AD-WM: Action-Discriminative World Models for Counterfactual Model Predictive Control

Latent world models are typically trained to predict factual transitions, whereas model predictive control (MPC) must compare alternative actions from the same state. A model can therefore achieve low factual prediction error yet poorly distinguish candidate actions. We introduce AD-WM, an action-discriminative joint-embedding world model for counterfactual MPC. AD-WM combines residual latent dynamics with predictor-level action-recovery regularization, using inverse dynamics and a normalized recovery objective motivated by conditional mutual information. Both objectives encourage planning transitions to preserve action information; their auxiliary heads are discarded at test time, leaving MPC unchanged. On OGBench-Cube, AD-WM improves hard-start success from 3.7% to 52.0% over a matched LeWM baseline and improves mean success over the reproduced baseline in four of five simulation environments. Planning diagnostics show that factual prediction error and whole-bank action ranking do not follow the closed-loop success ordering, whereas CEM-aligned elite regret tracks success more closely. With a frozen V-JEPA 2 encoder and matched DROID post-training, AD-WM also improves zero-shot transfer to our Franka setup, increasing basic pick-and-place success from 42.2% to 71.1% without lab-specific adaptation. These results suggest that world models for planning should preserve action-dependent differences needed for counterfactual selection, rather than optimize factual prediction accuracy alone. More videos and code are available at https://ad-wm.github.io/.