CRC-Router: Risk-Constrained Routing for Medical Agentic AI Systems
Organizations: Computer Science and Engineering, University of Notre Dame, USA
Abstract
Agentic AI systems are increasingly being explored in medical imaging to improve throughput and reduce clinician workload; however, safe deployment remains challenging because autonomous errors may propagate into downstream clinical decisions. A central requirement is therefore not only strong predictive performance, but also a reliable routing mechanism that determines when the system should proceed autonomously and when a case should be escalated for further review. To address this gap, we propose CRC-Router, a risk-constrained, uncertainty-aware routing module that is applicable to both conventional medical prediction models and agentic medical AI systems. CRC-Router combines multiple complementary uncertainty signals with the predictive score to construct a per-finding routing feature vector, maps this vector to an estimated wrong-accept risk using a lightweight per-finding risk model, and then applies Conformal Risk Control (CRC) to calibrate acceptance thresholds under a user-specified risk target. Instantiated on chest X-ray multi-finding triage using the NIH ChestX-ray14 dataset, CRC-Router achieves the strongest empirical risk--coverage trade-off among the evaluated baselines, both as a standalone routing layer and as a plug-in module integrated with the state-of-the-art MedRAX agent. These results demonstrate both the effectiveness of CRC-Router in selective medical automation and its modular, model-agnostic compatibility with existing predictive and agentic medical pipelines. Code is publicly available at https://github.com/XLIAaron/CRC-Router
Figures & tables
| Disease | Accept -All | MaxProb [ 20 ] | MCD-MI [ 21 ] | Conformal Pred. [ 19 ] | CRC-Router | Risk Red. |
| Atelectasis | 17.0% | 5.4% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 3.9%✓ | 77% |
| Cardiomegaly | 3.8%✓ | 1.5%✓ | 1.3%✓ | 1.1%✓ | 3.8%✓ | – |
| Consolidation | 18.1% | 9.8% | 17.8% | 9.6% | 4.4%✓ | 76% |
| Edema | 2.8%✓ | 0.8%✓ | 0.8%✓ | 1.0%✓ | 2.8%✓ | – |
| Effusion | 14.8% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 4.4%✓ | 70% |
| Emphysema | 2.3%✓ | 1.4%✓ | 0.8%✓ | 0.9%✓ | 2.3%✓ | – |
| NIH ChestX-ray14 [ 22 ] | CheXpert [ 23 ] | |||||
| Disease | MedRAX [ 10 ] | +CR * (TTA) | +CR * (MoE) | Disease | MedRAX [ 10 ] | +CR * (TTA) |
| Atelectasis | 6.6% | 4.7%✓ | 4.0%✓ | Enl. Cardiomed. | 57.6% | 4.2%✓ |
| Cardiomegaly | 12.9% | 3.6%✓ | 3.7%✓ | Cardiomegaly | 51.3% | 4.7%✓ |
| Consolidation | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.4%✓ | Lung Opacity | 30.1% | 4.7%✓ |
| Edema | 6.5% | 6.2% | 2.9%✓ | Lung Lesion | 1.5%✓ | 3.9%✓ |
| Effusion | 14.5% | 5.9% | 4.3%✓ | Edema | 19.4% | 4.3%✓ |
| Removed Feature | Macro Cov. | Cov. |
| None (full model) | 91.3 % | — |
| 90.4% | 0.9% | |
| Mahalanobis | 90.0% | 1.3% |
| Epistemic | 88.2% | 3.1% |
| Aleatoric | 90.3% | 1.0% |
| 85.1% | 6.2% |
AI Agent Reliability
AI agent reliability studies whether tool-using systems act correctly, consistently, safely, and recoverably across changing tasks and environments.
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