When Reasoning Traces Conflict with Evidence: How Answer Configuration Shapes Evidence Following
Organizations: Stony Brook University
Abstract
A reasoning trace retained at answer time plays two roles: it can raise accuracy, and it can compete with the current evidence when the two disagree. We disentangle these roles by crossing verified evidence versions with the traces generated from each and answering from the same traces and evidence under two configurations: continuation of the model's own thinking and a separate answer call. Across three model families (gpt-oss, Gemma4, Qwen3) on HotpotQA and MuSiQue, the separate call raises evidence-following over continuation by 29.9 to 60.6 points. On the same pairs, removing the trace lowers accuracy by similar amounts under both configurations. Yet continuation repeats the stale conclusion in most conflicts, and the separate call follows the current evidence far more often. Benefiting from a trace and deferring to it are therefore distinct properties. Further analyses show that the final line of a trace carries most of its value, gold evidence helps most before the trace is written, distractors weaken correction under a separate call, and renewed reasoning, unlike a verification instruction, follows the current evidence in most conflicts. Because trace deletion alone cannot reveal which source an answer follows, evaluations should report both properties together with the answer configuration.
Figures & tables
| Model | Data | Ablations | Conflicts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B, 8B, 32B | H / M | Cont. | Cont. |
| Qwen3-14B | H / M | Cont. | Cont. / Sep. |
| Qwen3.5-4B | H / M | Sep. | none |
| Gemma4-E4B | H / M | Sep. / Cont. a | Cont. / Sep. |
| gpt-oss-20b | H / M | Cont. / Sep. | Cont. / Sep. |
| DeepSeek-V4-Pro | H | Sep. b | Sep. |
| Trace contribution | Evid. (%) | |||
| Model | Cont. | Sep. | Cont. | Sep. |
| HotpotQA | ||||
| gpt-oss-20b | 4.7 | 4.7 | 24.0 | 78.0 |
| Gemma4-E4B | 5.2 | 8.3 | 13.6 | 74.2 |
| Qwen3-14B | 6.6 | 3.7 | 14.1 | 60.1 |
| MuSiQue | ||||
| Method | Trace | Evidence | Other | Tokens |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Continuation | 72.2 | 14.1 | 13.7 | 76.8 |
| Verify | 73.6 | 12.9 | 13.5 | 77.0 |
| Re-reason | 4.4 | 86.6 | 9.0 | 145.4 |
Appendix figures & tables22 assets
Supplementary material from the paper’s appendix.
Appendix
| Condition in the paper | Trace written from | Trace given | Answer context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trace + gold + distr., Full Full | Full | Full | |
| Gold + distr., no trace | Full | placeholder | Full |
| Half trace + gold + distr. | Full | about half of | Full |
| Trace only | Full | none | |
| Trace + distr., Full Distr. | Full | Distr. | |
| Trace + gold, Full Gold | Full | Gold |
| Model | Thinking | Reasoning / answer tokens | Prompt limit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen3-4B/8B/14B/32B | prompted | 512 / 64 | 4,096 (H), 10,240 (M) |
| Qwen3.5-4B | native | 4,096 / 128 | 8,192 |
| Gemma4-E4B | native | 4,096 / 64 | 4,096 (H), 8,192 (M) |
