Quality-of-Transmission Estimation in Quantum Networks: Compute, Simulate, or Learn?

Approximate tensor-network simulators enable classical simulation of quantum circuits beyond the reach of exact methods, but selecting optimal approximation parameters -- such as bond dimension thresholds -- remains a costly trial-and-error process. We present a family-aware neural architecture that predicts both the minimum approximation threshold required to achieve target fidelity and the expected wall-clock runtime for quantum circuit simulation, given only the circuit's OpenQASM description and execution context. Our key insight is that quantum circuits from different algorithmic families (e.g., QFT, Grover, VQE) exhibit fundamentally distinct simulation cost profiles due to their differing entanglement structures. We employ family-conditioned residual corrections -- additive, family-specific adjustments atop a shared backbone, drawing on established conditional computation techniques -- enabling the model to capture both universal circuit properties and algorithmic nuances. The architecture incorporates a pretrained family classifier (97.5% accuracy) and domain-informed algorithm fingerprint features derived from gate-composition heuristics. Evaluated on circuits spanning 7--130 qubits across 10 algorithm families, our system achieves 79.5% exact threshold accuracy (91.2% within one rung) and $R^2 = 0.82$ runtime correlation, with inference completing in approximately 50 ms -- replacing trial-and-error simulation runs that may take minutes to hours. Ablation studies confirm that family-aware modeling provides the single largest performance improvement (+3.2 percentage points), validating the hypothesis that algorithm family is a first-class feature for simulation cost prediction.

Future quantum networks will make use of entanglement to perform numerous tasks, such as sending quantum information over long distances, distributed quantum computing, and quantum sensing. In general, these tasks will need to be performed simultaneously in various regions of a network, while minimizing resources and latency. We will thus require policies for scheduling link-level entanglement resources, and using the link-level entanglement to create various forms of multipartite entanglement required for every task. In this work, we address this problem using reinforcement learning. We formulate a Markov Decision Process for the problem and use double deep Q-networks (DQN) with Message Passing Neural Networks (MPNNs), experience replay buffers, and curriculum training to obtain policies. The key physical parameter is the probability of link-level entanglement generation, i.e., the link activation probability. We show that our policies maintain 100% success for up to 71% lower link activation probability than the baseline heuristics for a set of physically relevant network topologies. We then examine an additional constraint where experiment (task) placements are restricted to specific hardware types and demonstrate a similar advantage in performance over heuristics, with our policy maintaining at least an 80% success rate for up to a 59% lower link activation probability. Finally, we explore methods to interpret the learned policy by defining metrics enabling conclusions to be drawn about the model's behavior and by tasking a large language model (LLM) to derive a novel heuristic given example actions taken by the DQN-trained policy. We find that the LLM heuristic performs similarly to the DQN-trained policy in performance, indicating a promising method for interpretable policy extraction for large quantum networks, where direct training becomes computationally expensive.

Quantum networks are expected to become a key enabler for interconnecting quantum devices. In contrast to classical communication networks, however, information transfer in quantum networks is usually restricted to short distances due to physical constraints of entanglement distribution. Satellites can extend entanglement distribution over long distances, but routing in such networks is challenging because satellite motion and stochastic link generation create a highly dynamic quantum topology. Existing routing methods often rely on global topology information that quickly becomes outdated due to delays in the classical control plane, while decentralized methods typically act on incomplete local information. We propose SatQNet, a reinforcement learning approach for entanglement routing in satellite-assisted quantum networks that can be decentralized at runtime. Its key innovation is an edge-centric directed line graph neural network that performs local message passing on directed edge embeddings, enabling it to better capture link properties in high-degree and time-varying topologies. By exchanging messages with neighboring repeaters, SatQNet learns a local graph representation at runtime that supports agents in establishing high-fidelity end-to-end entanglements. Trained on random graphs, SatQNet outperforms heuristic and learning-based approaches across diverse settings, including a real-world European backbone topology, and generalizes to unseen topologies without retraining.