Abstract
Sparse variational Gaussian processes (SVGPs) are a widely used, principled approach to scalable Gaussian process modelling. Their success stems from their theoretically interpretable structure: they provide a lower bound on the marginal likelihood of the full GP while allowing scal- able stochastic optimization. Recent work has explored modifications of the posterior conditional distribution and has shown that such extensions can improve upon this well-established framework. In particular, introducing a block-diagonal structured scal- ing matrix leads to a tighter lower bound on the GP marginal likelihood. We investigate whether selecting blocks that tighten the variational objective improves test RMSE and NLL at a fixed inducing-point budget. Since the scaling matrix contributes to the variational lower bound through an upper bound on the log-determinant of the full residual covariance matrix, our work makes the following contributions. First, we introduce a simple, scalable, geometry-aware algorithm, with explicit computational complexity and low computational overhead, that recovers a large fraction of this log- determinant contribution by selecting an appropriate partition of the data. Second, we show how to train these models using a doubly stochastic optimization framework. Finally, we investigate how sparse GP methods based on alternative conditional posterior structures can be used to learn better hyperparameters and inducing points for SVGP.
Apr 1, 2026
Gaussian processes (GPs) offer appealing properties but are costly to train at scale. Sparse variational GP (SVGP) approximations reduce cost yet still rely on Cholesky decompositions of kernel matrices, ill-suited to low-precision, massively parallel hardware. While one can construct valid variational bounds that rely only on matrix multiplications (matmuls) via an auxiliary matrix parameter, optimising them with off-the-shelf first-order methods is challenging. We make the inverse-free approach practical by proposing a better-conditioned bound and deriving a matmul-only natural-gradient update for the auxiliary parameter, markedly improving stability and convergence. We further provide simple heuristics, such as step-size schedules and stopping criteria, that make the overall optimisation routine fit seamlessly into existing workflows. Across regression and classification benchmarks, we demonstrate that our method 1) serves as a drop-in replacement in SVGP-based models (e.g., deep GPs), 2) recovers similar performance to traditional methods, and 3) can be faster than baselines when well tuned.
Stefano Cortinovis, Laurence Aitchison, Stefanos Eleftheriadis +1
University of Oxford · University of Bristol
Sep 17, 2026
Gaussian processes (GPs) provide principled probabilistic predictions while encoding prior knowledge, including equivariances. Yet, their use in large-scale scientific problems is limited by computational cost. Equivariant neural networks are common but typically lack the uncertainty quantification offered by GPs, which is valuable in applications such as molecular research. High-dimensional inputs and large symmetry groups further demand scalability. We establish results pertaining to the interplay of GP equivariance and conditioning and leverage them to obtain equivariant sparse GPs through suitable mean functions and covariance kernels. We instantiate this framework with a flexible class of integration-free equivariant kernels, yielding scalable and data-efficient GP inference. In particular, we introduce triply scalable equivariant Gaussian processes. We employ equivariant sparse variational Gaussian processes for
SO(2)-equivariant vector fields and molecular property prediction. Alongside the SVGP, we develop a matrix-free equivariant full-GP implementation that combines an exact Kronecker reduction with preconditioned conjugate-gradient solves, enabling fast and scalable evaluation of the full joint predictive density. We further compare different approaches for selecting inducing points in the equivariant sparse GP models. Our test cases include synthetic
SO(2)-equivariant fields as well as the prediction of electric dipole moments of N-methylformamide based on quantum chemistry simulations, achieving accurate, uncertainty-aware predictions at a fraction of the computational cost of classical GP inference.
Tim Steinert, David Ginsbourger
Institute of Mathematical Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Oct 2, 2026
Many machine learning methods aim to approximate the lower-dimensional manifold on which the data lives. A desirable feature of such methods is that they should capture the epistemic uncertainty of this learned manifold. One model that achieves this is the Gaussian Process Latent Variable Model, in which a Gaussian Process (GP) mapping from the latent space provides an estimate of the uncertainty of the manifold. However, the effectiveness of this uncertainty estimation is limited by the mean-field variational approximation between the GP inducing points and the latent variables. In this work, we apply Amortized Structured Stochastic Variational Inference to allow the variational posterior for the latent space to be conditionally dependent on the value of the inducing points. We demonstrate that this more flexible variational posterior improves several metrics relating to the reconstruction of points on the data manifold.
Maksym Tretiakov, Sarah Filippi, Vincent Fortuin +3
LMU Munich · Munich Center for Machine Learning (MCML) · Imperial College London +3