PB-STDG: A Prediction-Based Short-Term Decentralized Greedy Guidance Algorithm for a Drone Road System

Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) finds extensive application in autonomous drone navigation within complex, high-risk environments. However, its practical deployment faces a safety-exploration dilemma: soft penalty mechanisms encourage risky trial-and-error, while most constraint-based methods suffer degraded performance under sensor noise and intent uncertainty. We propose Dynamic-TD3, a physically enhanced framework that enforces strict safety constraints while maintaining maneuverability by modeling navigation as a Constrained Markov Decision Process (CMDP). This framework integrates an Adaptive Trajectory Relational Evolution Mechanism (ATREM) to capture long-range intentions and employs a Physically Aware Gated Kalman Filter (PAG-KF) to mitigate non-stationary observation noise. The resulting state representation drives a dual-criterion policy that balances mission efficiency against hard safety constraints via Lagrangian relaxation. In experiments with aggressive dynamic threats, this approach demonstrates superior collision avoidance performance, reduced energy consumption, and smoother flight trajectories.

Autonomous multi-drone navigation requires fleets to service distributed objectives in cluttered environments under tight computational budgets. Efficient coordination depends on task bundling, where each drone visits multiple objectives along its route. Separate solvers for cost estimation, assignment, and execution incur redundant graph search and produce long, abrupt paths. We propose FlockDiffusion, a learned framework combining a scene graph encoder, an explicit allocation head, an assignment conditioned diffusion transformer, and a closed form trajectory decoder. An autoregressive teacher provides offline supervision for parallel fleet trajectory generation. PyBullet ablations show that bundling increases task completion from 50% to 100%, while our complete teacher further reduces route cost by 8.4% relative to MAGNNET with bundling. In the optimized scalability benchmark, evaluated on 100 scenes per density with ten drones, FlockDiffusion achieves 6.2 to 7.6 times faster inference and approximately 37% shorter routes than the classical pipeline. As nominal task counts increase from 20 to 40, latency rises from 7.8 to 11.1 ms, compared with 48.0 to 75.8 ms for the baseline. In a separate evaluation across five Gazebo environments, FlockDiffusion achieves 100% planner coverage and reduces planned route cost by 15.4% relative to the baseline with bundling. These results demonstrate efficient planning under increasing task density in configurations that are demanding to reproduce with physical drone fleets.

Accurate 4D trajectory prediction and closed-loop tracking are essential for Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) swarms to achieve safe and efficient operations in complex low-altitude environments such as urban airspaces, industrial sites, and indoor facilities. However, this task remains challenging due to intrinsic nonlinearity of UAV swarm dynamics and strict real-time constraints of swarm formation control. To address these challenges, we propose a unified framework that couples coarse-to-fine trajectory forecasting with uncertainty-aware Distributed Nonlinear Model Predictive Control (DNMPC). Our approach features two key innovations: 1) a dimension-decoupled trajectory prediction module that reduces computational complexity by forecasting axis-wise motion, and 2) a diffusion-based residual dynamics refinement module that captures temporally correlated dynamic uncertainties. These refined predictions are then integrated into a DNMPC loop to ensure formation stability. We also introduce a synchronized multi-scenario 4D UAV swarm dataset spanning six representative airspace scenarios. The dataset contains over \textbf{7,900} frames of synchronized three-UAV trajectories with frame-level annotations of speed intention and target sector. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our approach outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, reducing trajectory tracking error by up to \textbf{10-15%} and achieving sub-\textbf{0.07,m} average tracking error in complex urban and industrial environments, while maintaining real-time inference speeds of 34 FPS (sub-30 ms latency) suitable for agile flight.