Robot-Task Suitability in Heterogeneous Multi-Robot Task Allocation

Most multi-robot task allocation methods rely on communication to resolve conflicts and reach consistent assignments. In environments with limited bandwidth, degraded infrastructure, or adversarial interference, existing approaches degrade sharply. We introduce a learning-based framework that achieves high-quality task allocation without any robot-to-robot communication. The key idea is that robots coordinate implicitly by predicting teammates' bids: if each robot can anticipate competition for a task, it can adjust its choices accordingly. Our method predicts bid distributions to correct systematic errors in analytical mean-field approximations. While analytical predictions assume idealized conditions (uniform distributions, known bid functions), our learned approach adapts to task clustering and spatial heterogeneity. Inspired by Smart Predict-then-Optimize (SPO), we train predictors end-to-end to minimize Task Allocation Regret rather than prediction error. To scale to large swarms, we develop a mean-field approximation where each robot predicts the distribution of competing bids rather than individual bids, reducing complexity from $O(NT)$ to $O(T)$. We call our approach FORMICA: Field-Oriented Regret-Minimizing Implicit Coordination Algorithm. Experiments show FORMICA substantially outperforms a natural analytical baseline. In scenarios with 16 robots and 64 tasks, our approach improves system reward by 17% and approaches the optimal MILP solution. When deployed on larger scenarios (256 robots, 4096 tasks), the same model improves performance by 7%, demonstrating strong generalization. Training requires only 21 seconds on a laptop, enabling rapid adaptation to new environments.

We study dynamic multi-robot task allocation under uncertain task completion, time-window constraints, and incomplete information. Tasks arrive online over a finite horizon and must be completed within specified deadlines, while agents operate from distributed hubs with limited sensing and communication. We model incomplete information through hub-based sensing regions that determine task visibility and a communication graph that governs inter-hub information exchange. Using this framework, we propose Iterative Best Response (IBR), a decentralized policy in which each agent selects the task that maximizes its marginal contribution to the locally observed welfare. We compare IBR against three baselines: Earliest Due Date first (EDD), Hungarian algorithm, and Stochastic Conflict-Based Allocation (SCoBA), on a city-scale package-delivery domain with up to 100 drones and varying task arrival scenarios. Under full and sparse communication, IBR achieves competitive task-completion performance with lower computation time.

Multi-robot task allocation (MRTA) in dynamic environments faces a fundamental tension: effective coordination requires learned structure, but that structure must adapt when conditions change. Existing methods resolve this by assuming prior task knowledge, a utility function, a cost matrix, or a trained policy making them brittle when deployed without such knowledge or when task distributions shift. We present MORPH(Multi-agent Online Rewiring through Plasticity-guided Hierarchy), a training-free MRTA framework where global allocation quality emerges from 4 local plasticity rules (synaptic, homeostatic, structural, and metaplasticity) applied to a directed pairwise preference matrix updated from runtime co-occurrence and task-completion feedback. MORPH requires no task model, no bid computation, and no offline training; response decisions use learned AGV-to-Picker preferences rather than a fixed proximity rule. Within the Gerkey-Mataric MRTA taxonomy, MORPH is the first method in the single-task, single-robot, instantaneous-assignment class to learn directed pairwise allocation preferences online. Evaluated on the TA-RWARE warehouse benchmark (8-24 agents, 4 maps, 800 steps per episode, 5 seeds), MORPH achieves 110% of all-to-all throughput at N=24 while using only 21% of possible coordination links as an efficiency advantage that grows monotonically with fleet size. Under spatial task distribution shift, MORPH degrades 3x less than proximity-based methods while its learned preferences remain uncorrelated with Manhattan distance. Systematic ablation confirms all four plasticity rules contribute measurably. Two allocation properties emerge without programming: cross-type preference dominance and progressive preference sparsification, mirroring the developmental refinement of biological neural circuits. Learned preferences are driven by task co-occurrence history, not spatial proximity.