurable, closed-loop advantage over a direct policy, and for which robotic capabilities? We argue that the field cannot yet answer this question, and that the reason is a gap in how it is measured, not in the models themselves. World-model benchmarks score prediction without ever executing it, while task-success suites host a single policy and never build a world-model versus VLA contrast. This survey maps the evaluation landscape around that gap. We catalogue 160 web-verified benchmarks spanning 2017 to 2026 and organise them by evaluation mode, robotic capability, and model family into four lanes: policy suites, embodied agents, world model evaluation, and prediction-to-action bridges. Across the corpus, 138 of 160 benchmarks are model-agnostic and only 11 (7%) build an explicit VLA-versus-world-model contrast; counterfactual capability is almost entirely unmeasured, and only four benchmarks turn prediction into executed action. We contribute an operational taxonomy, a coverage comparison against the eight closest surveys (ours is the only one to cross capability with model family), an evaluation loop that isolates the advantage of prediction, and an actionable protocol of four advantage-aware metrics anchored on named testbeds. The organising claim is not that world models help or do not help, but that answering the question requires benchmarks built to ask it.
Figures & tables
| Survey | Venue | Yr | mode | cap. | family | metric | catalog |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evaluation of Embodied AI ( Hou et al., 2026a ) | Authorea | 2026 | ~ | ~ | ✘ | ✘ | ✔ |
| VLA Datasets & Bench. ( Wang et al., 2026 ) | arXiv | 2026 | ✘ | ✘ | ✘ | ✘ | ✔ |
| Benchmark Construction ( Lai et al., 2026 ) | arXiv | 2026 | ✘ | ~ | ✘ | ✘ | ✔ |
| RL Reproducibility ( Lynnerup et al., 2020 ) | CoRL | 2020 | ✘ | ✘ | ✘ | ✘ | ✘ |
| World Models for Robots ( Hou et al., 2026b ) | arXiv | 2026 | ~ | ✘ | ~ | ~ | ~ |
| Embodied World Models ( Shang et al., 2026b ) | preprint | 2026 | ~ | ✘ | ~ | ✘ | ~ |
| Construct | Counts (a benchmark has it if and only if…) | Does not count |
|---|---|---|
| Open-loop eval ( open ) | it scores prediction or generation quality on fixed inputs without executing the prediction in a feedback loop: video fidelity (FVD), physics or rollout consistency, or frame-level accuracy | any protocol where an action is executed and the environment responds; offline scoring of a policy’s success |
| Closed-loop eval ( closed ) | success is measured by running a policy in the environment with state feedback and scoring task outcome: success rate, sub-goal completion, or reward under interaction | scoring a generated video or a static prediction; a metric computed without stepping the environment |
| Bridge ( bridge ) | a prediction (imagined rollout, video, or latent plan) is converted into executed actions and scored on the resulting task success | a benchmark that stops at prediction quality; one that never turns a prediction into a control signal |
| Native VLA-vs-WM contrast ( ) | the benchmark itself runs both a direct Vision-Language-Action policy and a world-model policy under one protocol and reports the head-to-head | a model-agnostic suite that merely hosts either family; a suite evaluated with only one family in the original paper |
| Advantage-of-prediction ( ) | a metric quantifies the closed-loop gain of a predictive policy over a matched direct-VLA baseline on the same tasks (assessed, not adopted) | absolute success with no matched baseline; open-loop quality scores; a ranking that never isolates the predictive component |
| Benchmark | Year | Venue | Eval | Capability | VLA vs WM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| §3.1 Policy / manipulation suites closed | |||||
| CALVIN ( Mees et al., 2021 ) | 2021 | RA-L | closed | long-horizon language | – |
| LIBERO ( Liu et al., 2023c ) | 2023 | NeurIPS D&B | closed | short-horizon + transfer | – |
| Meta-World ( Yu et al., 2019 ) | 2020 | CoRL | closed | multi-task / meta-RL | – |
| ManiSkill2 ( Gu et al., 2023 ) | 2023 | ICLR | closed | generalizable skills | – |
