MA-Bench: Measuring Operational Planning in Language Models
Organizations: Scale AI · Data Machines
Abstract
How well can a language model turn a large, incomplete and partly contradictory body of documents into a plan when no single correct answer exists? We introduce Mission Analysis (MA)-Bench, built on mission analysis, the first step of military operational planning, in which a staff reads the full situation and states the problem before anyone proposes a solution. Its 10 expert-built scenarios pair synthetic packets of ten to twelve documents with 1,257 expert-written pass/fail requirements, each containing information on their source, question type, and importance level. A reasoning-model judge grades each brief against the requirements without seeing the documents; it grades like a fifth credentialed planner, leaving a four-planner panel's agreement unchanged (Fleiss 0.42 to 0.41), and a judge from a second provider reproduces the model ranking (Spearman 0.94). Across twenty frontier and open-weights models the best gets 62% of the rubric items right. Models are strongest on facts stated in the documents (58%) and weakest on judgments that must be inferred (33%), and six failures in ten are omissions rather than errors. MA-Bench grades the determinations, not the prose. We release the packets, rubrics, prompts, scorer and every graded brief with item-level verdicts.
Figures & tables
| JUDGE PAIR | AGREEMENT | COHEN KAPPA | SPEARMAN | OWN-FAMILY EXCESS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| gpt-5.6 vs Gemini 3.1 Pro | 85.1% | 0.701 | 0.92 | / |
| gpt-5.6 vs Claude Opus 5 | 80.0% | 0.610 | 0.94 | / |
| Gemini 3.1 Pro vs Claude Opus 5 | 83.8% | 0.675 | 0.89 | / |
| SEVERITY | ITEMS | AGREE. | KAPPA | EXPERT FAIL | JUDGE FAIL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CI | 51 | 75% | 0.49 | 53% | 47% |
| I | 47 | 85% | 0.65 | 66% | 72% |
| SI | 24 | 92% | 0.83 | 62% | 54% |
| D | 20 | 70% | 0.37 | 75% | 55% |
| CD | 22 | 64% | 0.21 | 91% | 55% |
| All | 164 | 78% | 0.54 | 66% | 57% |
Appendix figures & tables6 assets
Supplementary material from the paper’s appendix.
Appendix
LLM Planning
Large language model planning studies how models decompose goals, choose actions, and revise plans under constraints.
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