Beyond Equation Search: Conjecture-Guided Discovery with SCOPE and ClosureBench

Equation discovery aims to automate the discovery of scientific models in the form of mathematical equations from data. Technically, equation discovery is implemented by symbolic regression algorithms. Performance of symbolic regression for equation discovery is measured along two dimensions: Prediction accuracy on test data, and recovery of known groundtruth formulas. For standard regression, accuracy is typically measured on in-domain test data, for instance, by splitting a data set randomly into training and test data. While this makes sense for in-domain interpolation, which is the common goal in ordinary regression, it can be a misleading proxy for true model discovery and generalization. The obvious alternative is to measure out-of-domain accuracy. However, obtaining challenging out-of-domain test data is a non-trivial problem. Therefore, we focus on equation recovery for evaluating symbolic regression algorithms for equation discovery. The rationale is that symbolic regression algorithms that perform well in recovering known groundtruth formulas are good candidates to perform well in unknown equation discovery. Existing benchmarks for symbolic regression include equation recovery tasks, however, with only a small number of groundtruth formulas that are publicly known. Moreover, these benchmarks place less emphasis on evaluating the robustness of algorithms in terms of their behavior under changing dimensionality, sampling size, sampling distribution and sampling domain. This, however, is of central importance to practitioners wanting to discover equations for modeling natural phenomena, since data is almost certainly noisy and comes from diverse domains, distributions, and sample sizes. To fill this gap, we introduce the Equation Recovery Benchmark (ERBench), a new evaluation framework designed to rigorously assess algorithms explicitly targeting the task of equation discovery.

Scientific equation discovery must combine broad domain priors with strict numerical testing. Symbolic regression supplies numerical grounding but faces a combinatorial search space, whereas many language-model systems ask the model to propose or select formulas directly. We test a different division of labour. We compare role specifications in which the language model acts as equation author, candidate decider or search controller, alongside end-to-end language-model and purely numerical baselines. In the controller setting we propose here, implemented as LLM-PySR, language models specify variables, operators, transformations and search depth; symbolic regression enumerates and fits expressions; and deterministic metrics govern retention. Across 74 AI-Feynman equations and seven complex formula-recovery tasks, search control achieved the strongest observed balance of accuracy, complexity, stability and cost. On an independent battery dataset, LLM-PySR identified a compact piecewise-linear relation between early voltage-curve displacement and cycle life. The results suggest that language models should shape hypothesis exploration rather than decide which equations survive.

Equation discovery solvers often use different data interfaces, equation representations and evaluation criteria, making their results difficult to compare. We present LegoSR, a unified framework for algebraic symbolic regression and differential equation discovery. LegoSR integrates seven solvers through a common equation representation and evaluation process, and supports searches constrained by partially known equations. Researchers can run solvers directly or use LegoSR Agent, which selects solvers and adapts searches based on solver knowledge, intermediate results and lessons from earlier tasks. On noisy ordinary and partial differential equation benchmarks, LegoSR Agent recovers nearly as many equations as the union of seven expert-tuned solvers and outperforms a generic agent with the same model, tools and budget by up to 29 percentage points. Three examples demonstrate basic use, adaptive solver selection and discovery guided by partial physical knowledge.