| gpt-oss-20b | native, effort low | 4,096 / 64 | 8,192 (H), 10,240 (M) |
| DeepSeek-V4-Pro | native, effort low | 8,192 / 128 | API |
| EM (%) | Paired difference (points) | |||||
| Gold Gold | Full Gold | Gold Gold | ||||
| Model | Full Full | Full Gold | Gold Gold | Full Full | Full Full | Full Gold |
| Qwen3-4B | 31.2 | 34.4 | 45.7 | +14.5 [+12.4, +16.6] | +3.2 [+2.1, +4.4] | +11.3 [+9.3, +13.3] |
| Qwen3-8B | 36.6 | 41.1 | 47.8 | +11.2 [+9.0, +13.2] | +4.4 [+3.1, +5.7] | +6.7 [+4.9, +8.6] |
| Qwen3-14B | 37.9 | 39.1 | 49.0 | +11.0 [+9.0, +12.9] | +1.1 [+0.3, +2.0] | +9.9 [+7.8, +11.8] |
| Qwen3-32B | 40.6 | 47.6 | 50.0 | +9.3 [+7.5, +11.3] | +7.0 [+5.4, +8.6] | +2.4 [+0.9, +3.8] |
| HotpotQA | MuSiQue | ||||||||
| Model | Config. | Trace | Evid. | Trace | Evid. | Trace | Evid. | Trace | Evid. |
| Qwen3-4B | Cont. | 75.1 | 12.8 | 79.6 | 6.7 | 82.4 | 6.2 | 82.9 | 4.2 |
| Qwen3-8B | Cont. | 66.8 | 19.1 | 78.0 | 7.6 | 84.7 | 8.2 | 89.3 | 2.8 |
| Qwen3-14B | Cont. | 69.0 | 18.5 | 75.4 | 9.7 | 77.7 | 12.4 | 81.9 | 9.1 |
| Qwen3-14B | Sep. | 21.2 | 72.7 | 46.9 | 47.5 | 44.2 | 47.0 | 60.4 | 34.3 |
| Gold evidence only | Gold evidence and distractors | |||||||||||
| Model | Config. | Pairs | Matched | No trace | Contrib. | Change | Evid. | Matched | No trace | Contrib. | Change | Evid. |
| HotpotQA | ||||||||||||
| gpt-oss-20b | Cont. | 533 | 96.7 | 92.0 | 4.7 | 19.7 | 24.0 | 96.5 | 81.8 | 14.7 | 31.2 | 15.3 |
| gpt-oss-20b | Sep. | 533 | 96.2 | 91.6 | 4.7 | 22.0 | 78.0 | 96.0 | 84.9 | 11.1 | 30.0 | 71.0 |
| Gemma4-E4B | Cont. | 459 | 93.4 | 88.1 | 5.2 | 19.2 | 13.6 | 93.9 | 71.4 | 22.5 | 41.5 | 15.1 |
| Gemma4-E4B | Sep. | 459 | 93.4 | 85.1 | 8.3 | 19.6 | 74.2 | 93.2 | 70.7 | 22.5 | 34.9 | 73.9 |
| Cont. | Sep. | Sep. | Sep. | |
| evid. first | own label | |||
| Trace in | thinking | user turn | user turn | user turn |
| Instruction | reasoning | answer | answer | answer |
| Last input | trace | trace | evidence | evidence |
| Own label | implied | no | no | yes |
| HotpotQA | ||||
| HotpotQA | MuSiQue | ||||||||||
| Matched | Stale trace, (%) | Matched | Stale trace, (%) | ||||||||
| Model | Config. | Pairs | (%) | Trace | Evid. | Other | Pairs | (%) | Trace | Evid. | Other |
| Qwen3-4B | Cont. | 642 | 87.1 | 77.3 | 9.7 | 12.9 | 357 | 88.8 | 82.6 | 5.2 | 12.2 |
| Qwen3-8B | Cont. | 382 | 88.2 | 72.4 | 13.4 | 14.3 | 281 | 92.2 | 87.0 | 5.5 | 7.5 |
| Qwen3-14B | Cont. | 638 | 87.1 | 72.2 | 14.1 | 13.7 | 364 | 90.2 | 79.8 | 10.7 | 9.5 |
| Qwen3-14B | Sep. | 638 | 93.7 | 34.0 | 60.1 | 5.9 | 364 | 93.7 | 52.3 | 40.7 | 7.0 |
| HotpotQA | MuSiQue | ||||||||
| Matched | Stale trace, | Matched | Stale trace, | ||||||
| Model | Config. | (%) | Trace | Evid. | Other | (%) | Trace | Evid. | Other |
| Qwen3-4B | Cont. | 86.4 | 72.8 | 12.9 | 14.3 | 87.1 | 78.3 | 7.1 | 14.6 |
| Qwen3-8B | Cont. | 87.4 | 71.1 | 14.5 | 14.4 | 92.2 | 83.5 | 5.9 | 10.7 |
| Qwen3-14B | Cont. | 87.0 | 66.7 | 17.6 | 15.7 | 89.7 | 76.8 | 10.7 | 12.5 |
| Qwen3-14B | Sep. | 92.9 | 48.7 | 45.5 | 5.8 | 93.1 | 67.2 | 25.3 | 7.6 |
