cs.LGSep 15, 2026

NanoForecast v0.5: Competitive Time Series Forecasting Through Training Pipeline Optimization

Authors: Gautam Kishore

Organizations: Eulogik

Abstract

We present NanoForecast v0.5, a 6.5M-parameter forecaster that competes with models 31x its size (TimesFM, 200M parameters) after training pipeline fixes and no architecture change. Retraining the v0.3 architecture with corrected loss-scope handling, tensor shape alignment, and wider augmentation coverage cuts overall Mean Absolute Scaled Error by 43.8% under one fixed protocol (MASE 3.030 to 1.704) on the same data and compute budget. NanoForecast v0.5 beats TimesFM on all three ETT datasets (MASE 0.676/1.110/0.287 vs. 0.705/1.360/0.545) and on exchange rate (4.317 vs. 4.383); TimesFM keeps a clear lead on the high-cardinality electricity and traffic sets. Against PatchTST (15M+ parameters, official configuration), v0.5 wins all three ETT sets. Training takes about 12 hours on a single cloud GPU (NVIDIA T4, Google Colab) and inference needs no GPU (measurements in this paper are on an Apple M4 CPU). We release all code, pretrained checkpoints, and evaluation framework under Apache 2.0 at https://github.com/eulogik/NanoForecast

Figures & tables

Explore similar work

CardsList
  1. TempusBench: An Evaluation Framework for Time-Series Forecasting

    Apr 13, 2026Denizalp Goktas, Gerardo Riaño-Briceño, Omkar Tekawade +14Time Series ForecastingForecasting Benchmarks

  2. Toto 2.0: Time Series Forecasting Enters the Scaling Era

    May 19, 2026Emaad Khwaja, Chris Lettieri, Gerald Woo +10Time Series ForecastingHyperparameter Transfer

  3. The Nixtlaverse: An Open-Source Ecosystem for Forecasting

    Sep 30, 2026Olivier Sprangers, Max Mergenthaler Canseco, Marco Peixeiro +8Time Series ForecastingForecasting Benchmarks