Evaluating Bounded Autonomy in Regulated Agentic AI: A Diagnostic Harness with Constitutional Rewards, Escalation Labels, and Runtime Governance

Safety alignment for large language models (LLMs) in conversational settings is largely framed around whether to answer or refuse a request. In agentic settings, however, the same models must decide whether to act as permission-critical evidence emerges during execution. This creates a distinct challenge: apparent risk, action permissibility, and task competence are easily confounded, making agentic over-refusal difficult to distinguish from ordinary task failure. To address this, we introduce AgentBound, the first four-way counterfactual generation-and-evaluation framework for tool-using agent safety. AgentBound transforms the same executable workflow by independently varying apparent risk and action permissibility, enabling controlled comparisons of risky-looking but authorized tasks and routine-looking but unauthorized tasks. These comparisons jointly diagnose over-refusal and unsafe compliance while controlling for task competence. We instantiate AgentBound as a human-validated 4,000-task evaluation suite with trajectory-based and post-state-based judgments. Across 17 model and harness configurations, high safety frequently coexists with poor authorized-task completion: GPT-5.5 blocks 99.5% of routine-looking unauthorized actions yet completes only 28.7% of risky-looking authorized tasks. We further train a lightweight runtime calibration module that improves authorized-task completion by 18.2% on average across 10 evaluated configurations, while improving unsafe-action blocking by 5.4% on average. These show that effective agentic alignment requires action decisions to track permission-relevant execution evidence, rather than refusal strength alone.

Agentic AI systems plan, use tools, maintain state, and act across multi-step workflows with external effects, meaning trustworthy deployment can no longer be judged by task completion alone. The current literature remains fragmented across benchmark-centered evaluation, standards-based governance, orchestration architectures, and runtime assurance mechanisms. This paper contributes a bounded evidence synthesis across a manually coded corpus of twenty-four recent sources. The core finding is a governance-to-action closure gap: evaluation tells us whether outcomes were good, governance defines what should be allowed, but neither identifies where obligations bind to concrete actions or how compliance can later be proven. To close that gap, the paper introduces three linked artifacts: (1) a four-layer framework spanning evaluation, governance, orchestration, and assurance; (2) an ODTA runtime-placement test based on observability, decidability, timeliness, and attestability; and (3) a minimum action-evidence bundle for state-changing actions. Across sources, evaluation papers identify safety, robustness, and trajectory-level measurement as open gaps; governance frameworks define obligations but omit execution-time control logic; orchestration research positions the control plane as the locus of policy mediation, identity, and telemetry; runtime-governance work shows path-dependent behavior cannot be governed through prompts or static permissions alone; and action-safety studies show text alignment does not reliably transfer to tool actions. A worked enterprise procurement-agent scenario illustrates how these artifacts consolidate existing evidence without introducing new experimental data.

Benchmarks, audits, and agent protocols describe performance, permissions, and repair, but not how observed evidence should change an agent's authority during a consequential task. We call this the assurance-transition gap. We propose a Runtime Assurance Contract (RAC), a policy-level formal schema binding autonomy boundaries, component eligibility, evidence state, transition policy, human-review capacity, and non-compensatory gates. Under RAC, soft metrics may inform routing, whereas a failed or unknown mandatory gate forces retry, switch, escalation, deferral, or stop; aggregate performance cannot authorize action. We define the contract, an evidence record, a permission rule, and five invariants, and illustrate them in clinical, industrial, and judicial failure probes. We then report a deterministic failure-injection study in agentic coding: 280 constructed cases evaluated by a gate conjunction, a score-only rule, and a restricted protocol baseline. At the published example weights and threshold, the score rule admits 80 of 100 block-required injections and all 40 review-required injections. Tuned in hindsight, it matches the conjunction on this corpus. For positive weights, a positive threshold, binary risk signals, zero-signal controls, and an injected case firing each signal alone, we show that exact agreement holds if and only if the threshold does not exceed the smallest weight. A separate set of 18 hand-authored traces checks version-pinned evidence and review transitions against simpler policy variants. In a further prospective synthetic holdout of 24 episodes, two blinded LLM judges assign identical labels to all 72 action attempts; RAC and a separately implemented full stateful baseline both match these labels. These studies test mechanisms on synthetic cases; they establish neither deployed safety nor cross-domain effectiveness.