| SIMPLER ( Li et al., 2024a ) | 2024 | CoRL | closed | generalization (real vs sim) | – |
| Dimension | LIBERO ( Liu et al., 2023c ) | Habitat 3.0 ( Puig et al., 2023 ) | WorldModelBench ( Li et al., 2025 ) | World-in-World ( Zhang et al., 2025 ) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| policy suite | embodied nav | world-model eval | bridge | |
| What it scores | task success | social-nav success | video-pred. quality | closed-loop WM success |
| Evaluation mode | closed | closed | open | bridge |
| Executes actions in a loop? | ✔ | ✔ | ✘ | ✔ |
| Native VLA-vs-WM contrast? | ✘ | ✘ | ✘ | ~ |
| Capability stressed | short-horizon + transfer | social / multi-agent | physical realism | plan executability |
| Benchmark | Year | Eval | What it probes | VLA vs WM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hidden-state / memory / occlusion | 3/4 | |||
| LIBERO-Mem ( Chung et al., 2025 ) | 2025 | closed | occluded object state carried across time | ✔ |
| TEACh ( Padmakumar et al., 2021 ) | 2021 | closed | partner belief and history via dialog | – |
| ComPhy ( Chen et al., 2022b ) | 2022 | open | hidden mass and charge inferred from collisions | ✔ |
| Bongard-HOI ( Jiang et al., 2022b ) | 2022 | open | few-shot hidden-concept induction | ~ |
| Theory-of-mind | 3/4 | |||
| Benchmark | Year | Mode | What it scores | Signal | Physical |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Generation quality (multi-dimensional) | |||||
| EvalCrafter ( Liu et al., 2023a ) | 2023 | Gen | 17-metric text-to-video quality suite | Auto | ✘ |
| FETV ( Liu et al., 2023b ) | 2023 | Gen | fine-grained text-to-video quality | Auto | ✘ |
| VBench ( Huang et al., 2023 ) | 2023 | Gen | 16 disentangled generation dimensions | Auto | ✘ |
| StoryBench ( Bugliarello et al., 2023 ) | 2023 | Gen | continuous story-visualisation quality | Auto | ✘ |
| DEVIL ( Liao et al., 2024 ) | 2024 | Gen | content-dynamics quality of T2V | Auto | ✘ |
| Sense of “world model” | What it is | Examples | Act. cond. | Loop | Metric | VLA-cmp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| As a representation (what the model is) | ||||||
| latent WM (LWM) | latent-dynamics predictor | DreamerV3, TD-MPC2 | ✔ | ✔ | ~ | ~ |
| action-cond. WM (WAM) | action-conditioned future-frame predictor | iVideoGPT, GR-2 | ✔ | ~ | ~ | ~ |
| generative WM (WFM) | text / image-to-video generator | Sora, Cosmos, Genie | ~ | ✘ | ✔ | ✘ |
| As a role (what the model is used for) | ||||||
| neural simulator | learned environment for policy training / eval | UniSim | ✔ | ✔ | ~ | ~ |
| Policy suites ( Liu et al., 2023c ) | Embodied nav / social ( Puig et al., 2023 ) | World-model eval ( Li et al., 2025 ) | Bridges ( Zhang et al., 2025 ) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loop closure | ✔ closed-loop; steps the environment ( Mees et al., 2021 ) | ✔ closed-loop; long-horizon rollouts ( Li et al., 2024b ) | ✘ open-loop; scores generation, no action ( Motamed et al., 2025 ) | ~ converts a prediction into an executed action ( Qin et al., 2024 ) |
| Task horizon | ~ short reactive skills; long by chaining ( Liu et al., 2023c ) | ✔ long-horizon household and dialog ( Padmakumar et al., 2021 ) | ~ short clips; temporal but not task-level ( Hu et al., 2025 ) | ~ a single executed rollout ( Jiang et al., 2026 ) |
| Capability breadth | ~ manipulation + transfer; hidden-state rare ( Pumacay et al., 2024 ) | ✔ navigation, social, some hidden-state ( Deitke et al., 2020 ) | ~ physical / temporal; counterfactual barely ( Chen et al., 2025 ) | ✘ narrow; executability only ( Shang et al., 2026a ) |
| Model-family contrast | ✘ model-agnostic host of any policy ( Atreya et al., 2025 ) | ~ memory-vs-Markovian in one suite ( Chung et al., 2025 ) | ✘ world-model-only scores ( Li et al., 2025 ) | ~ WM as policy substrate; no VLA pole ( Zhang et al., 2025 ) |
| Reproducibility | ~ sim; some real-vs-sim transfer ( Li et al., 2024a ) | ~ sim-heavy; a sim-to-real gap ( Deitke et al., 2020 ) | ✔ fixed offline sets; deterministic scoring ( Zheng et al., 2025 ) | ✘ new, still-unstandardised protocols ( Shang et al., 2026a ) |
