ISBO: Scalable Spatio-Temporal Bayesian Optimization with Log Gaussian Cox Process Models via the INLA-SPDE Approach

High-dimensional Bayesian optimization (BO) often fits Gaussian process (GP) surrogates from far fewer observations than input dimensions. Modern Vanilla BO can perform well in this regime with dimension-aware priors, initialization, and acquisition optimization, but it typically retains automatic relevance determination (ARD), fitting one lengthscale per input coordinate. We study this modeling choice and propose Iso-BO, a controlled modification that replaces the ARD GP with an isotropic GP using one shared lengthscale while keeping the surrounding BO pipeline matched. For radial kernels, we show that the marginal log likelihood (MLL) depends on the inverse-squared ARD lengthscales only through weighted pairwise distances among the observed inputs. The current design can therefore leave some ARD directions exactly invisible or only weakly constrained by the MLL. Iso-BO removes coordinatewise reweighting and fits a single shared scale instead. Lengthscale-fitting and predictive-density diagnostics show that this finite-data effect appears in practice, including when the data-generating process is anisotropic. Across GP-prior, synthetic, and real-world benchmarks, Iso-BO often improves over matched modern Vanilla BO and remains competitive with the included high-dimensional BO baselines under the tested budgets. Stress tests also show the expected boundary wherein sufficiently strong, learnable anisotropy can favor the more flexible ARD model.

Gaussian process inference is often limited by cubic computational costs, a challenge that becomes more pronounced in spatio-temporal settings where posterior inference is required over dense grids. While state-space SPDE formulations enable linear complexity in time, exact inference remains cubic in space and deteriorates further when observation locations are disjoint from the prediction locations, which inflates the number of considered spatial points. To address this, we propose the Vanilla-SPDE Exchange, which exploits an equivalence between the standard and SPDE formulations of GP inference to construct a hybrid scheme with improved computational cost. We demonstrate these gains through complexity analysis and numerical experiments.

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a popular and effective approach for tuning expensive, noisy experiments, but requires the formulation of an explicit objective function. Preferential BO (PBO) removes this requirement by learning from pairwise human feedback, yet existing methods struggle to efficiently optimize beyond low- and medium-dimensional problems due to their global search approaches. We address this limitation by developing a family of local PBO methods that transfer key ideas from high-dimensional BO to the preferential setting. In particular, we introduce local PBO methods which adapt trust-region and derivative-informed local search to pairwise preference feedback, where the latter exploits first- and second-order derivatives of the Laplace-approximated GP posterior. Our benchmark on GP sample paths, standard optimization benchmark functions, and policy-search tasks shows that local PBO methods are especially effective in high-dimensional and complex landscapes with steep optima. Compared with global preference-based baselines, they can substantially reduce cumulative regret, making them particularly useful for real-world preference-based optimization tasks such as policy search.