Neural Supervised Clustering for Learning Individualized Treatment Rules with Many Treatments

Finding patient subgroups with similar characteristics is crucial for personalized decision-making in various disciplines such as healthcare and policy evaluation. While most existing approaches rely on unsupervised clustering methods, there is a growing trend toward using supervised clustering methods that identify operationalizable subgroups in the context of a specific outcome of interest. We propose Bayesian Supervised Causal Clustering (BSCC), with treatment effect as outcome to guide the clustering process. BSCC identifies homogenous subgroups of individuals who are similar in their covariate profiles as well as their treatment effects. We evaluate BSCC on simulated datasets as well as real-world dataset from the third International Stroke Trial to assess the practical usefulness of the framework.

In this article we describe Cohort Organized Learning (CoOL), a method for clustering data without explicit distance or similarity computations. Herein, we will describe CoOL, derive the gradients determined by expectation maximization to train the networks, show how to monitor convergence during training and evaluate the clusters after training, and discuss a series of examples and use cases. We also discuss CoOL's limitations and future prospects on related tasks. Because CoOL uses neural networks to estimate the clusters, it can be used to cluster any data that can be made compatible and we illustrate this on vector data and images.

Linkage algorithms for hierarchical clustering (HC) are a powerful and efficient framework for constructing clustering trees, yet it is often unclear which merge rule best suits a given dataset or task. In contrast, neural approaches can learn from data, but often fail to retain the efficiency and size generalization of classical algorithms. We introduce NN-linkage, a neural network (NN) model that can learn task-specific and locally dependent merge rules while retaining the recursive structure and efficient inference of classical linkage algorithms. In particular, our model is algorithmically aligned with the Lance-Williams (LW) recurrence, a parameterized framework for defining a broad, continuous family of linkage rules for agglomerative HC. Classical methods such as single linkage (SL), complete linkage (CL), and average linkage arise as discrete choices within this broader family. We show that NN-linkage is a universal approximator for continuous linkage functions, including LW recurrences, and, when paired with a transformer encoding, can also approximate globally dependent rules such as robust single-linkage. We further show that NN-linkage can exactly implement any symmetric constant-coefficient LW recurrence across all input sizes. On the empirical front, we evaluate NN-linkage in real-world applications, clock-tree routing and phylogenetic reconstruction, using both synthetic and real datasets, demonstrating its effectiveness over both classical algorithms and other neural approaches. By learning merge rules directly from target trees, NN-linkage extends efficient HC to scientific and engineering objectives not adequately captured by existing hand-designed linkage rules.