| HotpotQA | MuSiQue | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | Pairs | Cont. | Sep. | Sep. Cont. | Pairs | Cont. | Sep. | Sep. Cont. |
| gpt-oss-20b | 533 | 24.0 | 78.0 | 293 | 11.8 | 62.1 | ||
| Gemma4-E4B | 459 | 13.6 | 74.2 | 310 | 9.5 | 59.5 | ||
| Qwen3-14B | 638 | 14.1 | 60.1 | 364 | 10.7 | 40.7 | ||
| HotpotQA | MuSiQue | |||||||||||
| Qwen3 | Qwen3.5 | Gemma4 | Qwen3 | Qwen3.5 | Gemma4 | |||||||
| Answer input | 4B | 8B | 14B | 32B | 4B | E4B | 4B | 8B | 14B | 32B | 4B | E4B |
| Trace + gold + distr. | 48.0 | 50.9 | 53.2 | 53.2 | 61.8 | 58.6 | 29.6 | 35.0 | 35.9 | 38.6 | 38.5 | 37.2 |
| Gold + distr., no trace | 41.5 | 46.6 | 43.6 | 47.4 | 54.3 | 49.5 | 18.1 | 22.2 | 25.5 | 28.9 | 27.5 | 21.8 |
| Half trace + gold + distr. | 46.8 | 50.3 | 50.5 | 50.9 | 62.5 | 58.3 | 27.7 | 32.4 | 34.1 | 37.1 | 39.6 | 36.4 |
| Trace only | 50.7 | 37.6 | 50.6 | 49.8 | 56.2 | 57.0 | 30.3 | 29.3 | 33.5 | 29.5 | 25.4 | 31.7 |
| HotpotQA | MuSiQue | |||||||||||
| Qwen3 | Qwen3.5 | Gemma4 | Qwen3 | Qwen3.5 | Gemma4 | |||||||
| Context | 4B | 8B | 14B | 32B | 4B | E4B | 4B | 8B | 14B | 32B | 4B | E4B |
| Full context | 48.0 | 50.9 | 53.2 | 53.2 | 61.8 | 58.6 | 29.6 | 35.0 | 35.9 | 38.6 | 38.5 | 37.2 |
| Gold only | 54.0 | 55.7 | 56.0 | 56.0 | 64.7 | 62.1 | 44.6 | 47.0 | 48.3 | 49.5 | 49.1 | 49.5 |
| Distractors only | 8.6 | 11.8 | 10.4 | 14.6 | 15.0 | 7.7 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| Question only | 11.2 | 14.2 | 14.0 | 13.2 | 14.5 | 13.9 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 2.6 | 2.7 |
| HotpotQA | MuSiQue | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Answers changed (%) | Empty | Answers changed (%) | Empty | |||||
| Model | trace | evidence | distr. | trace | trace | evidence | distr. | trace |
| Qwen3-4B | 44.8 | 24.0 | 20.3 | 0.3 | 71.3 | 33.7 | 30.9 | 3.6 |
| Qwen3-8B | 36.2 | 41.6 | 20.1 | 0.1 | 62.4 | 36.4 | 27.0 | 1.7 |
| Qwen3-14B | 37.6 | 17.3 | 12.6 | 0.1 | 64.6 | 27.5 | 22.3 | 0.3 |
| Qwen3-32B | 31.8 | 24.6 | 17.6 | 8.2 | 39.7 | 48.4 | 36.4 | 38.9 |
| Answer time | Reasoning time | Cross-stage | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | No trace full | Gold Gold full | Distr. Gold Distr. Distr. | Gold Distr. Gold Gold | |
| Qwen3-4B | 1,952 | ||||
| Qwen3-8B | 1,975 | ||||
| Qwen3-14B | 1,999 | ||||
| Qwen3-32B | 764 | ||||
| Qwen3.5-4B | 274 | ||||
| Answer time | Reasoning time | Cross-stage | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model | No trace full | Gold Gold full | Distr. Gold Distr. Distr. | Gold Distr. Gold Gold | |
| Qwen3-4B | 1,797 | ||||
| Qwen3-8B | 1,891 | ||||
| Qwen3-14B | 1,991 | ||||
| Qwen3-32B | 422 | ||||
| Qwen3.5-4B | 61 | ||||
| Qwen3-4B | Qwen3-14B | |||||||||||
| HotpotQA | MuSiQue | HotpotQA | MuSiQue | |||||||||
| Condition | EM | F1 | Contains | EM | F1 | Contains | EM | F1 | Contains | EM | F1 | Contains |
| Trace + gold + distr. | 48.0 | 66.1 | 64.5 | 29.6 | 43.4 | 39.0 | 53.2 | 69.6 | 65.9 | 35.9 | 49.3 | 44.9 |
| Gold + distr., no trace | 41.5 | 55.8 | 50.9 | 18.1 | 29.6 | 22.8 | 43.6 | 59.0 | 55.5 | 25.5 | 38.1 | 31.5 |
