Causal video diffusion models generate video autoregressively, which suits streaming, interactive, and long-video generation. Under standard training, however, they often yield lower generation quality than bidirectional models of the same size. Many existing approaches address this gap by initializing from or distilling a pretrained bidirectional teacher. We instead train a causal model from an image-model initialization, with no bidirectional video model at any stage. Because this path requires neither a large bidirectional teacher nor a complex distillation pipeline, it is simpler and more scalable. On this path, we find that a causal model trained on ground-truth history becomes strongly dependent on it, so that at inference errors in its own generated history propagate forward. We hypothesize that much of this dependence is unnecessary, because the current input already determines much of what the history provides. We propose Conditional Residual Prediction (CRP), a simple recipe for reducing a model's reliance on a condition: the model first predicts the target without the condition, and the condition may only add a residual on top of this prediction. Applied to history, CRP makes the model predict each chunk from the present as far as it can and use the past only for what the present cannot supply. In controlled experiments, CRP nearly closes the 6.14-point gap to a bidirectional model trained under the same setup. Scaling this recipe, we train Optica, a 2B-parameter causal video model that autoregressively generates 5-second 480p videos and reaches 82.78 on VBench with only about 15M training videos.
Autoregressive video diffusion models hold promise for world simulation but are vulnerable to exposure bias arising from the train-test mismatch. While recent works address this via post-training, they typically rely on a bidirectional teacher model or discriminator. To achieve an end-to-end solution, we introduce Resampling Forcing, a teacher-free framework that enables training autoregressive video models from scratch and at scale. Central to our approach is a self-resampling scheme that simulates inference-time model errors on history frames during training. Conditioned on these degraded histories, a sparse causal mask enforces temporal causality while enabling parallel training with frame-level diffusion loss. To facilitate efficient long-horizon generation, we further introduce history routing, a parameter-free mechanism that dynamically retrieves the top-k most relevant history frames for each query. Experiments demonstrate that our approach achieves performance comparable to distillation-based baselines while exhibiting superior temporal consistency on longer videos owing to native-length training.
Yuwei Guo, Ceyuan Yang, Hao He +5
The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China · ByteDance Seed, China · ByteDance, China
Causal video generators must predict from the past, but they need not learn only from it. In streaming autoregressive video diffusion, each emitted segment becomes a commitment that future segments must preserve. Standard training, however, only asks each causal state to explain the present. This creates what we call a representation-level planning gap: states that fit the current segment may discard identity, layout, and motion information needed for a consistent future. We introduce Video-Mirai, a training-only method that closes this gap without changing causal inference: the generator rolls out causally, a frozen foresight encoder reads the completed rollout non-causally, and a lightweight predictor distills the resulting stopped-gradient targets into causal states. Future frames supervise representations, never generator inputs. At inference, the encoder and predictor are discarded, leaving the original architecture, per-step FLOPs, and KV-cache behavior unchanged. Video-Mirai improves a strong Causal-Forcing baseline on 5-second VBench from 83.8 to 84.6 in terms of Total Score. On 30-second rollouts beyond the training horizon, subject consistency improves from 84.9 to 88.5 and background consistency from 90.2 to 91.9. Ablations identify future-conditioned targets as the key ingredient, and probes show that future frames become more decodable from current features. Causality should constrain inference, not representation supervision. Our study highlights that visual autoregressive models need foresight. Project page: https://y0uroy.github.io/Video-Mirai.
Yonghao Yu, Lang Huang, Runyi Li +2
The University of Tokyo · National Institute of Informatics · Peking University
Causal autoregressive video diffusion models support real-time streaming generation by extrapolating future chunks from previously generated content. Distilling such generators from high-fidelity bidirectional teachers yields competitive few-step models, yet a persistent gap between the history distributions encountered during training and those arising at inference constrains generation quality over long horizons. We introduce the Real-time Autoregressive Video Extrapolation Network (RAVEN), a training-time test framework that repacks each self rollout into an interleaved sequence of clean historical endpoints and noisy denoising states. This formulation aligns training attention with inference-time extrapolation and allows downstream chunk losses to supervise the history representations on which future predictions depend. We further propose Consistency-model Group Relative Policy Optimization (CM-GRPO), which reformulates a consistency sampling step as a conditional Gaussian transition and applies online Reinforcement Learning (RL) directly to this kernel, avoiding the Euler-Maruyama auxiliary process adopted in prior flow-model RL formulations. Experiments demonstrate that RAVEN surpasses recent causal video distillation baselines across quality, semantic, and dynamic degree evaluations, and that CM-GRPO provides further gains when combined with RAVEN.