Questionnaire-Guided Disaggregation of Energy Appliance Use for Domestic Smart Meter Data

With grid operators confronting rising uncertainty from renewable integration and a broader push toward electrification, Demand-Side Management (DSM) -- particularly Demand Response (DR) -- has attracted significant attention as a cost-effective mechanism for balancing modern electricity systems. Unprecedented volumes of consumption data from a continuing global deployment of smart meters enable consumer segmentation based on real usage behaviours, promising to inform the design of more effective DSM and DR programs. However, existing clustering-based segmentation methods insufficiently reflect the behavioural diversity of consumers, often relying on rigid temporal alignment, and faltering in the presence of anomalies, missing data, or large-scale deployments. To address these challenges, we propose a novel two-stage clustering framework -- Clustered Representations Optimising Consumer Segmentation (CROCS). In the first stage, each consumer's daily load profiles are clustered independently to form a Representative Load Set (RLS), providing a compact summary of their typical diurnal consumption behaviours. In the second stage, consumers are clustered using the Weighted Sum of Minimum Distances (WSMD), a novel set-to-set measure that compares RLSs by accounting for both the prevalence and similarity of those behaviours. Finally, community detection on the WSMD-induced graph reveals higher-order prototypes that embody the shared diurnal behaviours defining consumer groups, enhancing the interpretability of the resulting clusters. Extensive experiments on both synthetic and real Australian smart meter datasets demonstrate that CROCS captures intra-consumer variability, uncovers both synchronous and asynchronous behavioural similarities, and remains robust to anomalies and missing data, while scaling efficiently through natural parallelisation. These results...

Non-intrusive load monitoring (NILM) estimates appliance power sequences from aggregate power, but models trained on source households commonly lose accuracy in unseen households. Aggregate power also contains loads from other appliances and measurement error, so predictions may depend on the residual background that co-occurs with source-household targets. Time-aligned submetered measurements and the additive decomposition of aggregate power expose a relation unused by window-wise supervision: an aggregate window can be recomposed by replacing only its residual background while preserving all modeled target-appliance power sequences pointwise. We combine label-preserving aggregate recomposition with prediction consistency. Both windows receive complete power and operating-state supervision. For each appliance, disagreement between the two power predictions is penalized only when both satisfy a fixed reliability criterion and only to the extent that it exceeds a fixed margin. The proposed method is implemented using a multi-appliance architecture with two-stage shared-to-specific mixture-of-experts routing. On REDD, UK-DALE, and REFIT, the proposed method lowers appliance-averaged mean absolute error relative to single-window training from 14.75 to 13.14 W, from 8.88 to 8.51 W, and from 15.83 to 14.55 W. Label-preserving aggregate recomposition and prediction consistency are used only during training, and add no inference-time module or parameter.

The energy transition is reshaping residential electricity consumption through the increasing adoption of distributed generation, electrified appliances, and demand-response programs. Understanding these evolving behaviors requires access to granular smart-meter data for applications such as load forecasting, appliance detection, and demand-side flexibility analysis. However, such data are subject to strict access restrictions and data-protection regulations. Thus, realistic synthetic alternatives are necessary. In this paper, we introduce LoaDiff, a diffusion-based generative model for year-long, sub-hourly smart-meter load curves. LoaDiff supports flexible conditioning on static household attributes, such as appliance ownership, and dynamic contextual variables, including calendar information and outdoor temperature. We evaluate the model against multiple generative baselines on three residential electricity-consumption datasets. Our experiments assess four complementary dimensions: fidelity and diversity, training-record memorization risk, downstream utility for load forecasting and appliance detection, and conditional controllability under alternative temperature conditions. The results show that LoaDiff generates realistic and diverse load profiles, achieves a favorable trade-off between generation quality and limited evidence of memorization, preserves information useful for downstream energy applications, and responds coherently to changes in conditioning variables.