| Half trace + gold + distr. | 46.8 | 63.7 | 61.3 | 27.7 | 40.7 | 34.8 | 50.5 | 66.8 | 63.5 | 34.1 | 46.9 | 41.6 |
| Trace only | 50.7 | 67.8 | 63.3 | 30.3 | 43.8 | 37.3 | 50.6 | 67.7 | 64.2 | 33.5 | 47.6 | 44.2 |
| Qwen3-8B | Qwen3-32B | |||||||||||
| HotpotQA | MuSiQue | HotpotQA | MuSiQue | |||||||||
| Condition | EM | F1 | Contains | EM | F1 | Contains | EM | F1 | Contains | EM | F1 | Contains |
| Trace + gold + distr. | 50.9 | 68.0 | 63.7 | 35.0 | 48.3 | 40.9 | 53.2 | 70.7 | 66.5 | 38.6 | 53.3 | 47.7 |
| Gold + distr., no trace | 46.6 | 60.7 | 53.1 | 22.2 | 35.3 | 25.0 | 47.4 | 63.3 | 59.8 | 28.9 | 43.0 | 35.7 |
| Half trace + gold + distr. | 50.3 | 66.8 | 61.3 | 32.4 | 46.2 | 38.3 | 50.9 | 68.6 | 65.0 | 37.1 | 51.7 | 46.2 |
| Trace only | 37.6 | 51.9 | 46.9 | 29.3 | 41.9 | 34.3 | 49.8 | 68.0 | 63.4 | 29.5 | 44.4 | 39.8 |
| Qwen3.5-4B | Gemma4-E4B | |||||||||||
| HotpotQA | MuSiQue | HotpotQA | MuSiQue | |||||||||
| Condition | EM | F1 | Contains | EM | F1 | Contains | EM | F1 | Contains | EM | F1 | Contains |
| Trace + gold + distr. | 61.8 | 74.8 | 65.2 | 38.5 | 47.4 | 37.7 | 58.6 | 75.8 | 72.4 | 37.2 | 50.4 | 45.3 |
| Gold + distr., no trace | 54.3 | 67.6 | 56.6 | 27.5 | 37.5 | 25.4 | 49.5 | 64.4 | 60.5 | 21.8 | 32.3 | 26.3 |
| Half trace + gold + distr. | 62.5 | 75.8 | 65.8 | 39.6 | 48.9 | 38.8 | 58.3 | 74.5 | 70.8 | 36.4 | 49.7 | 44.0 |
| Trace only | 56.2 | 67.5 | 59.9 | 25.4 | 29.9 | 28.8 | 57.0 | 72.2 | 66.9 | 31.7 | 41.0 | 35.4 |
| HotpotQA | MuSiQue | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trace given | 4B | 14B | 4B | 14B |
| Own trace | 48.0 | 53.1 | 29.9 | 35.9 |
| Final line only | 46.0 † | 52.2 | 30.0 | 34.7 † |
| Trace minus final line | 42.1 † | 50.2 † | 21.4 † | 32.2 † |
| Extractive summary | 47.5 | 51.6 | 32.6 † | 38.1 † |
| Unrelated trace | 7.2 † | 8.7 † | 1.1 † | 1.2 † |
| Answer swap | Step deletion | ||||||
| Qwen3 | Broken | Sel. | Adopt | Broken | Sel. | ||
| HotpotQA | |||||||
| 4B | 961 | 745 | 51.1 | +48.0 | 29.6 | 11.1 | +8.0 |
| 8B | 1,012 | 859 | 57.7 | +56.9 | 38.9 | 5.4 | +4.6 |
| 14B | 1,064 | 796 | 50.7 | +49.8 | 30.8 | 5.5 | +4.6 |
| 32B | 1,014 | 118 | 39.9 | +38.2 | 27.5 | 5.4 | +3.7 |
| Text deletion | Cache masking | |||
| Answer-stage input | 4B | 14B | 4B | 14B |
| HotpotQA | ||||
| Trace + gold + distr. | 48.0 | 53.2 | 48.4 | 53.3 |
| Gold + distr., no trace | 41.5 | 43.6 | 40.0 | 43.4 |
| Trace only | 50.7 | 50.6 | 49.2 | 52.0 |
| Trace + distr. | 44.7 | 49.5 | 47.6 | 52.1 |
| Answer-time ablations, first 1,205 questions | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Answer input | EM | F1 | Contains | Changed |
| Trace + gold + distr. | 62.5 | 80.0 | 73.4 | – |
| Gold + distr., no trace | 57.4 | 74.2 | 68.0 | 23.9 |
| Trace only | 63.7 | 80.6 | 72.9 | 6.9 |
| Trace + distr. | 62.4 | 79.8 | 72.9 | – |
| Trace + gold | 63.1 | 80.3 | 73.6 | 6.2 |
Reasoning Trace Analysis
Reasoning Trace Analysis studies the structure, reliability, and causal role of language models’ reasoning traces.
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