| Structural blind spot | hosts a world-model policy but never builds the VLA contrast | capability cuts exist, but no per-capability family ablation | visual quality is not task success; no behavioural utility | reaches action, but omits the per-capability VLA head-to-head |
| Metric | Definition | Instantiation (testbed) | Axis stressed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Advantage-of-prediction curve | closed-loop success gain of a predictive policy over a matched direct-VLA baseline, reported per capability as a curve, not a single endpoint | a capability-sliced protocol over LIBERO ( Liu et al., 2023c ) and CALVIN ( Mees et al., 2021 ) that runs a world-model policy and a VLA policy under one harness | family, metric |
| Counterfactual accuracy | task success on episodes that require inference over unobserved or hypothetical dynamics (occlusion, object permanence, “what if”) | WorldPrediction ( Chen et al., 2025 ) plus occlusion / memory splits in the style of LIBERO-Mem ( Chung et al., 2025 ) | capability |
| Prediction-to-action fidelity gap | the difference between a world model’s open-loop generation quality and its closed-loop task success (“visual quality is not task success”) | bridge protocols such as WorldSimBench ( Qin et al., 2024 ) and World-in-World ( Zhang et al., 2025 ) | mode |
| Per-capability contrast coverage | the fraction of capabilities for which a benchmark actually runs a VLA-vs-world-model head-to-head under a single protocol | audits of the landscape (Table 10 ) against a declared contrast schema | family, catalog |
Appendix figures & tables4 assets
Supplementary material from the paper’s appendix.
Appendix
| Benchmark | Year | Capability | Eval | VLA vs WM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Policy / manipulation suites (37) | ||||
| Manipulation | ||||
| ARNOLD ( Gong et al., 2023 ) | 2023 | language-grounded continuous-state 3D manipulation | closed | – |
| BiGym ( Chernyadev et al., 2024 ) | 2024 | mobile bimanual manipulation | closed | – |
| FMB ( Luo et al., 2024 ) | 2024 | real-world functional multi-step assembly manipulation | closed | – |
| Franka Kitchen ( Gupta et al., 2019 ) | 2019 | multi-task kitchen manipulation | closed | – |
| Benchmark | arXiv | Panel source (subject scene) |
| Closed-loop task-success suites | ||
| ALFRED | 1912.01734 | sim task scene (rep. figure, pp.1–3) |
| BEHAVIOR-1K | 2403.09227 | household sim scene (rep. figure, pp.1–3) |
| CALVIN | 2112.03227 | tabletop manipulation scene (rep. figure, pp.1–3) |
| GemBench | 2410.01345 | manipulation scene (rep. figure, pp.1–3) |
| ManiSkill2 | 2302.04659 | multi-task sim scenes (rep. figure, pp.1–3) |
| Benchmark | arXiv | Panel source (results plot) |
| Leaderboard & model-comparison charts | ||
| World-in-World | 2510.18135 | task-success / gen-quality leaderboard (embedded raster) |
| EvalCrafter | 2310.11440 | overall model-ranking bar chart (embedded raster) |
| VideoScore | 2406.15252 | annotation score-ratio grouped bars (embedded raster) |
| WorldModelBench | 2502.20694 | VBench-vs-Ours win-rate comparison (embedded raster) |
| Per-dimension radar & multi-metric | ||
| Benchmark | arXiv | Source | Benchmark | arXiv | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Closed-loop (task-success suites) | Open-loop (world-model & video eval) | ||||
| LIBERO | 2306.03310 | Fig. 1 (p.2) | WorldModelBench | 2502.20694 | rep. figure (pp.1–3) |
| CALVIN | 2112.03227 | rep. figure (pp.1–3) | Physics-IQ | 2501.09038 | rep. figure (pp.1–3) |
| Meta-World | 1910.10897 | rep. figure (pp.1–3) | WorldScore | 2504.00983 | rep. figure (pp.1–3) |
| ManiSkill2 | 2302.04659 | rep. figure (pp.1–3) | EWMBench | 2505.09694 | rep. figure (pp.1–3) |
| RoboCasa | 2406.02523 | rep. figure (pp.1–3) | EVA-Bench | 2410.15461 | rep. figure (pp.1–3) |
World Model Evaluation
World Model Evaluation measures whether learned simulators predict consistent, physically plausible, action-responsive futures that help agents plan and act.
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